Banco Penta: Chile’s financial industry has become an investment hotspot

Chile’s financial industry has developed significantly over the last 20 years, achieving a high level of consolidation. However, when focusing on some of its members, for example banks, pension fund administrators, brokers dealers and asset managers, one may observe very unalike contexts. These significant differences generate different opportunities for such industry players.

On the one hand, the banks and the pension fund administrators (AFP) have been subjected to stringent regulations and fiscal supervision: the Superintendence of Banks and Financial Institutions (SBIF) currently monitors the banks and the Superintendence of Pensions (SP) now oversees the AFPs. High regulatory barriers have deterred new entries into the industry. Thus, during the last decades, these industries have undergone multiple merger processes, resulting in significant industry concentration.

Additionally, the banks and the AFPs have experienced high-growth periods which have led to increased business volumes. This has encouraged banks to assume considerable scales, encompassing increased operating efficiency. But, such scales have a price. The high organisational complexity reached by these players has brought about new challenges regarding their ability to capitalise the broad array of clients and products that they now enjoy.

In this context, these organisations have left interstices that allow the entry of new competitors with niche strategies, such as retail banks and investment banks with leaner organisational structures that enable them to move about more expeditiously.

On the other hand are broker dealers and asset managers; both of them governed by the Superintendence of Securities and Insurance Companies (SVS). These players have had a lesser degree of regulation, allowing for a large number of incumbents.

All things considered, the fact remains that the size of the two industries is relatively small – reason why their current high level of fragmentation is not sustainable. Furthermore, during the last few years, Chile’s capital market regulations have deepened, thereby increasing their operational costs.

In conclusion, the size of these industries, their high level of fragmentation, and the new regulatory environment – which is likely to continue to increasing player costs – should logically be followed by a process of consolidation and intensive M&A activity (see Fig. 1).

Immunity to the banking crisis
The economic and financial crisis experienced in Chile in 1982 was one of the worst in the country’s recorded history. Numerous banks were seized, some of them nationalised and others dissolved. GDP fell by 13.6 percent; the sharpest drop since the 1929 worldwide recession, consequently shooting unemployment rates over the 20 percent threshold, where they remained for several years.

One of the lessons of this crisis was the need to strengthen our banking regulations; which then led to important amendments to the General Banking Law during the 1980s and part of the 1990s. The main objective was fully achieved. Therefore, currently, the Chilean banking system is one of the strongest in the world; a circumstance that was put to the test during 2008’s financial crisis and from which the country’s banking system emerged virtually unscathed.

Source: Banco Penta
Source: Banco Penta

Currently, the Chilean banking industry has reached a significant size resulting from two decades of continuous growth: explained, both by its own strength as well as by the country’s economic success throughout this period. Thus, bank loans went from $46.5bn in 2003 to $230.8bn in 2013, a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.4 percent (see Fig 2). In just five years, banks earnings doubled, going from $1.9bn in 2008 to $3.9bn in 2013. This important financial stability, however, generated a greater concentration in the system. Stringent regulations and controls raised banking costs, forcing mergers in order to increase operating efficiency. Today’s Banco Santander, for example, is the product of 10 years of mergers (1993-2002) between seven different banking institutions. Moreover, a merger process between Corpbanca and Itaú is currently underway; which, in turn, will further concentrate this industry.

At the same time, the high cost of incorporating and operating a bank has generated significant industry entry barriers. Consequently, the creation of new banks since has been minimal. This is how, despite the strong growth of the industry, the number of players decreased from 29 banks in 1998 to only 23 in 2013 (22 if we consider the current merger process between Corpbanca and Itaú). As a result of this, the average amount of loans per bank grew by more than five times in the last 10 years, from $1.8bn in 2003 to $10bn in 2013.

The consolidation of services
The vast majority of Chilean banks have become highly-efficient major corporations spanning across all market segments and covering all sorts of products. But the scale has come at a cost. In order to cover all commercial segments with a diverse range of products nationwide, they understandably became more complex organisations.

Moreover, in order to be able to delegate organisation-wide decision-making, they have had to develop policies and processes that are more standardised and rigid. This has inevitably led to greater bureaucracy, stiffness and slowness. In addition, 48 percent of all banks are now subsidiaries of foreign banks; which, in turn, face additional complexities and challenges of their own.

Retail banks were the first ‘niche banks’ to capitalise on the opportunities generated by the concentration of banking. This explains the creation of Banco Falabella in 1998, a subsidiary of one of the major national retailers, already running an important consumer loan business for its retail department stores. This strategy was followed a few years later by other major Chilean retailers: in 2002 by Banco Ripley, owned by the Ripley Corp., and in 2004 by Banco Paris, owned by Cencosud. As of December 2013, these three banks had already increased their market share to over 10 percent of all bank consumer lending. Also, in June of this year, Scotiabank Chile announced an agreement with Cencosud, the parent company of Banco Paris to acquire the credit business of the latter.

In 2004 a process similar to that occurring within the retail segment began with the creation of Banco Penta: Chile’s first investment bank. Banco Penta focused exclusively on three types of clients: high-net-worth-individuals, financial institutions and corporate clients: the bank’s products are asset management, brokerage, corporate finance, financing and sales and trading.

Later on in 2011, BTG Pactual acquired Celfin Capital, a local broker dealer and asset manager, in order to create a second investment bank. A year later, Banco de Crédito del Perú (BCP) followed a similar strategy upon acquiring IM Trust, another local broker dealer and asset manager. However, BCP did not incorporate a bank in Chile in favour of continuing to use its Peruvian bank for businesses requiring balance sheet.

Banks lead traditional players
Despite the small amount of revenue generated by Chile’s professional Asset Management (AM) industry, its number of players is relatively high. With only $586m in revenue in 2013, the total number of firms amounted to 36, with a modest $16m average income per institution. Upon disaggregating the industry into AM banking subsidiaries and ‘pure’ AMs, we observe an important dispersal.

Banks’ AMs represent only one third of all AMs (12); they generate 67 percent of all industry revenues, with an average income of $33m. Contrariwise, ‘pure’ AMs (24) only generate $194m, with an average player income of only $8m. Something similar occurs with broker dealers (BD). During 2013 the 48 players in this industry generated only $476m in revenues; a mere $10m average of revenue per player. Just as in the AM industry, the BD banking subsidiaries lead the business. With less than one-third of players (15), in 2013 they generated 57 percent of all revenues ($273m). On the other hand, the 33 ‘pure’ BDs generated only $202m, which is equivalent to an average income per player of just $6m.

Source: Banco Penta
Source: Banco Penta

Both businesses are human capital and IT intensive; clearly difficult to sustain with low average incomes. Consequently, in the coming years, both of these sub-industries should see important M&A activity; something that has already begun with the purchase of Celfin by BTG Pactual in 2011; of Cruz del Sur’s acquisition by Banco Security; and, of IM Trust’s acquisition by Banco de Crédito del Perú (BCP) in 2013.

Pensions in transition
In November 1980, through a complete overhaul of the welfare system, Chile created a new pension system consisting of a fully-funded individual capitalisation system managed by private-sector Pension Fund Administrators (AFP). The regulatory framework governing AFPs prevents banks from entering this industry: 12 AFPs were created in 1981 and others were created throughout the 1980s.

Between 1990 and 2010, however, the industry consolidated through multiple AFP mergers. Thus, by 2010 the number of AFPs had dropped to only five. Subsequently, and in order to increase competition by encouraging the entry of new players, a process was created permitting existing AFPs or new ones to submit their bids in a bi-annual bidding contest, on the basis of commissions, for all the new members of the system for a two-year period.

In 2010 a new AFP, AFP Modelo, won that year’s bidding process becoming the newest and sixth AFP in the system.

By 2013 the AFP industry had $163bn in AUM; equivalent to 62.4 percent of Chile’s GDP. The revenue generated by the industry in 2013 totalled just over $1.1bn; equivalent to an average income per player of $188m.

In recent years, two major M&A transactions were executed. The first was the sale of AFP Cuprum, owned by Grupo Penta, to Principal Financial Group in 2012 for $1.5bn. The second was the sale of AFP Provida, owned by the BBVA Group, to Metlife for $2bn.

Furthermore, it should also be noted that Chile’s new government has just submitted a draft bill to create the country’s first state-owned AFP, aimed at injecting more competitiveness and broader coverage into the system. It is not yet clear, however, what the actual impact of a such new scenario might be; because, the bill is still being debated in congress.

BankMed makes a vital contribution to Lebanon’s growth

Large and well developed, the Lebanese banking sector constitutes one of the main pillars of economic stability in the country as it has continued to weather shocks and overcome challenges. Despite unstable domestic conditions and regional disturbances that occurred in light of the Arab Spring phenomenon, Lebanese banks’ assets witnessed an average annual growth of 8.5 percent; private sector deposits grew at an average annual rate of 8.3 percent, while loans to the private sector recorded an annual average growth of 11 percent.

Several factors contributed to this strength, shielding the Lebanese banking sector in times of local and regional instabilities. First, relative to the size of the domestic economy, the Lebanese banking sector has steadily grown over the years, accumulating assets in excess of 372 percent of Lebanon’s GDP amid on-going deposit inflows.

The banking sector activity is driven by customer deposits, which constitute the main source of funding and account for around 83 percent of total liabilities, reflecting the stable funding source with low reliance on capital markets. In addition, the size of the banks relative to GDP has allowed them to fund both the public and the private sector, with loans to the private sector representing 93 percent of GDP. Still, the banks remain highly liquid with a loans-to-private sector deposits ratio of 30.5 percent at the end of 2013, one of the lowest ratios among emerging economies.

372%

Total banks’ assets-to-GDP ratio

Moreover, the Lebanese model of high liquidity and credit discipline inspired confidence from local and foreign depositors. The sector has gained experience in risk and crisis management, as well as having shown a counter-cyclical response following the global financial crisis of six years ago.

Lebanese diaspora
Lebanese banks operate within regulations and ceilings that they set for themselves, in addition to other regulatory measures set by the monetary and supervisory authorities. Banks in Lebanon operate in compliance with the Central Bank of Lebanon and the Banking Control Commission’s rigorous and stringent regulatory framework and supervisions.

This culture has played a major role in organising and developing the work of the banking sector, thus enhancing confidence and stability. The confidence in the sector was not affected by the latest events in the Arab countries, where some Lebanese banks are present. Guided by the Central Bank of Lebanon, Lebanese banks were quick to take additional general provisions against their lending activities in these countries, thereby maintaining growth in their profits, albeit at a slower rate.

Furthermore, the resilience of deposits is also due to the widely diffused Lebanese diaspora, which has been loyal and committed to the Lebanese banks. This provides significant opportunities to the sector by offering them tailor-made services. This large diaspora has had a direct positive impact on the banking sector. As such, Lebanon has been and remains one of the top receivers of remittances among MENA countries over the past years (see Fig. 1).

According to World Bank estimates, Lebanon’s inflow of remittances has increased over the last five years from $5.8bn in 2007 to over $7bn in 2013. This reflects the confidence of the Lebanese diaspora in the economy and its banking sector. In 2013, Lebanon ranked as the 18th largest recipient of remittances globally and the 12th largest recipient among developing economies. It also ranked as the second largest recipient of remittances among 16 Arab countries. Further, expatriates’ remittances to Lebanon recorded an equivalent of 17.4 percent of GDP in 2013, the 10th highest ratio in the world.

With respect to investment, Lebanon has the ability to attract investments, even with the overall slowdown in economic activity in many emerging and Arab economies. This is attributed to its strong economic fundamentals, sound banking system, and open economy. New gas discoveries in Lebanese waters represent great economic opportunities for the country and offer prospects for the economy to attract foreign direct investments in oil exploration.

The oil and gas discovery will therefore help Lebanon take a step toward self-sufficiency in oil by satisfying domestic demand. Substantial government revenues from those resources are expected beyond 2017, which could turn the fiscal deficit to a surplus, strengthen economic growth, and narrow the debt-to-GDP ratio. With respect to Lebanese banks, the oil and gas sector is undoubtedly a promising one, and it can play a major role in terms of attracting foreign direct and long-term equity investments. Moreover, banks have the capacity and liquidity to fund related projects. Therefore, this new sector could even contribute to the expansion of investment banking business in Lebanon.

Source: World Bank. Notes: 2012 figures
Source: World Bank. Notes: 2012 figures

Looming challenges
On the other hand, some challenges still lie ahead since Lebanon is a highly indebted country. This condition renders Lebanon particularly vulnerable and lowers the chances for investments in key strategic sectors. The inherent structural issues facing the Lebanese economy were more recently aggravated by the continuing turmoil in the region, which weighs down on the economic growth prospects. The Lebanese banking sector is not insulated from current events, and it is natural that the sector will be affected by the economy.

On the other hand, there is no fear in terms of the solvency and liquidity of Lebanese banks. The high liquidity provides Lebanese banks with high immunity and the ability to absorb shocks. Additionally, gold and foreign currency reserves jointly cover around 178 percent of Lebanon’s foreign currency debt, which is equivalent to about 26 months of imports, ensuring further resilience of the banking system, which holds most of this debt. Thus, Lebanese banks have both the capacity and the ability to play a major role in the coming revival of the economy.

All these factors show that the future carries great promises for the Lebanese banking sector. Lebanese banks are drivers of confidence and therefore generators of financial stability and economic growth. The Lebanese financial market and the banking sector in particular have proven extremely resilient. This proves the importance of maintaining the stability and the good reputation of the sector, as it remains the main financing source of the Lebanese economy.

Regional presence
BankMed has been able to grow its business and to expand and strengthen its local, and regional presence in spite of the recent global and regional developments. What differentiates BankMed today from the others is its regional presence in high-growth countries with significant growth potential. The bank enjoys a widespread presence over the Lebanese territory through a network of 60 branches in addition to a strong existence in the region with one branch in Cyprus and two in Iraq, where it offers a wide range of products and services to individuals and corporations. BankMed’s operations also extend to Switzerland, where it fully owns a subsidiary private bank, BankMed Suisse, as well as to Turkey through a commercial bank, T-Bank, and Saudi Arabia with an investment banking arm through the SaudiMed Investment Company.

As a growing regional financial institution, BankMed has a strong commitment to investing in innovation and technology in order to keep pace with the demands of a more global and mobile client base, as well as with the fast changing financial landscape. As such, the bank adopts the latest banking technologies to meet the highest international standards of best practices. Moreover, the bank emphasises continuous employee training and development in an aim to allow its staff to realise their potential and capabilities.

Locally, the bank focuses on greater diversification through a stronger emphasis on SMEs and retail banking. Furthermore, BankMed established Emkan Finance SAL; a Lebanese financial institution licensed by the Central Bank of Lebanon to provide the productive workforce in low-income brackets with access to microfinance services. The bank is also a market leader in corporate banking and investment products.

In addition to the traditional treasury services, BankMed offers a strong variety of innovative tailor-made and off-the-shelf investment products to its customers. Brokerage services – available in all major markets – are handled by MedSecurities Investment SAL, BankMed’s wholly owned subsidiary. Internationally, the bank has had a well thought expansion policy, with presence in selected markets with sustainable growth potential. As such, BankMed’s performance has been remarkably positive despite the global, regional, and unstable local conditions.

Moving forward, BankMed’s strategy is focused on expanding its client base further by taking advantage of new innovations and technologies. Meanwhile, the bank’s contributions to Lebanon’s financial, commercial and industrial sectors continue to greatly aid growth in the country

Angola’s banking future has never been brighter, says Banco BAI

Having been hit hard by the global financial crisis, Angola’s economy is now gathering momentum, with robust GDP growth above the five percent mark, supported by strong fiscal and external balances, a stable exchange rate and moderate inflation. Government policy is implementing enhanced fiscal controls and tighter public financial management, greatly modernising the country’s financial industry. These key moves are also enabling the government to accelerate public investment that will support broad economic diversification and more rapid job creation, while reducing Angola’s considerable vulnerability to external shocks.

These improvements in the investment climate and in the financial regulatory structure have enabled the rapid expansion of the banking sector, despite credit constraints limiting the economy to some extent. The extensive and abrupt changes to the composition of Angola’s overall economy have changed the local financial sector significantly. Banks have to accommodate new and booming sectors, as well as tackle the influx of international banking groups, making for an increasingly competitive sector.

In the early 2000s, the financial sector comprised just nine banks, the two largest of which were state-owned. Now, the Angolan financial sector consists of over 20 banks, and privately owned firms command a dominant share of the market. In addition, the financial sector’s total assets grew from less than $3bn in 2003 to more than $57bn in 2011, according to the World Bank.

Established in 1996, Banco Angolano de Investimentos is one of the original banks betting on the Angolan economy and was essentially the first private bank in Angola. The firm has expanded its network to comprise of over 120 branches nationwide, with representation in Portugal, Cape Verde and South Africa.

Angolan banking services

75%

Angolan banking services

72%

Increase in point-of-sale transactions since 2011

35%

Increase in ATM transactions since 2011

Boosting business
As it has for many of its competitors, the liberalisation of the Angolan finance sector has resulted in the dramatic growth of financial assets, infrastructure and transaction volumes for Banco BAI. Bank branches have proliferated throughout the country, extending even to remote and rural areas, while ATMs and credit cards are becoming increasingly common. Even though the overall supply of credit to the economy remains limited, the Angolan credit market has been growing by a remarkable average of over 50 percent per year for the past five years, according to the World Bank.

This boost to the credit markets has allowed Banco BAI to specialise in catering to individuals and SMEs, as well as to capitalise on the country’s oil and gas prospects in the coming years. The bank has also outlined plans to support the country’s economic diversification through industrialisation and service-orientated business developments.

“Inflation rates in Angola are at a historic low (6.9 percent change in one year to June 2013),” explains Fábio Correia, Marketing and Communications Director at Banco BAI (see Fig. 1). “These low inflation rates are enabling more affordable credit or financing policies and therefore the use of productive capital to develop public infrastructures, housing and factories for families, SMEs, large corporations and government investment initiatives.”

According to KPMG, the environment is also challenging because the Angolan banking sector saw a decrease of 30.9 percent in terms of net income in 2012, as a result of lower growth in the operating income of the sector. This volatility has put pressure on banks to ensure their business is diverse and financially strong enough to withstand external shocks, as Angola continues to remain dependent on foreign investment and exports. Nevertheless, increasing robustness within the sector – as well as efforts from firms to be present in most provinces of the country and to offer clients more diversified products – bodes well for the future of banks operating in Angola.

Serving the unbanked
The majority of Angola’s population continues to remain unbanked. A safe bet for profit growth and stable income is to access this largely untouched market. As such, banking services access for the Angolan population remains a central goal of the financial sector, and has driven the increase in the number of banking branches (which almost doubled from 2009 to 2012) and its decentralisation from Luanda.

With less than a quarter of the population using banking services, the need for innovative banking offerings that can reach a broad segment is ever-increasing. This has, in part, fostered a positive trend in the use of several means of payment and new electronic channels as a way to access major banking operations – no matter how remote your location. For although most contacts between banks and (future) customers are made in a bank branch, about 75 percent of Angolan banks already have an internet banking service. ATM transactions have also seen exponential growth, increasing by more than 35 percent year-on-year since 2011 and with point of sale transactions increasing by about 72 percent.

With its strong focus on local economic development and social responsibility, Banco BAI has made it a key point to reach out to as many Angolans as possible. The bank has done this through its various mobile and online banking offerings, as well as its branches that serve every need – from savings, to loans, to payment transfers. This strong foothold has helped place the bank as the leading financial institution in Angola, as well as a top-25 bank in Africa.

Strength through diversification
In order to uphold this position – and given a recent slowdown in lending activity – Banco BAI has been adjusting its strategy to safeguard against negative repercussions on its business activity and bottom line. BAI has been carefully evaluating its exposure to the sectors of the economy that currently represent higher risk levels, as well as tightening controls on the increasing number of past due loans. It is also enhancing its credit recovery department by introducing new procedures and improving the efficiency of the existing ones. The bank has developed procedures for monitoring companies that have signalled greater difficulties in terms of liquidity, in order to anticipate eventual difficulties in fulfilling their obligations.

Source: IMF
Source: IMF

“In the next 12 months, BAI will be working towards the consolidation and expansion of our position in the Angolan banking market, with the aim of being a pillar for national economic development,” says Correia. “We’ll also be improving our human resource policies in order to recruit, develop and retain the best professionals. By improving our segmentation model we also hope to strengthen our skills in client financial advisory and best practices in risk management in order to consolidate a prominent position in the market.”

Betting on oil
Banco BAI has been serving Angola’s thriving oil and gas industry for years. Banks that target oil companies are required to constantly improve their product offering in order to remain competitive. For BAI, this has resulted in a consolidation of its business unit for the oil sector service providers, as well as a department dedicated to the oil sector operators. Furthermore, the bank has implemented automated platforms, which allow operating companies to issue straight through orders quickly and efficiently.

Because Angola remains one of the leading countries in terms of receiving foreign direct investment – thanks to money flowing into natural resource industries – banks have also had to tackle the influx of foreign investors and the ensuing boom in currency exchanges. This has historically caused elevated volatility of the kwanza against the US dollar, and has prompted the Angolan Executive to promote stabilisation of the exchange rate. As a result, the exchange rate was stable and almost linear throughout 2012 and 2013. Additionally, there has been a gradual de-dollarisation of the economy, both in terms of deposits and loans, after the Angolan Executive implemented measures such as the establishment of maximum sales limits and supervision of compliance with the Foreign Exchange Law (NFER). For instance, the new exchange regime for the petroleum sector approved in 2012 will oblige the amounts paid by the oil companies to foreign contractors to provide services in Angola to be traded through banks operating in Angola. This is expected to increase market liquidity, the volume and number of transactions, the efficiency of the payment system, and the net interest margin of the banks, as well as change the market share of each bank.

With competitiveness set to surge, Banco BAI is betting the NFER will boost transactions significantly for oil-focused firms such as itself. With that, Angola’s banking future has never been brighter.

NDB Capital consolidates Bangladesh’s economic strength

Bangladesh, considered by many to be the rising star of South Asia, has shown resilient macro-economic performance even during the recent global economic crisis. Unlike comparable developing countries, Bangladesh has been able to impress with its notable improvements in various social and human development indicators simultaneously (see Fig. 1). In fact, Bangladesh has been successful in continuously developing its human resources, female empowerment and living standard improvements. This has made the country a unique proposition as a model for growth.

One important outcome of Bangladesh’s unique growth pattern is that it has been successfully shaping the domestic market as a robust shield against various external economic shocks. How so? Dissimilar to its regional counterparts, the economic growth of Bangladesh has not expanded the economic divide – rather the effects of the growth have been distributed evenly both in monetary and non-monetary forms. The result is a rising relative share of the middle-income segment along with a growing per capita income. Consequently, not only is the purchasing power of people increasing but also the consumer base is expanding. This strengthening domestic demand has been one big contributing factor in keeping the economy afloat even during difficult periods.

Another reinforcing factor in the Bangladeshi growth story is the composition of its population. The majority of the population is concentrated within the ‘working age’ category and the relative share of this age category is on the rise.

According to the World Bank, the working age (15-64 years) population reached 64.2 percent in 2012, up from 53.9 percent in 1990. Within the same time period, the dependent population (below 15 or above 64 years) as a percentage of working age population has dropped considerably, from 85 percent to 54.53 percent. Given the country’s labour costs are already one of the lowest globally, this growing labour force (see Fig. 1) and declining dependent population percentage guarantees a persistent labour cost competitiveness in various labour-intensive sectors.

Bangladeshi growth

38.11%

Foreign exchange reserve growth

12.88%

Export growth

3.70%

Net FDI Growth

306

listed companies and mutual funds

$36bn

Total market capitalization

27.6%

Market cap to GDP

$62.3m

Average market turnover

What needs to be done
Bangladesh is well on track to become an economic powerhouse in the South Asian region. Infrastructure development, coupled with a strong capital market and financial sector, is essential for sustainable growth. According to the World Bank, Bangladesh will have to invest between $7.4bn and $10bn a year until 2020 to build infrastructure for sustainable growth. The investment to GDP ratio, which has been hovering around the 25 percent mark for a long time, needs to be improved to attain the targeted eight percent GDP growth rate. The government is keen on overcoming these deficiencies, as evidenced by its undertaking several huge projects aimed at wide-scale infrastructure development in the last few years. However, it is a fact that government initiatives alone are not enough for rapid infrastructural transformation: contributions from the private sector are essential. The presence of a well-functioning, liquid and developed capital market, together with a robust financial sector, integrates this process.

Considering the commonality of emerging markets, it’s no surprise the Bangladeshi capital market has historically been extremely volatile. It went through two corrections within a span of about 13 years, in 1996 and 2010. The market has not yet fully recovered, even after four years, from the latter downturn.

One of the primary contributing factors behind this excessively long recovery period is the acute lack of diversification options in the market. The investors simply don’t have enough options to diversify away or hedge their risks by investing in different asset classes. Only plain vanilla equity securities are traded on the secondary market; the market for fixed income securities being effectively non-existent. Only a handful of corporate debentures or bonds are listed with virtually zero liquidity. Under these circumstances, the investors are left with few choices in terms of asset class – hence the slow pace of recovery in investor confidence.

Even though the major role of capital markets is to provide a means of raising capital, most of the financing needs of businesses and government projects are borne by the banking sector in Bangladesh. From 2010 to 2013, for every 100 taka of funds raised from the banking sector, only one taka was raised from the capital market. This shows that businesses have not used the capital market enough. As a result, whatever money was invested in the market by investors with promises of high returns contributed to creating market bubbles instead of providing capital to businesses. Consequently, the market crashed, with too much money chasing a limited number of stocks.

This leads to two key observations. First, different classes of investment products need to be brought to the market to address the investors’ needs for diversification and hedging of risk. A broader array of security classes will enable the investors to tailor their portfolios to their specific risk-return profiles. This, in turn, will attract more investors and the risk reduction potential will speed up the re-establishment of investor confidence in the market. Also, a wider range of asset classes will draw more foreign investment into the capital market.

Second, businesses should be driven towards the capital market to meet their capital needs. On one side, this will stop the formation of market bubbles during bullish times and, on the other side, it will enable the capital market to further accelerate economic development by channelling the excess funds to businesses that require new capital. Opening up the secondary market to both debt and equity products is essential in this regard.

The role of NDB Capital
NDB Capital, a subsidiary of the National Development Bank of Sri Lanka, has been playing an instrumental role in bringing about this desired change in the capital market of Bangladesh through its innovative investment banking activities. NDB Capital has been operating in Bangladesh since 2009. In 2013 alone, it raised about USD 129m for its clients in the form of both debt and equity securities. What sets NDB Capital apart from its competition is its strategy to introduce innovatively structured products to the capital market while adhering to strong corporate governance and ethical standards. By closely scrutinising the market and macro-economic scenario, business characteristics and the specific requirements of the client, NDB Capital formulates an optimised and customised solution on a case-by-case basis within the legal and regulatory environment.

Source: World Bank
Source: World Bank

Traditionally, the majority of the investment banks in Bangladesh have operated with a very narrow focus on a few plain vanilla products. NDB Capital has been striving to break this trend. Besides introducing a convertible preference share issue to the market to finance a green field project, NDB Capital successfully managed the issuance of the first-ever convertible bond with an embedded put option in 2013. It also facilitated foreign investment in Bangladesh by offering a full spectrum of investment banking services. NDB Capital took initiatives to build awareness about Sharia-compliant products in the market to address the growing appetite for alternative investment vehicles. Moreover, the firm is planning to introduce the first-ever revolving commercial paper in the Bangladeshi market. The significance of the role being played by NDB Capital in redesigning the local market has been reinforced by its winning a number of internationally recognised awards.

The road ahead
In order to sustain its healthy growth trajectory, Bangladesh needs to ensure adequate participation from all classes of investors: namely the government, institutions, the general public and foreign investors. For this, a well-functioning capital market and strong investor confidence is necessary. The investors need to be offered flexibility and diversity in their investment options to reduce the risks. Equally importantly, the private sector needs to be made aware of the various sources and instruments of fund raising while simultaneously minimising the cost of funds. In this regard, investment banks have a key responsibility in creating awareness among entrepreneurs. Also, the onus is on the investment banks to bring together global and local investors, and local industries through structuring innovative capital market products with appropriate risk mitigation strategies.

A large part of the development of Bangladesh’s capital market depends on how well the investment banks can perform this role of creating value on both sides of the continuum: the investors and the investees. NDB Capital, with its innovative strategic focus and a vision to initiate positive change, has been doing exactly that and will continue do so in the future.

Sri Lanka’s renaissance gives rise to a new era of investment banking

After three decades of internal conflicts, Sri Lanka has seen a sizeable change in its economic landscape with new infrastructure developments and the revitalisation of the economy. Sri Lanka’s GDP growth bounced back to 7.3 percent in 2013, reflecting increased domestic demand and improved exports and tourism sectors. Sri Lanka’s macroeconomic performance in 2013 exceeded global expectations as GDP per capita income reached $3,280 (up from $869 in 2000, see Fig. 1). The relaxed monetary stance of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka eased inflation, maintaining it at a single digit rate. Amid the global market turmoil, the exchange rate remained stable while foreign remittance continued to grow.

The World Bank affirmed Sri Lanka’s business-friendly policies; the country ranks ahead of South Asian peers in the Doing Business rankings, reaching 85 out of 189 countries in June 2013. Sri Lanka rose in the global ladder partly by strengthening investor protection and reducing taxes on businesses.

Sri Lanka continues to gain in human development measures, ranking first in South Asia in the Human Development Index. Sri Lanka advanced to ‘high human development category’ for the first time last year, positioning the country at 92 out of 187 countries. The effective welfare, public health and education services resulted in socio economic indicators standing above peers, with 75.1 years of life expectancy at birth and a literacy rate of 95.6 percent in 2013.

In its flagship publication, Asian Development Outlook 2014, the Asian Development Bank (ADB) mentioned that an improved external environment, higher investments, and a recovery in domestic consumption would sustain a rapid pace of GDP growth in Sri Lanka in the next two years. The ADB forecast GDP growth will reach 7.5 percent in 2014 and remain at that level in 2015.

Sri Lanka on the Human Development Index

92ND

Out of 187 countries

75.1

Life expectancy at birth

95.6%

Literacy

The road to Upper Middle Income status
The country is continuing its transition into an ‘Upper Middle Income Country’, aiming to achieve a GDP per capita income of $4,000 by 2016. The overall expansion of the economy will be stimulated by the 5+1 Hub concept, which focuses on developing Sri Lanka’s maritime, aviation, energy, knowledge, commercial and tourism hubs. The large-scale infrastructure development projects involved include the expressway network, improvement and development of the road network, construction of bridges, development of ports, improvement of railways and increasing power generation. Over the past four years, the said developments have laid a strong foundation to transform Sri Lanka into a strategically important economic centre.

After the cessation of the civil war, travel restrictions were removed and Sri Lanka garnered a reputation as a tourism hot spot: tourist arrivals surpassed 1.27 million in 2013, earning $1.7bn. The trend is likely to continue and the industry needs to develop significantly from its current capacity to meet the ambitious target of 2.5 million tourist arrivals by 2016. Investors in the hotel industry, led by international players, have identified the potential, with over 250 projects in the pipeline to reap the benefits of a booming industry.

Significant investments in the maritime sector – highlighted by the development of ports – and the current aviation related infrastructure developments in Katunayaka, Mattala and domestic airports have laid the groundwork for the country to be the emerging maritime and aviation hub in the region. As the emerging energy hub, the country has developed a steady pipeline of investments in electricity generation projects to ensure energy security, with the emphasis on developing renewable energy and coal power projects. Steps are underway to raise the quality standards and create a dynamic education sector to reinforce the knowledge hub. The activities relating to all these hubs will spearhead the transformation of the country into a commercial hub.

Capital markets to lead the way
The financial system will be the main source of the investments that will fund Sri Lanka’s goal of becoming a $4,000 per capita economy. With the focus on the 5+1 concept, along with well-placed economic structures, private sector involvement and entrepreneurship, the Sri Lankan economy is expected to become more resilient and diversified, and its economic growth will be sustained.

While steps have been taken by the Central Bank of Sri Lanka to strengthen the financial system by making its architecture more effective and productive, the conventional banking system alone will not be able to raise the entire requirement of capital to guide Sri Lanka towards its 2016 goals. The capital markets will need to act as the catalyst to raise funds to bridge the gap.

An action plan drawn up in consultation with stakeholders is expected to reinvigorate the capital market while regulatory framework will bring greater efficiency, transparency and accountability.

The debt market revived within the budgetary concessions extended on listed debentures, with 26 corporate debentures worth $522m listing on the Colombo Stock Exchange in 2013. Despite the low cost funding available due to the prevalent low interest rate regime, and excess of liquidity in the banking sector, the debt capital market is expected to grow. The sovereign bond issue, oversubscribed 8.3 times in April 2014, was able to fetch a tighter yield of 5.125 percent – reflecting the continued confidence placed by international investors.

The Sri Lankan equity market made a slow recovery, with policy directions advocating monetary easing measures since December 2012. During the 12-month period up to May 2013, the ASPI wavered around the 6,000-point mark, closing at 6,263 points. Due to the lacklustre performance in the equity market, the IPOs were almost non-existent, with only one listing in 2013. The four IPO listings by the end of June 2014 indicate a positive change in market sentiment. It is noteworthy that, since May 2014, the stock market has seen a drastic improvement in the indices, with ASPI crossing the 6,800-point barrier and average daily turnover increasing to LKR 1,276m (USD 10m).

The role of investment banking
The role of investment banking has become much more significant with the economic revitalisation of Sri Lanka. Investment banking has evolved to embrace financial products, including mobilising funds in the debt and equity markets, corporate advisory services and facilitating M&As, financial restructuring, valuations, and market research. Investment banking has great potential, with the anticipated growth in the global and domestic economies, and NDB Investment Bank (NDBIB) is poised to take advantage of new opportunities with a range of diverse and innovative products.

Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka. Notes: 2014-16 figures projected
Source: Central Bank of Sri Lanka. Notes: 2014-16 figures projected

NDBIB raised $322m of funds in 2013, concluding its most successful year to date. NDBIB has established a stronghold in listed corporate debentures in the past year as the leader in a fragmented market of more than 10 players. The bank had a more than 40 percent share in terms of both the number of issues and total funds raised. NDBIB remained the market leader in the non-banking and financial sector fund raisings, maintaining an 80 percent market share. NDBIB structured the largest-ever corporate debenture in Sri Lanka for its parent company, the National Development Bank.

In its continuing quest for innovation, NDBIB introduced multiple green-shoe options in the event of an oversubscription for debentures and structured the first ever securitisation of future receivables of broker advances. NDBIB – together with its sister company in Bangladesh, NDB Capital – arranged a syndicated loan facility, comprising financial institutions both in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, for Lakdhanavi (a Sri Lanka-based premier company in the power and energy sector) to set up a heavy fuel thermal power plant in Rajshahi, Bangladesh.

NDBIB was actively engaged in the equity market via private placements and extended advisory services despite the moderation in activity on the Colombo Stock Exchange in 2013. Adding to its list of achievements, NDBIB acted as financial advisor to the largest share repurchase in Sri Lanka on behalf of its parent, NDB Capital Holdings. NDBIB was also financial advisor to Hemas Manufacturing’s acquisition of a 72 percent stake in JL Morison Sons & Jones (Ceylon). NDBIB advised and acted as the Manager to the Mandatory Offer and the Voluntary Offer arising from the acquisition.

NDBIB strives for professional expertise in its team, which is made up of highly qualified individuals with multi-disciplinary backgrounds. The corporate culture of NDBIB is driven by the highest ethical standards with honesty and integrity as its hallmarks. NDBIB adheres to strict corporate governance, transparency and ethical guidelines and has adopted the CFA Code of Conduct, a formal compliance procedure and industry best practices.

NDBIB has set its sights on further strengthening its global reach by seeking strategic alliances with foreign distribution channels in order to meet the growing thirst for capital in Sri Lanka. Leveraging the solid foundation set in 2013 and collaborations with the NDB Group network, NDBIB looks forward to a successful year ahead.

SMEs to drive Lebanon’s economy

Still recovering from a 15-year long civil war and surrounded on all sides by political instability, Lebanon’s economy has rebounded (see Fig. 1) with the help of a resurgent banking sector and an improved marketplace for SMEs. Today, Lebanon’s once inhospitable economic climate has been transformed into a haven for low and middle-income businesses and individuals looking for a financial safety net, and an attractive proposition for foreign governments.

“Banking has been at the forefront of almost everything in Lebanon,” says Anwar Jammal, Chief Executive of Jammal Trust Bank (JTB). “The Lebanese Civil War saw us move onto the backburner somewhat, but we have reinvigorated the country’s banking prowess.” Since Jammal was appointed to the board in 2005, the bank has been on a mission to restructure and revitalise its business, beginning with the country’s lowest income bracket, and later expanding to niche commercial loan segments and increasingly competitive retail products and services. Lauded as the region’s fastest-growing bank, JTB boasts a comprehensive portfolio of products and services with appeal for millions of customers from all walks of life.

What was once the Middle East’s financial centre, prior to Bahrain and Dubai, remains a remarkably well-developed and mature market, and major industry players such as JTB are today taking pains to bring the sector’s stature back to the heights of years gone by. The enduring issue of Lebanon’s underserved banking public has been left unchecked for too long now, save for a select few institutions, whose commitment to SMEs and microfinance today signals the beginning of a new era.

SME opportunities
“I believe SMEs, especially in Lebanon, are the backbone of the economy,” says Jammal. “A lot of businesses here are what we might call the grey economy. By this I don’t mean something that is illicit, but that they’re usually family-owned businesses where the father might start in a certain industry only for their son to later take over. It’s not a form of company or entity that is usually registered at the ministry of commerce, although these family-owned shops are truly the backbone of the economy, making up roughly 60 to 70 percent of the Lebanese economy.”

Founded in 1963 with a capital base of only one million Lebanese liras, JTB has since become the first bank in Lebanon to really enter the micro credit market, and today roughly 90 to 95 percent of the bank’s customer base consists of SMEs and micro-credit-related customers. By dedicating time and resources to the task of better understanding small-scale businesses and the complex ways in which they perform and contend with everyday problems, JTB has developed an effective model of bringing SMEs into the banking system.

60-70%

Share of the Lebanese economy made up of ‘grey business’

The principle challenge for Lebanon SMEs, says Jammal, is easy access to financing: “When you go to the bank, they ask for a lot of paper work: what’s your budget, your plan, your long term prospects and so forth. However, with family-run businesses it’s not that simple.” Often, the barriers to entry for SMEs are simply too high, so many smaller enterprises are unable to expand in any significant way or even survive.

“You need to understand the fundamental difference here that their tills and their pockets are one and the same thing. So basically, at the end of the day, they empty the till into their pockets, they go home, they give their kids pocket money, and they buy certain provisions, only to go in again the next day and empty their pockets into the till and start over. This, I think, is one of the major challenges that SMEs face.”

Microfinance in Lebanon
JTB’s commitment to microfinance can best be seen in its average loan size. At an average size of $1,400, the bank’s lending policy is structured in such a way that it specifically caters for SMEs and helps them not only organise their finances but enter the banking system in a formal capacity. Beginning with a loan of $3,000 to $4,000, JTB gives its customers 12 to 18 months to close out the amount in full before offering a second, larger loan. What’s more, the system is preferable to the informal market alternative, which at times charges truly staggering interest rates and often puts borrowers out of business and into debt.

“We try and explain to our customers how we do things, and to explain how they need to start organising their payments so they know they have, for example, an electricity bill that’s coming at the end of the month, a separate utility bill, another payment to be made to the bank, etc,” says Jammal. “We try and get them to organise their finances before we graduate them or give them a second loan that is a little bit higher. From there, we graduate them to the really small business loans that JTB does. So, in actual fact, you’re actually taking – and I use this term with a pinch of salt – the unbanked population and entering them into the system.”

The World Bank estimates that more than 50 percent of Lebanon’s adult population do not have accounts at a formal financial institution. In bringing the country’s unbanked population into the formal banking system, JTB hopes to leverage economic opportunities for the country that otherwise would not exist. Lebanon’s banking penetration, or lack thereof, has for years stifled development in financial services, though a growing focus on microfinance could well turn the country’s fortunes around. “Micro credit, in my opinion, is one of the many catalysts in the downturn of an economy and in job retention,” says Jammal. “A lot of theories and a lot of studies surround microfinance, and you notice that every time something big in microfinance happens internationally it becomes the flavour of the month. I think microfinance sustains an economy, and from 2008 until now – I mean we haven’t felt it that much but it’s certainly the case in the developing world – in what you’d consider a downturn, politicians and economists always talk about job creation. However, what they totally overlook is job retention.”

Source: World Bank
Source: World Bank

It is in this same respect that JTB offers SMEs a lifeline, so the bank’s microfinance offerings are important in boosting the country’s long-term economic prospects. In a downturn, workers are prone to losing their jobs, as has been the case in years passed. However, when you give a lifeline to those affected, you effectively sustain the economy.

This theory underpins JTB’s commitment to the lower middle-income bracket and below. By creating micro credit loans and products specifically geared to underserved segments of the Lebanese population, the bank is discouraging those affected from taking out payday loans by offering attractive interest rates with low barriers to entry and broadening the horizons of Lebanon’s SMEs.

Banking challenges
Aside from the opportunities for SMEs in Lebanon’s banking climate, foreign governments are increasingly looking to the banking sector’s culture of secrecy as an attractive proposition. Lebanese banking, according to Jammal, “is pretty much under the microscope in the larger scheme of things,” and harbours a number of hospitable opportunities for international investors.

However, it’s important to acknowledge Lebanon’s banking sector is handicapped by turmoil in the Middle East. “We’re between a rock and hard place at present, but that is more or less political as opposed to anything else,” says Jammal. And while Lebanese banks do have exposure to Syria, Iraq, Egypt and Turkey, the sector seems to have weathered the storm well – although it is still waiting for the dust to settle in Iraq, according to Jammal.

Despite the challenges that remain for JTB and the nation’s broader financial services sector, the bank’s chief executive is optimistic about the company and country’s future prospects. “Our ambitions are to consolidate our market leader position in the SME and microfinance business, and to be able to get more and more people into the banking system,” he says. “It would also worry me, as a banker and a CEO, if some of these people who were unbanked and have started working with us, moved on to another bank, which, for me, means that we’re not doing what we need.”

Provided firms such as JTB continue to meet demands for financial services among Lebanon’s lower earners, the country’s SMEs will drive economic growth onwards and upwards. Without an entry point into Lebanon’s banking sector, as provided by JTB, those in the lowest income bracket are unlikely to penetrate the formal economy and have a measurable influence on the country’s future.

Chile is now a major economic player, says Bci

In the last five years, Chile has posted in excess of five percent growth on average and showcased some of the most impressive economic fundamentals on the continent. Underpinned by social and political stability and consistent sub 4.5 percent inflation, the country has taken on a new significance for investors and multinationals looking for emerging economic opportunities.

The country’s healthy economic growth, longstanding political stability and hospitable business climate saw the World Economic Forum anoint Chile as the top ranking Latin American country in its Global Competitiveness Index 2013-14 (see Fig. 1). What’s more, the organisation gave it the lowest risk rating of all the leading countries in the region, with a low spread of 1.29 percent, as of May this year.

Against this backdrop of security and continued prosperity, Chile’s financial system has come on leaps and bounds, with loans having grown by over 11 percent in only the last four years. What’s more, its high levels of capitalisation, and in-decline default indicators have cemented the banking sector’s stature as a regional leader with formidable international influence.

The country’s on-going transformation has given rise to several impressive names, not least Banco de Crédito e Inversiones (Bci), which has set a precedent for those in Chile’s burgeoning banking industry for decades. It was over 80 years ago now that a small band of entrepreneurs joined together in Chile with the ambition to create a company capable of supplying formal and sustainable financing. Fast-forward to today and Bci is one of the region’s foremost financial names, lauded for its company culture and renowned the world over for its impressive track record.

1.29%

Chile’s risk rating

An active role
Founded in 1937, Bci has played an active role in the development of Chile’s financial system, exhibiting evidence of its soundness and solvency throughout. The bank successfully overcame the crisis well before its peers, the same crisis that ultimately led to the crash of the Chilean banking sector in 1982, and demonstrated its high level of solvency through the course of the last major global financial crisis.

Today, Bci is the number three private bank in Chile, in terms of the loans and net income it has so far attained, its sustainable organic growth, and its strategy focused on bolstering the most profitable areas by means of a broader geographical spectrum. The firm’s size and success has also seen Bci post a return on average equity of over 20 percent, representing one of the highest rates of its kind in the national banking community.

Chile’s emergence as a major economic player in Latin America has come alongside the introduction of a fair few impressive corporate performers. And while there are various challenges to contend with – namely an overdependence on commodity prices, tax reform and trade union conflicts – the country’s leading performers are negotiating these hurdles with ease and creating the conditions to thrive.

By focusing on factors apart from financial gains and taking into account the issues affecting those in the community, Chile’s foremost financial players have cemented strong foundations for lesser names in the industry and influenced key developments in the national economy.

On the way to becoming one of Chile’s key banking names, Bci has taken special care to create and manage a sound organisational culture that puts people front and centre in all it does. The ‘happy employee = happy customer = happy shareholder’ equation is, therefore, a key aspect of its daily activities and perhaps the most important lesson that companies in the region should strive to replicate.

The bank operates in four fundamental departments: retail banking, commercial banking, SME banking, and corporate and investment banking (CIB). Each of these departments comprise different customer segments and cater to entirely separate requirements.

Whereas the bank’s retail division caters for the country’s general banking public, Bci’s commercial banking arm deals with companies whose sales range between $4m and $80m per annum. The bank’s SME offerings, however, were only recently created in 2013 and include microenterprise, entrepreneur and small business segments. The bank’s services in each of these sectors illustrate the extent by which Chile’s banking proficiency has advanced, as well as the rate by which demand for financial services among SMEs in the region has grown.

What’s more, Bci’s CIB services are targeted at large corporations, institutions, high net worth clients, and capital market players, whose requirements pertain to more complex financial matters. Bci provides these services through asset management and stock brokerage subsidiaries, which are in both cases the third best in the country’s banking sector. It has also an outstanding position in the sales and trading area, where it has managed to position itself in first place in the foreign exchange market. Again, the bank’s corporate and investment divisions prove that the capacity of Chile’s banking sector matches even those in more developed markets, and serves to underline the complexity of the country’s financial requirements at present.

Source: World Economic Forum
Source: World Economic Forum

Internationalisation and innovation
Based on Bci’s commercial structure, the bank has defined its strategic focus in such a way so as to ensure the best customer experience possible, and to attain a unique value proposal for the segments in which it operates. Always seeking innovation and new opportunities, Bci has embarked upon an ambitious internationalisation strategy and diversified its external financing sources in terms of investor profile.

Bci signalled the beginning of its expansion into international markets 15 years ago, by opening its first branch in Miami. The aim here was to launch an internationalisation process to explore both new markets and growth opportunities, and to expand upon the services available to its customers operating overseas. Fast-forward to today and Bci has signed an agreement to buy the fourth largest bank in Florida, City National Bank, marking the largest investment made by a Chilean company in the US, and one that makes Bci the first bank in Latin America to base major operations in that market.

The bank also has representative offices in Brazil, Colombia, Peru, Mexico, a service desk in Spain and, for some months now, has been seeking authorisation to open a representative office in Shanghai, which again highlights Bci’s commitment to extending its international coverage.

Not purely based on boosting its commercial presence, in 2013 the bank continued to actively diversify its external financing sources, geographical origin, and the kind of instruments used. And in February this year, the bank proceeded to issue its second 144A bond, an instrument that can only be purchased by qualified investors. The amount issued was $500m, with a 10-year maturity at an annual interest rate of four percent. Bci also issued three bonds in the Swiss market, the first worth $225m with three-year maturity, the second $135m with two-year maturity, and the most recent issue in June 2014 worth $167m with a five-year maturity.

Moreover, in 2013 Bci continued with the commercial papers programme in the US, maintaining the high rating it received in 2012 from Standard & Poor’s (A1) and Moody’s (P1). Such a programme enables Bci to issue short-term securities in the US market of up to $1bn, and the bank had issued $497m by year’s end. In brief, the continuation of the bank’s strategy to increase and diversify its foreign financing has allowed it to secure new funding from abroad in recent years, thereby reducing the financial cost of borrowing and endorsing Bci’s growing international renown as well as the status of Chile’s financial services sector.

Corporate citizenship
Nevertheless, Bci’s growth is not only evident in its good economic and financial performance, but equally in areas of transparency, CSR and innovation. A commitment to matters quite aside from financial performance is today expected of companies in Chile, given its high standing on the global economic stage, and Bci has quickly proceeded to set the precedent to which others should aspire.

Transparency is a core value for Bci, given the role it plays in forming long-term relations with stakeholders, who represent the root of the bank’s successes. To manage this, Bci has developed a specific strategy focused on three aspects: maintaining its leadership in transparency, enhancing long-lasting customer and employee relations, and protecting consumers and workers.

This strategy has two main initiatives: financial education and supplier relations. Concerning financial education, Bci created an interactive and innovative platform, where people can gain access to diverse content expressed clearly, simply and transparently.

Maintaining sound supplier relations has always been part of the corporate mission of the bank as it strives to forge mutually beneficial relations, loyalty, high quality standards, compliance and transparency, always offering them fair and friendly treatment with sustainable long-term dialogue.

With Bci at the helm, Chile’s standing in the global financial services sector looks only to continue on up, as the emerging economy sets its sights on new market opportunities and reaffirms its status as a fertile landscape for growth and prosperity.

ICSFS: Influx of cloud-based platforms will enhance banking industry

As online technology continues to surge forward, industries the world over are having to invest heavily in new ways to manage their operations, connect with customers and promote services. The banking industry, in particular, has used online platforms as a way of managing services and enhancing the way customers can access their financial information.

The influx of cloud-based platforms has led to a new wave of services that banks are looking at to further enhance their products while streamlining their operations. The rapid emergence of online social media over the last decade has also offered banks a cost effective and hugely attractive way to connect with both their customers and potential new clients. However, while the possibilities in online services are many, there remain concerns over the security of internet-based services.

World Finance recently spoke to Wael Malkawi, Executive Director of Business Development for ICS Financial Systems (ICSFS), a banking software provider of ‘ICS BANKS’ financial solutions that has over three decades of experience helping financial institutions manage their digital operations. He believes that the possibilities that have emerged from cloud computing over the last few years are vast, and they come at a time when banks are facing a number of new challenges.

“During the past six or seven years, we’ve seen that the financial sector, and especially the banks, are facing tighter margins, more regulatory requirements, and globalisation, and the geographic issue where competition is not only coming from your own local market,” says Malkawi. “Customer reach has also presented a challenge, as customers are no longer bound by any particular geography, in both retail and corporate segments.

[Malkawi] believes that the possibilities that have emerged from cloud computing over the last few years are vast

“Cloud computing is not a new offering. However, with the recent enhancements, we think that many customers can today rely on the internet. We have seen how the internet has transformed over the last 10 years, with the number of users ever increasing (see Fig. 1). Open borders have meant that it’s irrelevant where your data centre is, and where your customer is. No single business today can live without the use of technology or automation software. Therefore, today there is a lot of demand for mission-critical applications.”

Enhanced communication
He adds that emerging markets in particular are areas where cloud computing can boost the number of customers for banks: “We see the enhancement of technology and communication, especially in emerging markets, as increasing the number of banking customers. Cloud computing is being looked at by many banks because of the way it enhances communication and delivery channels, from mobile payments to automation, and microfinance to retail business. We are seeing a lot of changes to the market and the way that banks are connecting to their customers, and the way that they’re looking at data centres and their software.”

However, there remain challenges in integrating all of these cloud services with other technology used by banks. “The challenges we are seeing are because of the deployment of lots of software products for banks across multiple channels and having so many integrated solutions,” says Malkawi. “In the past, the demand came for individual and separate products or solutions, such as in customer relationship management (CRM), profitability, risk, retail, corporate, and treasuries. These systems now have to all talk to each other in order to have a customer-centric offering. This is pushing banks to revisit their core banking applications and in-house software deployment.”

Malkawi feels that there are three areas banks need to look to when deciding whether to implement such technology: how advanced the technology is, how effective it is, and how expensive it is. “There are three parameters that are becoming important for any organisation: the complexity of the data centre architecture, the performance, and the cost. In return, this increases the pressure [for there to be] daily management and support for IT, and software becomes part of their daily operations as well. We think that banks are seriously looking at outsourcing their data centre or software to a cloud service, where it can be managed either by them or a third party.”

ICSFS is able to offer its flagship system ‘ICS BANKS’ as a white label solution that covers all three of these areas, and can be easily adapted. “We have a state-of-the-art, universal banking application that is fully integrated,” says Malkawi. “One of the biggest challenges is to have all a bank’s data centres and software fully integrated. The three important parameters – complexity, security and cost – are things that we have seriously worked on over the years to make sure that they are aligned. Therefore we are providing banking-specific applications that are low cost, secure and highly scalable. The solutions that we are working on are looking at improving enterprise performance, complying with regulatory mandates, and boost[ing] operational efficiency.”

Source: IDC, CI Almanac, NUA, Internet World Stats. Notes: 2014 figure is an estimate
Source: IDC, CI Almanac, NUA, Internet World Stats. Notes: 2014 figure is an estimate

The company’s flexible product offering incorporates many different types of financial institution. “Being in the market for more than 20 years, we have a long experience of what the customer wants,” says Malkawi. “Since we started we have been building a solution that can meet the business needs of today and the future of banks. Therefore we have a universal banking application that is branded, packaged and sold as a scalable product and can serve any bank, from tier one banks to tier three banks. It can serve retail banks, wholesale banks, corporate banks, commercial banks, and investment banks. It has also been used in Islamic banking and finance leasing, as well as microfinance banking.”

Social banking
Financial institutions are also increasingly looking at social media as an effective way of communicating with their customers, as well as marketing products to potential new ones. “Social media has changed the face of the world, not just in the banking industry,” says Malkawi. “It has changed our lives, our children’s, and our families’ as well. The same applies to the banking industry too. Our customers today are connected to social media, such as Facebook and Twitter, almost 24 hours a day.

“If you look at the past couple of years, banks are spending more money marketing [themselves] on social media. They are budgeting even more for the coming years. Banks today are also looking to connect with a new generation, especially people aged between 18 and 30, to promote retail banking. They see it as an important tool to reach those customers. On Facebook alone there are over one billion active users spending a lot of their time.

“Since your customers are connected, you can reach them and non-customers with promotions of the bank. You can also use social media as an online help service and [an] alternative to call centres. Campaign management can also be done with social media by integrating it with CRM.”

One area that banks are particularly concerned about is the security of the cloud. Such sensitive and valuable information must be tightly secured if banks are to trust third parties with managing their online services, but Malkawi feels that the concerns over cloud computing are similar to those felt before the emergence of internet banking, which is now widely used. “In principle, there’s no operation without risk. We faced the same questions before opening ourselves to internet and mobile banking,” he says. “The same question is now being asked [of] cloud computing. Once the risk is known, I’m sure that it can be mitigated. There will always be precautions and solutions to overcome these risks. It is a concern for some banks and they’re afraid of opening their core banking to cloud computing. I think that this issue will be overcome, the same as it was with internet banking. Today we have better technology – especially through working with big companies like Oracle, HP and IBM – we can offer a total turnkey solution and minimise the risk.”

Malkawi accepts that in less developed banking markets, risk concerns are higher, but that this will likely change in the next few years. “In the banking sector in emerging markets, banks are still a bit conservative,” he says. “They are willing to host on the cloud their mobile banking, internet banking and ATM/card services, but at the moment not their core banking businesses. In theory these banks will offer this in the coming years. The pressure is mostly felt by small- and medium-sized enterprises, because they are trying to reach their customers and scale up their operations.”

ICSFS has served the financial sector for almost 34 years, originally forming in London as part of its mother company ICS London. It is this wealth of experience that has allowed the company to offer its clients an advanced, expert service. ICS BANKS provides a complete suite of banking business modules with a rich sweep of functionality and features, addressing business needs and automating accounting processes, as needed, to improve a bank’s business performance. ICS BANKS has always been a pioneer in utilizing the latest technology to serve financial institutions. ICSFS has customers in 31 countries, the majority of which are in the Middle East and Africa, but it also has clients in the UK, Cyprus and Southeast Asia. In the future, it hopes to expand further across Africa and Asia, as well as mainland Europe.

Among its future products, ICSFS is hoping to incorporate the use of big data so that clients are able to better understand and analyse the trends that are affecting them. Harnessing the power of the internet is something that has presented the financial industry with a great opportunity to build trust with both existing customers and potential new ones. With specialists like ICSFS, banks need not be concerned about the complexities and security concerns that have troubled them in the past, and instead can look toward a better-connected future.

SURA helps investors leverage opportunities in Mexico

Mexico is fast emerging as an attractive destination for global investors. Although the country plays host to sound economic fundamentals and ample liquidity, Mexico’s financial services sector is suffering from a lack of focus, as well as an overreliance on short-term gains ahead of long-term prosperity.

In answer to the country’s shortfalls in investment management, some firms are beginning to hone in and take advantage of the many opportunities that exist in what remains a hospitable marketplace for investors. We spoke to Salvador Galindo Cuspinera, CIO of SURA Investment Management Mexico, about the country’s investment landscape and how the firm has managed to differentiate its services from its competitors’.

What do investors expect when looking at Mexico? Is the country proving to be an attractive destination for global investors?
The Mexican market (like many other emerging markets) has benefited from ample liquidity stemming from those in more developed markets seeking more attractive rates.

Mexico has very good macroeconomic fundamentals and, on top of that, offers a very positive outlook for future growth by remaining closely linked to the US, principally in the areas of trade (see Fig. 1) and energy, and by implementing much-needed structural reforms. The US shale boom and on-going talks on the Trans-Pacific Partnership, combined with good demographics, also reinforce the prospect of higher growth in the coming years. Low labour costs and a cheap currency provide global investors with an attractive investment destination. However, the massive flow of capital has made the Mexican market expensive – especially the stock market – so we expect the Mexican stock market to provide a stable outlook but to underperform against international equity markets.

Elsewhere, the bond market seems to have a bit more space to over-perform against international debt markets, especially considering that the central bank has room to lower short-term rates. However, we believe that long-term rates are not compensating for the risks to which they are exposed. Although they still offer a significant spread to other markets, we prefer to remain invested in the short end, anticipating an increase in global bond rates.

The Mexican peso is still fundamentally cheap, as it offers an overnight rate much higher than its major counterparts, with better growth prospects and stable inflation differentials. We believe that interest rate differentials, better growth prospects and limited inflation risks will lead to a continued appreciation of the peso.

How does SURA differ from other Mexican asset managers?
Most asset managers in Mexico are part of a financial group with different business units, such as a brokerage house, a corporate and investment bank, or both, making them a one-stop shop that offers a variety of services. These are simply financial supermarkets with diverse clientele but without any special area of competency or specific focus.

SURA Investment Management (SIM), on the other hand, only provides asset management services. This is a key differentiator since all of its operations and resource structures are designed to provide clients with the best standard of service, as well as a focus on achieving superior risk adjusted returns.

How does SIM differentiate itself to gain an advantage over its competitors?
I believe that SIM has two particular advantages over its competitors: an operational structure designed to generate superior investment capabilities, and a unique investment philosophy.

Integrated financial companies leverage their core resources and personnel to provide all kinds of financial services (among them asset management). However, asset management is often not a priority for financial groups and their incentive programmes often result in neglecting or even subordinating the asset management unit to investment banking, brokerage or commercial banking units.

SURA only focuses on providing asset management. That requires us to have specialised areas and develop core competencies by using unique processes and human capabilities. Those include investment analysis and portfolio management, operational and execution efficiency, and highly specialised service and relationship management staff.

Let me give you an example: SIM has a clear separation of the portfolio management and trading functions (something that is pretty standard among the top asset managers worldwide but is seldom found within the Mexican financial groups). Both functions are key to achieving investment success but require specialised resources. SIM has a portfolio management group formed by portfolio managers and analysts who focus exclusively on generating investment strategies and ideas, as well as a separate trading group that focuses on the best possible execution and operational efficiency.

Most of our competitors have a combined group that performs both trading and portfolio management, and often leverages the analysis at the sell side of the business to inform its investment strategies. Another standard practice that we have is to trade with as many counterparts as possible to achieve best execution, whereas most of our competitors trade with their own sell side desks, meaning that best execution is not a common practice for them.

What is SURA’s investment philosophy?
With respect to the investment philosophy, we believe in active management, and our aim is to generate superior risk-adjusted returns for our clients. To achieve this, we use an investment process based on fundamental analysis and a medium term horizon.

Our goal is to provide an investment performance that not only compares favourably with a benchmark of similar risk but also with its peer group of competitor funds.

The process involves analysing macroeconomic and fundamental factors, and finding strategies that generate a consistent medium term performance above the benchmark and also allow our funds to be positioned in the top quartile of its category among peers.

Source: Office of the United States Trade Representative
Source: Office of the United States Trade Representative

Security selection is made from a fundamental perspective. We seek to invest in instruments that not only offer a good rate of expected return but also compensate us for the risk we are taking. That sometimes means looking for low-risk instruments that have been neglected by market participants and, other times, making a careful selection of those securities with high rates of return that are properly discounting their level of risk.

For fixed income and debt, the strategies we use vary depending on the economic environment but often include relative value between government curves (changing exposure between nominal and real rates, as well as finding and exploiting attractive nodes within each curve), credit strategies for security selection and overall allocation to the asset class and anticipation strategies (where the duration of the funds is modified to anticipate changes in the levels of interest rates).

Equity strategies are also heavily based on economic and fundamental factors, and are mostly focused on security selection. Relative value and market timing strategies are also used both for the equity strategy and for the tactical asset allocation strategies that switch the allocation from one asset class to the others.

Another fundamental part of our philosophy is the focus on the medium term view; we know that excessive trading is detrimental to our clients, so our focus is always set on our medium term. We do not chase the market; we hold our views and avoid constantly rotating the portfolios, and long-term consistency is key (even if that means holding on to securities that have recently underperformed but that we believe will generate superior returns in the long term).

One last point I would like to emphasise is risk management: we know that taking excessive risk might lead to higher returns, but our focus is to generate superior returns with a limited amount of risk. That is why we focus on consistency and a medium term view, which are fundamental for managing tracking error, maintaining a specified level of volatility and generating high information ratios.

Risk management is essential to achieve a consistent performance. That is why, in addition to the risk management area, we have developed proprietary quantitative tools where portfolio managers can directly visualise in advance the impact of investment strategies in each of the funds, allowing them to adjust the exposure level of each fund to limit the desired level of risk.

How does SURA decide on an investment and then carry it out?
The portfolio managers for each asset class are responsible for setting the strategy of each portfolio and making all the decisions about their management. Portfolio managers are each supported by fundamental analysts who cover both the equity and the credit markets, constantly monitoring securities and generating investment ideas. A quantitative analysis team also helps the managers by developing and updating portfolio management tools that allow them to monitor positioning and risk exposures of the portfolios in real time.

Additionally, managers and analysts are part of an investment committee, which regularly evaluates market trends and economic conditions to determine opportunities and risks, and to generate a view for the medium term outlook.

Once the PM makes an investment decision, the trading team carries out the implementation, focusing on best execution. The risk management group also helps monitor exposures and ensures that the portfolios are at all times in line with the specified investment mandate.

For further information email surainvestment@suramexico.com

SMEs are unsung economic heroes, says Saudi Hollandi Bank

The strong economic growth that is being seen in Saudi Arabia today is driven by a number of factors, not least of which are the government’s active investment programmes and the rise in purchasing power of an emerging middle class. But away from the spotlight, one particular sector is increasingly acting as an engine of sustainable growth. Small- and medium-sized entities (SMEs) are fast emerging as creators of economic value and their impact is already being seen as both employers and suppliers to larger entities (see Fig. 1). Their proven ability to adapt quickly and act flexibly has cemented their significance to the economy.

While the digital economy and other technological advances are providing many opportunities for these businesses, one challenge they face is access to financial services, which remains severely constrained for many of them. This issue is no different in Saudi Arabia than it is in any other country, but the government here is taking a very active role, streamlining the procedures for registering a business, supporting bank lending and providing training as part of a package of incentives and support. Especially visible is the Kingdom’s Kafalah credit guarantee scheme. This loan guarantee programme approved 2,515 facilities in 2013, 51 percent more than the year before, and loans provided by participating commercial banks to SMEs last year amounted to SAR 2.3bn ($0.6bn), an increase of 33 percent over the previous year.

For our part, we understand the unique characteristics of SMEs and have developed straightforward and easy-to-use products and services, underpinned by a simple application and approval process and standardised documentation that address this segment’s specific banking needs. We have put in place a specialised risk acceptance framework for assessing SME credit, which helps us to better serve these customers in a prudent, yet progressive way. We also know that face-to-face dealings are important for the owners of these businesses, so we have broadened our outreach by opening SME business centres at places where we know these companies cluster, like those we see in the Balad area of Jeddah, for example.

SME employee numbers Saudi Arabia

Our offerings not only include plain lending, but they also encompass liquidity management, transactional banking services and treasury solutions to ensure that we build a complete relationship. Innovation based on speed, simplicity and accessibility is our key to successfully servicing SMEs, an approach that has received strong endorsements: we recently won awards for “Best SME Customer Service” and “Best SME Account Proposition” from Banker Middle East, while achieving a high position among banks in terms of the underwritten value of Kafalah guarantees. We were also named “Best SME Bank in Saudi Arabia for 2013” by Capital Finance International.

By combining institutionalised processes that we recognise in corporate banking with a service model deployed in retail banking, we have been able to become one of the market leaders in this crucially important segment.

Middle-market leaders driving industry
Too big to be considered SMEs, but smaller than big, exchange-listed businesses, mid-market corporate businesses also play a key role in the growth of the Saudi economy. By our definition, on average these companies have a turnover of between SAR 75m ($20m) and SAR 500m ($135m). They collectively employ more people than large companies, and usually have a less formal structure.

Middle market firms showed great resilience during the recent economic downturn. According to GE Capital, some 96 percent of European mid-market companies survived the worst financial crises in history, becoming a stable part of the economy, having been in business an average of 33 years. Around the world, mid-market companies have already established themselves as significant contributors to GDP, with those in the top four European countries generating some $1.5trn, a sum that together would make them the world’s 12th-largest economy.

These middle market firms are challenged by different issues to those of SMEs. For example, mid-market companies face mounting pressure to become smarter and more agile enterprises. And to sustain their growth they need to stay ahead of key trends, from evolving consumer behaviour and new technology, to changing supply chain dynamics and the impact of ‘big data’ on manufacturing and innovation.

Despite the greater maturity of this sector, it is still relatively underserved by Saudi banks. These companies need access to growth finance in order to fund new opportunities or expand export activities. Recognising this, we have segmented our overall corporate banking offering, differentiating between mid-market corporate and institutional banking clients, establishing specific businesses to focus on these important client segments.

Mid-market companies need a wide range of products and services including term loans, trade finance, guarantees, corporate finance and advice. In addition to providing such services, we also offer a full range of sharia-compliant corporate products under Islamic structures, an area of continuously growing demand. We are proud that our work has in this area been acknowledged with an Excellence in Corporate Banking award from International Alternative Investment Review, a leading observer in this area.

SME contribution in the MENA region

One common requirement for resources
There is one area where SME and mid-market company needs are identical: that of support partners with specific experience and knowledge of their issues. Nowhere is that more important than in the finance and banking services that are essential to their growth. As more banks turn their attention to helping these companies, a differentiating factor will be the quality of interface – both human and technological – that they offer. Although more mature than many of Saudi’s industries, banking is still relatively young so the provision of carefully crafted training and development programmes is essential to building a sustainable and deep pool of resources.

At Saudi Hollandi Bank we have established specialist training programmes, largely provided from our own training centres, for employees at all levels, from experienced relationship managers to junior clerks. We understand how important it is that all of our people are up-to-date with the latest thinking in their areas and are able to talk to our customers about their issues and offer thoughtful solutions to the problems they face.

Arguably our most important training programmes are those in which we recruit, train and develop fresh graduates, our so called management trainee programmes. Our newest management trainee programme is one focused on providing world-class training to develop bankers dealing with SME customers. Our first group of alumni is already having an impact on the bank’s SME relationships. In addition, we are committed to supporting the Saudi government’s drive to provide more and more employment for the Kingdom’s nationals – a process called Saudisation – not only in SME and mid-market banking, but across all of our business and support and control areas. Our training programmes are essential elements in widening the banking talent pool in the Kingdom and the makeup of our workforce now stands at 90 percent Saudi.

Over 88 years, we have built a reputation as a bank with a strong position at the heart of Saudi Arabia. From backing the first ever issue of Riyals to our role today supporting the Kingdom’s corporate and retail customers, we have grown a strong and influential presence. There will be many opportunities for our SME and mid-market customers to grow in the coming years and we are investing in our ability to be able to help those today, and prepare for those that will arise in the future.

Data is power: Temenos on why organisations should use analytics

The digital era is upon us, and as a result, we now create as much data in two days as we did from the dawn of man through to 2003, according to Eric Schmidt from Google. The International Data Corporation (IDC) reports that the digital universe is doubling every two years, and will reach 40,000 exabytes (40 trillion gigabytes) by 2020 – a single exabyte of storage can contain 50,000 years’ worth of DVD-quality video.

With 25 percent of all business data being generated by the financial services sector, this means that the banking industry is data rich. Banks of all sizes capture masses of data, capable of providing much insight into the operational and financial aspects of a business. If made accessible, analysed and used effectively, this data can provide significant competitive differentiation and transform the ways banks understand and engage with their clientele. It is well known that the high level of consumer adoption of mobile devices is unprecedented and has contributed to changes in consumer behaviours and expectations – the customer is now in control. For banks to succeed in this new digital era they have to become more customer-centric and gain a much deeper insight into their behaviours, traits and needs. Banks must leverage the power of the data that they have to do this.

Yet, for this to happen, data has to be analysed and acted upon, and many banks are struggling to do this. A recent Gartner study has revealed that only seven percent of the data collected by businesses is analysed. This has, in large part, been due to the lack of resources and tools available to access the data, let alone to be able to perform any effective analysis and then act upon it. For banks to unleash the power of their data, they need to invest in business intelligence solutions with analytical capabilities. This will enable banks to expose, access and analyse the data that is potentially the lifeblood of their business and could be the deciding factor of their future success.

For banks to unleash the power of their data, they need to invest in business intelligence solutions with analytical capabilities

Data-driven profit
Data-driven organisations are more profitable and productive than their peers. These companies optimise the data they hold by leveraging four types of analytics (see Fig. 1) in their decision-making processes. These are descriptive (what happened); diagnostic (why did it happen); predictive (what will happen), and prescriptive (what should I do about it). Together, these capabilities provide financial institutions with an enhanced understanding of customers and assist in building customer relationships, devising strategies and rolling out successful marketing campaigns. A data-driven organisation approaches maturity when it can successfully leverage all of these. Data is money – a 10 percent increase in data accessibility translates into an additional $465.7m in net income for a typical Fortune 100 company, according to data from Baseline magazine.

Traditionally, captured data has been limited to revealing demographic and transactional information. However, by utilising digital channels and technologies such as mobile location analytics, web analytics and social media, it’s now possible to analyse customer behaviours, intentions and attitudes.This results in an in-depth insight into customers’ day-to-day lives, enabling financial institutions to provide contextual, personalised offers driving customer value, revenue opportunities and innovation. By analysing this type of customer data, banks can identify specific customer segments. Rather than conducting blanket marketing campaigns, or campaigns based on demographic data, banks can now deliver targeted campaigns to specific customer profiles and sub-segments grouped by behaviour and buying traits, resulting in a much higher response rate.

Typically, 10 percent of a bank’s customers contribute 50 percent of its revenue. Banks can use analytics to make decisions such as whether to harvest the already profitable 10 percent, or to try to better understand the behaviours and traits of the remaining 90 percent, and look at smarter ways to engage with them to increase their individual customer value.

Build or buy
When looking at solutions for sophisticated data analysis, banks essentially have two options – build or buy. Traditionally, many banks have taken a build approach, by first choosing one of the major business intelligence (BI) platforms, and then having consultants or in-house staff build bespoke applications. However, this approach can prove to be very expensive to build and maintain, and, due to the rapid growth of technologies, in-house builds can become obsolete very quickly. These projects are also very prone to failure, with Gartner quoting a failure rate of up to 80 percent.

Data analytics for business

One of the key challenges for banks is to be able to expose and access the data that is traditionally hidden and residing in back office-banking systems. This data needs to become visible in the first instance, to the right users within the bank, who can then analyse it and use it effectively for decision making and for driving the user experience at the various customer touch-points. A leading banking software vendor with a packaged BI solution will be able to achieve this far easier, with much reduced risk than an in-house build enabling the bank to leverage the power of the data more quickly.

A packaged solution, such as Temenos Insight, offers a much faster time-to-value, through pre-packaged descriptive, diagnostic, predictive, and prescriptive analytics. This approach provides banks with an accelerated BI starting point that they can refine for their specific needs and vision. Banks can then quickly harness the wealth of customer information available and look to transform data into valuable insights to guide decisions and interactions.

Temenos is the market’s leading provider of banking software systems, with over 1,600 customer deployments in more than 150 countries across the world. Temenos’ BI offering, Insight, is the only BI platform developed specifically for the banking sector that provides the full stack of BI applications, from reporting, dashboards, visualisations, data discovery, analytics and mobile. Insight is the choice of more than 120 banks and financial institutions worldwide, including 50 percent of the top 20 largest credit unions in Canada.

Predictive analytics is a powerful component of such a packaged solution, enabling banks to use data and increase the value of existing customers. This involves advanced analytical algorithms processing historical data to ‘learn’ what has happened in the past, and create models that can be applied to make judgments about current or future cases. Applying predictive analytics in any one of these areas can generate significant value.

Contextual engagement
Predictive analytics use real-time data, delivering targeted products or value-added services to reach the customer at the right time. For instance, a customer may have a large sum of money credited to their account as a result of a company bonus. This large deposit into a current account could be an event that triggers an offer to the customer of a high-interest savings account. The offer could be delivered via the channels that the customer is known to use, i.e. through a mobile device or online banking service.

A typical BI solution comes with an analytics framework enabling banks to build predictive models for specific scenarios. In some cases, solutions also provide a library of pre-built predictive models. For example, Temenos Insight Analytics can be packaged with two standard models – ‘Next Best Product’ and ‘Customer Attrition’.

By analysing purchasing patterns of customer segments and looking at bundles of products typically purchased together, for example, mortgage and home insurance, ‘Next Best Product’ can predict the percentage probability of a customer purchasing a specific product. This in turn can drive a tailored marketing campaign to all customers above a certain percentage probability, increasing product uptake, customer value and return on investment on marketing activity. A McKinsey analysis of more than 250 engagements over five years indicates that companies that put data at the centre of the marketing and sales decisions improve their marketing return on investment by 15 to 20 percent.

Combatting attrition
Customer attrition is a key challenge for banks. In a mature market, acquiring a new customer costs more than retaining an existing one – in fact, typically five to 12 times as much. In addition, a 10 percent increase in customer retention has been shown to result in a 30 percent increase in the value of the company, according to research by Bain and Co. At the same time, offering incentives to customers to retain their loyalty can
be expensive.

Using predictive models such as Temenos’ Customer Attrition allows financial institutions to identify which customers should receive an incentive to deter them from switching, which customers will stay without the incentive, and which customers should be allowed to walk away. By gaining an understanding of which customers are likely to leave and why, a retention plan can be developed that addresses the right issues and targets the right customers with the most appropriate course of action.

Banks need to be capable of predicting what the customers are likely to do next before they realise it themselves. By harnessing real-time and predictive analytics and combining them with a superior user experience, banks have the opportunity to be one step ahead. Rather than just being the traditional custodians of data, the banks that recognise the power of the data they hold, and put solutions in place to exploit it and use it effectively for competitive advantage are the ones that will succeed.

For further information email twinship@temenos.com

Co-op Bank accelerates the progression of Kenya’s banking sector

Kenya boasts one of the fastest-growing banking sectors across Africa, but this has not always been the case. Beginning most notably half a century ago, the industry’s rise has been shaped by a willingness to inspire change, in particular among the country’s cooperative movement that has succeeded in transforming the national economy.

With large parts of the country’s population still struggling to make ends meet, poverty still ranks high up on the list of concerns of Kenya’s 43 million-plus inhabitants. The country’s cooperative movement, nonetheless, has emerged as a decisive instrument in alleviating poverty and a proven means of boosting the livelihoods of those worst affected.

Established a short while after Kenya secured independence in 1963, the Co-operative Bank of Kenya (Co-op Bank) was founded by Kenyan cooperative societies and unions well versed in the difficulties of accessing credit on home soil. Whereas banks were then all too eager to accept deposits, they were unwilling to advance those same customers credit, without the guarantee of securities, financial statements, credit histories, or various other formal requirements. However, the formation of the Co-op Bank would go on to enable previously underserved areas of the Kenyan economy and pave the way for sustainable prosperity.

Far more than a member of Kenya’s banking community, Co-op Bank stands as a major constituent of the national economy and a major force for positive change. Francis Ngambi, the bank’s Press Secretary and PA to the Group CEO, tells World Finance about the country’s development and the ways in which the firm, together with the wider cooperative movement in Kenya, has sparked economic growth.

40,000

New accounts per month

Ambitious beginnings
“Cooperatives were fast emerging as key mobilisers of resources that enabled farmers, mostly in coffee, cotton, dairy and pyrethrum, to jointly market their produce. They needed crucial support by way of affordable credit,” says Ngambi, referencing the challenges facing Kenya at the time of Co-op Bank’s establishment. “This difficulty in accessing affordable financial services drove cooperatives to seek an alternative path, culminating in the establishment of their own bank to serve their own interests.”

Registered as a cooperative society on June 19 1965, the Co-op Bank did not officially open its doors until January 1968. It then managed to close out its first full year in profit, marking the first of many successes over the years to come. The bank has since become a full-service universal bank, offering a range of services spanning retail banking, corporate and trade finance, foreign exchange, mobile and internet services, stock brokerage, fund management, asset finance, mortgage, bancassurance, and custodial and registrar services – all in addition to banking cooperatives.

Source: Co-op Bank. Notes: 2014 data up to March
Source: Co-op Bank. Notes: 2014 data up to March

From its beginnings as a humble cooperative, the Co-op Bank today represents the number one point of contact for Kenya’s 10 million-member strong cooperative movement, who control a majority 65 percent stake in the bank. With an asset base of close to KES250bn (see Fig. 1) and 4.3 million account holders, the Co-op Bank in many ways represents the changing face of Kenya and stands today as one of the largest and fastest growing banks in east Africa.

A model for inclusive growth
“If there is one unique feature that distinguishes Co-op Bank from peers, it is the activist nature of its business strategy,” says Ngambi. “The Bank regularly intervenes in selected sectors of the economy with a view to achieving transformation in challenged sectors, notably in agriculture, for the benefit of the majority who depend on it for a livelihood.”

In contrast to the dealings of its more conventional banking counterparts, which largely keep their clients at an arms length, Co-op Bank chooses instead to intervene directly in the lives of its customers by way of making targeted investments; a method that has so far achieved largely positive results. This strategy means that the bank is better equipped to tackle the issues worst afflicting those living in the country, whether they be social, economic or even political, and make a measurable difference to the economy as a whole.

In 2003 Co-op Bank established a wholly owned consultancy company, Co-op Consultancy Services, in order to provide capacity building support to Kenyan cooperatives and at a heavily subsidised rate. As a result of the bank’s efforts in this particular field, cooperatives the country over have for the last 10 years been allowed swift access to world-class consultancy services in the fields of training and capacity building, HR sourcing, ICT systems, audits and procurement, strategic planning, restructuring and turnaround strategies, among others. Fast-forward to the present day and the Co-op Consultancy runs hundreds of consulting mandates every year, which, in itself, goes some way to explain why Kenyan cooperatives rank as the largest and most successful of their kind on the continent.

Another of Co-op Bank’s notable interventions came in the form of support for the coffee-marketing agent Kenya Co-operative Coffee Exporters (KCCE), which was founded in order to protect the interests of small-holder coffee farmers. Prior to the arrival of the KCCE, coffee was largely considered to be something of an unworthy venture, particularly for small-scale farmers. However, with the creation of KCCE, both coffee dealers and exporters alike are today paying far higher prices for coffee, in turn improving the livelihoods of those in the business.

Source: Co-op Bank. Notes: 2013 data to March
Source: Co-op Bank. Notes: 2013 data to March

The bank is also a sizeable shareholder in Co-operative Insurance Company (CIC) by way of an enhanced equity investment of 26.5 percent, making the Co-op Bank a key strategic shareholder in the firm. “On its part, CIC has rolled out innovative insurance to cover agricultural risks, including micro insurance for small-holders,” says Ngambi. “This has enabled Co-op Bank to extend credit to a wider pool of farmers who would otherwise have difficulty getting loans.”

In addition to the bank’s stake in CIC, Co-op Bank has invested a substantial sum in the stockbroking company Kingdom Securities, in order to deliver greater safety and reliability for investors, notably those in the cooperative movement. Clearly not content with financial success alone, the bank’s vision is to build a strong countrywide presence and a play a central role in the wider cooperative movement in Kenya.

Commitments and endeavours
“To enhance the deepening of financial access for the majority, the bank continues to invest in a service network to cover all counties in Kenya,” says Ngambi. “[The network is] complemented by mobile and internet banking, not to mention the over 7,000 bank agents spread countrywide.”

In keeping with this same commitment, the bank has so far supported the establishment of over 550 front-office outlets of savings and credit cooperatives, enabling the country’s over two million cooperative members access to financial services without their having to formally open a bank account. The growing number of ATMs and branches are also testament to this (see Fig. 2).

“Co-op Bank’s robust service channels have achieved a deep reach, enabling the bank to boost customer accounts from 695,000 in 2008 to 4.3 million today,” says Ngambi. “At the current growth of 40,000 new customer accounts per month, Co-op Bank is realising financial deepening, not just for the bank but also for the nation.”

Not exclusive to Kenya, the bank’s methods are just as easily applicable to similarly underserved communities throughout Africa and much of the developing world as a whole. The bank’s plans are to soon extend its coverage beyond Kenyan borders and bring its successful cooperative model to additional markets in Africa.

In September 2013 the Co-op Bank opened its first branch in Juba, the South Sudan capital, and hopes to do the same again in neighbouring nations in the months and years ahead. The bank’s South Sudanese subsidiary is a joint venture between the Co-op Bank and the South Sudan Co-operative movement on a 51 percent to 49 percent shareholding basis. Much like the bank’s efforts in Kenya, this joint venture facilitates far deeper engagement with the market and a more sustainable positioning of the business.

As a natural extension of the bank’s business, Co-op Bank also boasts a robust corporate social responsibility programme. The Co-operative Bank Foundation is the bank’s flagship vehicle for social change and today focuses principally on matters of education by supporting a scholarship scheme for bright children facing difficulties in paying for school fees. The programme is currently financing some 1,400 students in both schools and universities, and is set to grow by an additional 2,800 students over the next four years.

Opting to reward the whole rather than the few, the Co-op Bank has thrived ahead of its many regional competitors. Recognising its responsibility to those in the cooperative community, the bank looks on track to post increasingly impressive results in the years to come and make a measurable contribution to the social and economic development of Kenya as a whole.

How to get what you need from your investments

We live in a risky world. Those risks loom even larger for the sizeable population of baby boomers reaching retirement age in an environment of low interest rates and uncertain financial markets. Managing risk lies not in the realm of the theoretical, but in the realm of the practical, for those investors, and, indeed, for all investors who desire to preserve and grow their wealth over time.

In the latter half of the 20th century, investment risk was thought to be well understood: modern portfolio theory proved an investor could maximise return for any desired level of risk, or minimise risk for any desired level of return, simply by optimising return forecasts, the volatility of those returns and the correlations between asset classes. The first decade of the 21st century reminded us that investment risk was far from completely understood. Returns were volatile and unpredictable, price bubbles inflated and burst, financial crises spread around the world, and correlations rose precisely when the benefits of diversification were most needed. How, then, should investors think about risk today?

The first principle of risk management is to define risk, and that definition may vary from investor to investor. Modern portfolio theory holds that risk is equivalent to price volatility, but most investors define risk more viscerally as the possibility that they might lose their money and not get it back. In a broad sense, an investment portfolio represents future spending, or the ability to leave money to the next generation or to philanthropic causes. The permanent loss of capital implies some of that future spending won’t be able to take place. Investors should think long and hard about what they need their investment portfolio to do for them and invest accordingly. The implication of this is that risk is an idiosyncratic thing. Just as the future spending and philanthropic desires of an investor vary, and even change over time, so engaged advisors will continuously work with their clients to understand that shifting definition of risk and invest accordingly.

[I]nvestors who are interested in protecting and growing their wealth over time are better off focusing on value, which has the opposite attributes of price

Considered investment
Most investors focus on price as the primary variable in making investment decisions. Do I think the stock will go up or down? How far has the stock gone up already? How well has it performed year to date? The temptation to focus on price is strong. After all, price has the appealing attributes of availability, transparency and frequency. We can all agree on the closing price of a stock on any given day, and that price is set continuously on national exchanges. Behavioural psychologists consider this an example of the availability bias, in which we naturally pay more attention and give more credence to information that is readily available.

Yet investors who are interested in protecting and growing their wealth over time are better off focusing on value, which has the opposite attributes of price. The fundamental value of a security is not readily available, and even talented securities analysts can arrive at widely different estimates of value. But value, unlike price, has the advantage of greater stability. The price of companies changes day to day and second to second: value doesn’t. Investors focused on protecting and growing their long-term wealth should therefore be more concerned with value than price.

Various studies have shown that most people spend more time planning a vacation than managing their investment portfolios. Investing requires significant research into the security, enterprise and industry under consideration for a direct investment, not in an effort to confirm opinions already held, but to understand how those opinions might be proven wrong. Even if an investor engages a professional advisor, they should still take the time to understand what he owns, why he owns it, and how it aligns with his own definition of investment success. Knowing what you own is a critical element in identifying and managing portfolio risk, as it allows investors to differentiate between factors that can change the long-term value of an investment, and those that simply affect the short-term price. There are two basic implications of this principle. First, it is dangerous to invest in securities or portfolios where you don’t have visibility into the investment rationale, process or holdings. Transparency is critically important. Second, holding too many positions can prevent an investor from knowing them well enough. Diversification certainly plays a role in portfolio construction, but too much diversification leads to shallow knowledge of each investment.

Confronted with the burden of such in-depth research, many investors choose to manage risk by only owning passive investments, such as index funds, that mirror the return of a broad range of securities. Yet passive investing has not proven to be a good hedge against loss of capital, and, in a very real sense, there is no such thing as passive investing. Investors in an S&P 500 Index fund lost 50 percent or more of their money twice since the turn of the century. The market bounced back in both cases, but surviving a bear market in anticipation of a rebound to follow requires the fortitude to remain fully invested – a difficult thing to accomplish when human nature wants to just stop the losses and sell everything. Both of those bear markets remind us that indices, by virtue of their construction methodology, are essentially price momentum strategies. The larger a company is (price per share times number of shares outstanding), the more of it an index fund has to buy. That, in turn, creates upward price pressure that increases the market cap of the company, requiring even more purchases. That momentum shifts into reverse in a bear market. Instead of thinking of investing along an axis of passive versus active approaches, investors should consider the underlying strategy at work – even if unintentional – and decide on that basis.

Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Source: US Bureau of Labor Statistics

Managing risk
Since the ultimate objective of portfolio construction is to support future spending, investors should appreciate that there is a difference between wealth and money: purchasing power. While this simple fact may not be top of mind during times of modest inflation, for those investing for the long term, inflation is an on-going threat to preserving and growing wealth. Ultimately, it is not how much money you have that counts, but what goods and services that money can acquire. Inflation – even at modest levels – eats away at that purchasing power every day, posing a risk that traditional methods of risk management can’t hedge. This seems like a misplaced concern in an environment where inflation is subdued, but that won’t always be the case, and, even if it is, the damage that inflation can wreak on the purchasing power of a portfolio over time is meaningful (see Fig. 1). Even at a modest two percent inflation rate, a dollar loses close to 40 percent of its purchasing power over a 25-year period, so longer-term investors should take inflation into account when constructing a portfolio and considering the risks that confront it.

As many of these observations illustrate, diversification is an inadequate tool for managing risk, especially when investors take the time to consider their own definition of risk. Diversification as a means of reducing risk assumes risk is price volatility, and then hinges on the perceived benefit of owning assets that are less than perfectly correlated. If part of your portfolio is headed in one direction while another part is performing differently, the combination can lead to both higher return and lower volatility. This concept makes logical sense, but practically speaking, it doesn’t always ring true. Indeed, experience has shown that correlations between asset classes rise in periods of stress, therefore diminishing the benefit of diversification precisely when it is most needed. Furthermore, the interconnectedness of economies and financial markets has generally caused correlations to rise over time. Diversification is not without merit, but it is insufficient alone as a tool to manage risk during financial crises.

Investment success is a marathon, not a sprint, and as global financial markets change in the 21st century, so too must our understanding and management of the risk that necessarily accompanies any investment activity. Rather than accept a market definition of risk, it pays for an investor to think long and hard about what they want their portfolio to do for them, and what risks threaten the successful accomplishment of that goal. That is a time-consuming exercise that warrants regular revisiting. Nevertheless, the payoff for that investment of time and energy is a portfolio better aligned with the investor’s objectives, and a more robust relationship with an advisor who is helping the investor to attain those ultimate goals.

Ayeyarwady Bank becomes a dominant force for Myanmar

Myanmar today sits comfortably alongside some of South East Asia’s biggest names, in among a region best characterised by explosive growth and an abundance of emerging economic opportunities (see Fig. 1). While most would consider the country to be one of the region’s lesser prospects, there exists a fair few reasons to feel positive about Myanmar’s future.

For one the country’s banking sector has withstood extended periods of political unrest, and Myanmar’s policymakers have recently taken pains to promote growth and boost the sector’s attractiveness to international parties. When its central bank announced earlier this year that it would allow foreign banks to set up shop in Myanmar for the first time in two decades, global industry names quickly assessed what opportunities were there for the taking, whereas local banks proceeded to speculate about how the decision might come to bear on their standing. The interest generated and progress made thus far, however, shows that the country is serious about advancing its banking sector, and capitalising on emerging economic opportunities.

Already established players have seen the banking sector come on leaps and bounds in recent years, and helped turn a largely undeveloped market into a formidable economic force. Ayeyarwady Bank (AYA Bank), for example, is one institution that has weathered the challenges of years passed and cemented its place as a major regional player and an industry benchmark.

Serving the wider public
Established little over four years ago, AYA Bank is authorised to operate as an investment and development bank for domestic market participants. Among the institution’s key responsibilities are comprehensive borrowing and lending facilities, as well as a number of key international banking services, including international remittance, payment and trade. What’s most important, however, is that the bank has at no point let up in its ambition to bring international quality financial services to Myanmar’s long underserved banking public.

“Due to some financial liberalisation and two new telecoms players in Myanmar, we are seeing the banking industry expand at a far greater rate than ever before,” said one spokesperson for AYA Bank. “Add to this the fact that the Central Bank of Myanmar will also allow some qualified foreign banks to operate limited banking business soon in Myanmar, and the sector’s prospects look promising.”

The country’s banking sector has expanded at an impressive rate, although the speed at which the sector is growing has brought with it a number of complications. “There are some challenges when a bank is expanding rapidly in Myanmar, in terms of human resources, attracting qualified personnel and also the telecommunication and legal infrastructure.”

Another of the challenges facing those in the banking industry is the fact that certain regions of the country are far less developed than others, and much of the population today is without access to banking services. Therefore, Myanmar’s leading industry names have made every effort to expand their reach to often-neglected areas of the local community. “I think we have strategised in a way that we made our presence known in such regions with our physical existence,” says the spokesperson at AYA Bank, which, since its inception in August 2010, has opened up no less than 74 branches in order to cater to every corner of the country.

Source: World Travel and Tourism Council. Notes: Figures are predicted
Source: World Travel and Tourism Council. Notes: Figures are predicted

However, expanding upon their physical presence is only one part of the solution, and AYA Bank has moved to also develop its online presence in order to tap a number of precious opportunities in Myanmar’s emerging online and mobile banking sector. “Although internet penetration is fairly limited, we have seen a hike in the use of mobile phones and 3G services, especially in areas such as Yangon, Mandalay, among others. We have also seen shifts in customer preferences, and this did not deter us from introducing the first internet banking service in the entire banking and financial sector in Myanmar on June 17, 2014.”

Although internet penetration is still fairly limited in the country, AYA Bank has sought the services of expert third parties in negotiating the challenges that come with tapping a population with limited access to the internet. “It is a revolutionary financial service and one that will hopefully change the perceptions of the local people with regards to banking services. AYA Bank is also the first and only bank that has centralised its core banking solutions to enhance electronic banking services in Myanmar. Even though internet penetration is limited across the country, with poor speed and bandwidth, AYA Bank has managed to work with system/solution providers with the relevant knowledge and experience to run solutions in this present condition.”

Standing in the way
The bank’s centralised electronic solution allows customers to essentially take out and transfer money wherever they may be, which represents a major step forward for a country that not long ago left the majority of the population with no option but to do without financial services altogether.

While the development marks a major step forward for both AYA Bank and the country’s banking sector as a whole, it also shines a light on the country’s deficiencies, and the extent to which internet banking is hindered by weak or inadequate infrastructure. However, this is far from the only obstacle standing in the way of the digital banking sector’s development.

One of the major challenges for internet banking is to ensure that customers are made to feel at ease with new technology and the possibilities it brings ahead of traditional channels. The short history of online and mobile banking is littered with instances of failure, owing predominantly to the poor reception of consumers, yet AYA Bank maintains that this is certainly not the case in Myanmar. “I think customers are very receptive – they now have more choices and more confidence when they see a strong physical presence in the region,” said one spokesperson for the bank. “We believe that we need to move from a cash-based banking to cashless banking that saves time and cuts costs for customers who need no longer make the trip to a bank. Therefore the consumer and market response to AYA Bank’s continued development of electronic and online banking is quite positive.”

Irrespective of its high standing in the domestic banking space, AYA Bank remains a relative newcomer to the market, although it has managed to make good on what few advantages come with being a new entrant, predominately by focusing on innovation and technology. “I think being a newcomer has its pros and cons, in that we get to learn from earlier entrants,” says the bank’s spokesperson. “Additionally, with advancements in technology, we are able to better analyse shifts in customer preference before developing innovative new products and services. Moreover, being a relative newcomer, it was easier for us to migrate to a core banking system compared with those with more years experience and a much bigger customer base.”

Innovation and technology, however, are far from the only departments in which AYA Bank excels, and it has also taken major steps to instil a sense of customer-focus across the entirety of its operations. “Differentiation and customer-centricity is the core strategy of AYA Bank in staying ahead of our competitors. Expansion of the branch network is still one of the strategies in a country of this size and with this population. On the other hand, channel expansion through the development of electronic banking is also one of the key ways of differentiating traditional banking systems, such as ATM, internet and mobile banking. However, customer service is one area on which our bank management is always focused in gaining a competitive advantage.”

The country’s predominantly cash-based economy will take some time to peter out, although it’s only a matter of time before pioneering names in the banking sector lead the slow transition into a cashless economy. Spearheaded in part by the government’s decision to welcome foreign players into the market, local names will be looking to bolster their IT capabilities and reputations in order to adequately compete with international names in the banking space.

“We plan to expand our branch network, as well as introduce new processes to improve efficiency at our branches,” says the spokesperson. “Our plans also include more innovative product and service offerings in order to stay ahead in the competitive market, especially with the expected entry of foreign banks to the country.” Once completed, the banking sector’s reorganisation and modernisation should see the national economy rise to rank alongside some of its more successful neighbours, and finally make good on the IMF’s prediction that the country could well become “the next economic frontier.”

With greater investment, Bangladesh’s economic potential is huge

Bangladesh has experienced a consistent GDP growth trajectory – more than six percent over the last 10 years. Cheap labour cost (one-fifth of China and half of India), and a young consumer base of 160 million with progressively higher purchasing power, have led to its development. Add to that several key fundamental drivers and we have the most valuable gem in Asia.

The macro-economy has been driven by exports and remittance, leveraging workforce – both of which have been growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of over 15 percent in last 10 years – and have accounted for over one-third of GDP. The central bank has actively managed the growth of the financial system while ensuring stability across key economic variables like exchange rate volatility and inflation.

Also the agricultural sector – contributing around 18 percent of GDP – has been growing steadily with moderate growth over the last 10 years. Socioeconomic indicators such as literacy rate and life expectancy have all gradually improved substantially relative to the peers. The literacy rate has risen from 54 percent to 60 percent and life expectancy has improved from 65 years to 69 years in the last 10 years. We believe this will have a positive impact on per capita income over time. Bangladesh is the second-largest exporter of Ready Made Garments (RMG) and the fifth-largest recipient of remittance. Also, the agricultural sector is almost self-sufficient, providing a material buffer for the economy as a whole.

Emerging from strife
Bangladesh has struggled in many aspects over the last decade. Lack of real FDI, poor infrastructure, unplanned growth in population, a scarcity of skilled human resources, corruption, poor safety standards for industrial workers and most importantly, political risks, have affected the country in reaching its true potential. Had these issues been addressed properly, Bangladesh might have already achieved double-digit GDP growth rate. The government, however, has been taking proactive initiatives in recent years to mitigate these obstacles.

LR Global has developed a time-tested and refined investment process focused on developing markets

The power generation capacity, a long-standing hindrance in our country, has improved, from 4,000MW in 2001 to 7,500MW in 2013. Additionally, Bangladesh has been working closely with several international development organisations to address these barriers to growth. It is not surprising that the country is on the radar of many institutional investors, but realisation of FDI is still poor.

The country can achieve and investment grade rating of BBB/BAA if it addresses various risk factors, including political risk. In our estimation, political risk alone costs Bangladesh at least 150 basis points more in terms of credit spreads. Unfortunately, there is lack of recognition and realisation from the policy makers, general public and politicians about this substantial cost, due to political risk alone. Nevertheless, despite these challenges, Bangladesh is expected to be on a positive growth path, albeit less than its potential.

At LR Global, a New-York based investment firm focusing on frontier economies, we realised the strengths of underlying drivers of Bangladesh early on and identified that it is on the trajectory of shifting from a frontier to an emerging economy. In order to gain a foothold in this slowly rising economy, the company established LR Global Bangladesh Asset Management to tap into the investment potential in Bangladesh.

The journey in Bangladesh started almost 15 years ago, and the firm believes that the country will achieve its potential over the next five to seven years, facilitated by reforms as well as by attracting local and foreign capital to high-potential sectors of the economy. Backed by strong fundamentals like low-cost labour, the potential to develop a skilled labour force and rising consumer demand, industries such as apparel, healthcare, construction materials, utilities, and consumer staples hold immense potential for growth.

The company has invested in various asset classes including listed equities, fixed income securities as well as high potential private equity transactions with an investment horizon of five to seven years. Leveraging its long history and local knowledge, LR Global has developed a time-tested and refined investment process focused on developing markets. These processes are calibrated to meet the specific challenges of each market.

We follow the top-down investing approach that involves holistic analysis of the economy and the financial world. The approach of top-down analysis has ensured optimised asset allocation, careful company selection based on fundamental analysis, superior investment timing and market intelligence.

These methodologies are consistent with our team’s views on certain critical forward looking factors which include macro economic analysis, industry analysis, company analysis and a proprietary valuation process. This process allows us to analyse and cover a large universe of companies leveraging a unique but dynamic investment process that is not only efficient but also scalable.

As a result, since LR Global was established, the funds generated superior risk-adjusted return compared with the benchmark – broader stock market index – and its low beta portfolio experienced significantly less volatility to the benchmark. Its public market portfolio has outperformed the benchmark with an annualised alpha of 8.7 percent over four years and around 80 percent of the out-performance has come from asset allocation decisions (see Fig. 1). With one of the strongest teams consisting of investment professionals who have expertise across multiple industries, the investment team is focused on identifying the most lucrative investment opportunities as well as managing the risk of the portfolios.

While we take a long-term investment view, our process is a fluid and dynamic one to adjust to market conditions. Our emphasis on downside protection leads us to investment in companies with attractive valuations. We believe this emphasis limits our loss potential should the investment catalyst not materialise. We attempt to build downside protection into our process by evaluating and quantifying the risks versus the reward opportunity of every investment in the portfolio.

Niche market infiltrated
There are specific private sectors that have enormous potential for future growth, and LR Global has accessed a number of these. Many companies in addition to growth capital require material improvements in areas such as business processes, corporate governance, strategic-decision making and HR development. Synergy between these private entities and LR Global can be achieved by providing growth capital, skilled human resources and allocating the right resources correctly in a timely fashion. Its material value addition is to identify gaps and provide solutions for issuers to reach their true potential.

Source: LR Global
Source: LR Global

Our services include leadership development, product development, process re-engineering and effective execution of well thought out business strategies. LR Global has a strong track record in private equity investments. We are different from other investors in terms of active involvement with management and leadership teams. We are activist investors, and from the outset we ensure a win-win structure for both parties. The sectors in which LR Global has made investments include flexible packaging, pharmaceuticals, healthcare services and financial services. To achieve higher business objectives in these companies, the company has added substantial value ranging from inventory management, management information system (MIS), marketing strategies, HR development, to financial control and risk management.

A notable example of our efficient management is Unicorn Industries, a leading flexible packaging company in Bangladesh. We identified the gaps in its business operations, and turned the company into a highly profitable venture in just two years. We also plan to bring Unicorn Industries into capital markets next year, potentially the first of such listing of a true private equity investment. The company has also managed Thyrocare – an internationally recognised brand and a true market leader in healthcare service. It’s the world’s largest preventive health care company and has a highly successful business model, perfectly suited to address the health care challenges in Bangladesh.

Despite political issues Bangladesh is already in an advantageous position to enter the accelerated phase of economic growth and development. Similar to India, the private sector is expected to play a key role to drive the country in achieving the middle-income status by 2021. Undoubtedly, our entrepreneurs have already proven themselves by their contribution to the economic stability, despite all odds. Local entrepreneurs, business professionals as well as farmers of Bangladesh have a track record of exploring technological advancements and mitigating business risks to ensure sustainable development in their own ways.

But it is the lack of resources and capital that is holding back the growth pace and depriving them to reach the potential. Their efforts will not be fully materialised unless the above-mentioned issues and challenges are handled effectively beyond foreign aid and subsidies. Institutional investors can fill the gaps by providing professional guidance and patient capital to create value that is mutually beneficial and sustainable. We believe that if the financial and intellectual capital can be linked up with entrepreneurs effectively, the economy can grow to unprecedented levels beyond the usual forecasts by experts.