TUMICO on consolidating Bulgaria’s insurance market

The idea of creating a mutual insurance co-operative in Bulgaria started in the autumn of 1996, when the first 36 insurance contracts were then concluded in December of that year. At that time, there was no specific law on insurance, though in the beginning of 1997 such a law came into force and gave notice to existing insurers that they were to adjust their activities according to the new requirements and acquire licences.

Going back to early 1997, there were 127 Bulgarian companies operating in the Bulgarian insurance market. However, in order to comply with the new laws we ourselves reorganised in March 1998 into 662 individual co-operators and, in August 1998, obtained a licence to carry on life insurance activities under the name Medic-Center Mutual Insurance Co-operative (MCMIC), with our registered office and headquarters in the city of Veliko Tarnovo. Over this period, more than 100 companies withdrew from the market.

In 2005, MCMIC decided to co-operate more closely with the Confederation of the Independent Trade Unions of Bulgaria (CITUB), changing its registered headquarters and its name to Sindikalna Vzaimno Zastrahovatelna Kooperacia (SiVZK), meaning Trade Union Mutual Insurance Co-operative (TUMICO). Fast-forward to today, and the co-operative works among all strata of the population, although it focuses primarily on workers hired on labour contracts.

Our main product for the last 18 years has gone through various iterations of distribution and channels for sale, names and calculus bases, but was always clearly distinguishable

By the end of 2014, the members of TUMICO numbered at 31,483, yet the participation of investors in TUMICO – classed as legal entities – is strictly prohibited by law. All policyholders are served by 17 employees and new contracts are concluded by four employees, out of which three persons are highly qualified and one is in the process of training. The knowledge that underwriters of TUMICO must have is, in volume, about 1,000 pages of different fields of insurance and common matters.

The biggest challenge for TUMICO, concerning the national insurance market, is collecting the initial premiums of candidates for insurance and promoting the benefits of mutual insurance in Bulgaria. Globally, a fair and equal European legal framework for all insurers in Bulgaria is not only our dream, but an aim that, together with our partners, we are working to achieve.

Simple and minimal
Many managers advise companies to change and rethink their goals. We at TUMICO, however, defend the opposite idea. We preach product simplicity and universality, and abide by three basic principles: a clearly distinguishable main product, a continuous effort to maintain a business model, and the application of this business model in all projects.

TUMICO is also hostile towards the idea of fragmentation; the formula of ‘simplify and repeat’ is most appropriate for us. We believe there are numerous ways to implement this model, namely by targeting more clearly defined groups of customers with a certain social status. Our efforts are aimed at the average person, and we promote the ‘lenten’ management system, meaning any job position or activity that does not create added value and/or new production is unnecessary, unless required by law. Simplicity is a useful tool against the growing complexity of corporate structures. Businesses have a natural tendency to grow and complicate.

To manage globalisation, companies are using complex matrix systems of management, hiring experts to develop new technologies and organising a number of meetings that stress employees. According to TUMICO, this is a hidden killer for this overly complex type of business. To avoid this, we strive for more simplicity. Though it is more easily said than done, TUMICO permanently adheres to the mantra of simplicity. Our main product for the last 18 years has gone through various iterations of distribution and channels for sale, names and calculus bases, but was always clearly distinguishable.

The role of the chairman is to simplify the complexity of the business and adhere to the basic principles and policies of the business. However, we believe that the simplicity of the concept is not enough, and we pursue the following obligatory and indisputable business practices: rejuvenation of staff, education of TUMICO’s own talents, concentration of all resources advocated by AMICE, and solving complex administrative tasks with small groups of highly qualified specialists.

Risky business
The new century began with a strong emphasis on raising public awareness of the risks, as well as the fragmentation of the business and personal life of every citizen. Life without risk is impossible and, at a very basic level, people have realised that they can better meet the dangers that their environment serves if they are in groups with others. Uncertainty is most often defined as doubts about the favourable outcome of a given situation. In practice, there are many definitions and categorisations of risk, but to clarify the purpose of our marketing concept we should specify that there are pure and speculative risks.

We find the dialectical relationship between the two types of risks to be an important issue that should distinguish corporate entities. Mutual and co-operative insurance in Europe today shares a fair few differences and is generally different from JSC insurance. Mutual insurance continuously increases the qualitative and quantitative components of its products and does not target corporate profits, while Bulgarian MICs are forced by the Insurance Code to capitalise unnecessarily, without regard from the legislator that solvency is guaranteed by the legal form of the existence of the insurer. Co-operative insurance and reinsurance aim to make a profit, but they are allowed for members with voting rights and investors, which mainly capitalise the insurer, while for Bulgarian MICs this is prohibited and capitalisation for supporting solvency is required.

The main difference in the character of the current two types of life insurance in Bulgaria arises from the ownership of capital. Corporate ownership is measured by unambiguously determining the holder of one’s and/or other insurers’ own funds. In MICs, the holders of the funds are themselves the insured persons, whereas in JSCs this is an independent group of entities. For shareholders, it’s clear that the main criterion is speculative risk, because the optional investment process (unlike for banks) makes the prospects for success extremely tempting, especially in the implementation of conservative management of pure risk insurance.

Such an approach in an MIC is meaningless and absurd, and is most clearly illustrated by the following scenario: compensations are paid conservatively in order not to harm the legal entity (MIC) and pay corporate profits to the insured that have suffered, though only if they are among the living, because the prevention that they expected payment for did not take place due to the mixing of two radically different ways of life insurance imposed by law.

It should be noted that TUMICO includes in its general conditions an opportunity for the prepayment of insurance sums, with a view to protecting the insured, which, in itself, is an accurate expression of the corporate nature of MICs. In time, this approach should serve to induce changes in the Insurance Code, mostly in line with the Solvency II Directive, and taking into account our experience gained from our contacts with AMICE.

Maintaining a reputation
The reputation of the insurer is our first concern. Reputation is hard to build and easy to lose. We are all responsible for building and maintaining our reputation and we strive to continuously improve the quality of our work by acquiring new knowledge, conducting self-assessments, learning from foreign experience and understanding the importance of preserving and sharing accumulated knowledge.

We share a certain responsibility for the work we perform, for the protection of information obtained and the property of TUMICO, to comply with the rules of conduct and business communication.

We work in an environment of mutual trust, encourage different opinions and communicate openly. We believe that the contribution of our colleagues is critical to our overall success and we are respectful of the efforts made by each one of us. In TUMICO, the pursuit of process optimisation and improving the performance of employment duties are encouraged. Also encouraged are innovation, creative ideas and solutions, and any reasonable initiative.

Opportunities for continuous learning and improvement are evaluated, searched and applied. Periodic evaluations and self-assessments of practices applied in the workplace are carried out. Internal and external expertise is collected and evaluated systematically, and the results of the evaluations are used to improve the quantitative and qualitative parameters of the work done.

Every employee strives for continuous improvement and performs their duties competently, responsibly, in good faith and without interfering with others. The employees of TUMICO realise the crucial importance of high competence and personal motivation to preserve the uniqueness of the insurer and strive to maintain their level of training and development in line with the best world achievements in this area.

Trends, technology and regulatory transformation in Bulgarian insurance

The insurance industry in Bulgaria is going through a shake up due to a number of new regulatory changes. These changes are guaranteed to have a significant impact on domestic firms such as Armeec Insurance, as well as the wider industry as a whole. One regulatory change, Armeec feels, will put undue pressure on the industry due to the speed with which it requires companies to comply with the new rules, although the firm itself feels confident it is ahead of the curb and will overcome this challenge, as it has many times in the past. World Finance spoke to Tsvetanka Krumova, CEO of Armeec, about the need for an increased awareness of the positive role of insurance, the spill over from Greece’s economic crisis and the importance of technology.

What are the main challenges posed by the transposition of the Solvency II Directive?
The transposition of the Solvency II Directive aims to make the market more predictable and transparent. Introducing a risk-based approach to insurance supervision should reduce any unnecessary administrative burden and increase control in the high-risk areas and activities. The challenge is to change the attitudes of insurers, insurance intermediaries and customers. The directive sets some very-high demands on the quality of information, which will require the commitment of significant additional resources in order to bring information systems in line with the accordance.

Based on the freedom of establishment and freedom of services, the insurance market in Europe has no longer been restricted by national borders

How does Armeec Insurance plan to overcome these tough challenges?
Unlike other companies on the insurance market in Bulgaria, Armeec relies entirely on its expertise, specialists and resources. That’s why we started preparation and readjustments to our business much earlier than our competitors. This process allowed us to carry out a comprehensive review of every detail of the business. It was a chance for further optimisation and improvement, which subsequently should prove to be our competitive advantage.

Specifically, we have had to prepare our information systems, develop and improve programmes and procedures, and increase investment in software and hardware to ensure the quality of information. We have also used the experience of consultants from other member states of the EU, which have implemented the directive much earlier. We have updated our internal rules, procedures and regulations, bringing our practices into conformity with the requirements of the directive.

What are the main challenges posed by the major changes to the insurance code?
The Ministry of Finance’s draft of the new insurance code is due to a need to transpose the provisions of Directive 2009/138/EC on the introduction and performance of the insurance and reinsurance business (Solvency II). In this section the changes are necessary and supported by us. However, the main challenge is the provisions concerning the insurance contract. These represent a fundamental reform in insurance contractual law. It takes years to prepare such a reform.

The new regulation for insurance contracts will be implemented in the coming years – meaning that the time for consideration and evaluation of the impact of these changes will have on the insurance services market is not enough. Such a change requires a very detailed discussion between all interested parties. In the light of the considerable resources that the insurers will have to spend on bringing their activities into compliance with the new regulation under Directive 2009/138/EC, the proposed change in the contractual insurance law should be postponed.

Again, how do you plan to overcome these challenges?
During our company’s 19 years of operating, we have overcome many challenges, making us more resilient and flexible. We will approach this change in the same way, analysing the effects of the changes on the company and the market and deciding the appropriate steps to undertake. This will include changes in our structure, rules and procedures, as well as in the information systems. However, before the final adoption of the new code, we cannot state that we are fully prepared for what lies ahead.

The state will only grant aid to those who are “socially weak” in case of a flood or major disaster. Who does this include?
The exact requirements needed to be entitled to compensation in the case of disasters are unclear for now. However, the question is, whether the focus shall be on income or on ownership, and whether only a certain level of income is a precondition for providing support of any kind. The question of illegal buildings also remains unanswered as such buildings are most often affected by catastrophic events and in no way such property could be insured.

What impact will this have on the insurance sector?
The introduction of compulsory insurance would negatively affect the market. It will lead to a minimum level of coverage, which will inevitably result in lower benefits for consumers. Moreover, it does not support the change in customer attitude and awareness of the need for insurance. The draft amendment to the law on protection in emergency situations and disasters stipulates that citizens have the obligation to take care of their property and to take measures to limit the consequences of disasters. This is a good occasion to explain to the public that insurance is an important part of these measures. We also think that building a knowledge of risk management must be embedded into the high-school curriculum.

How has the ongoing crisis in Greece impacted the insurance sector in Bulgaria?
As a result of the ongoing financial crisis in Greece, in Bulgaria there is increased supply of Greek assets at low cost. Greek insurance brokers for many years have been entering the Bulgarian market with proposals for joint activities in Greece, given the lower prices of insurance services in Bulgaria. Some insurers have acquired Greek assets, but the deals are not yet finalised. Ultimately, the entry of more players on the Bulgarian market will increase competition and improve the quality of service.

From Armeec’s perspective, how would you like to see the Greek crisis resolved?
It is good that the European banking system in its basic parameters is stable and as we have seen, through dialogue and compromise, an agreement has been reached with Greece. The situation about the bankruptcy of the country is formally settled. Greece is part of the EU and it should remain so. Based on the freedom of establishment and freedom of services, the insurance market in Europe has no longer been restricted by
national borders.

What are the strengths of Armeec’s current market position?
The main advantage is the fact that the company has the opportunity to influence consumer attitudes towards insurance business as a whole. Insurance is often present in the media as the anti-hero in the news, with stories of dissatisfied customers and declined claims. Positive news is present only in the insurance companies’ own advertising. Therefore the ambition of Armeec has always upheld a good standard of practices and ensured a high level of customer satisfaction.

Where is the potential for upgrading and developing Armeec’s market position?
Sustainable development has always been a goal and fundamental strategy for us. We think the prospects of Armeec are very good, based on the data at the end of the first half of 2015, the targets for the year and the plans for long-term development of the company. We expect this year to report a steady growth in premium income, improving the structure of the portfolio and reducing the level of risk.

What trends have you seen emerge in 2015?
Since the beginning of 2015, the general insurance market has steadily grown, peaking midyear at 6.67 percent. We expect the growth to continue throughout the rest of year, given the positive economic trends that have affected the insurance market. The most sensitive indicator of the overall economic progress is the insurance of cargo goods, which has had a noticeable growth of six percent. Following the revival in sales of new cars and easier credit availability, there has been an increase in motor insurance demand. The growth rates in property insurance still remain below the desired levels. The low growth rates of the insurance of private property once again demonstrate the need for a broader educational and public awareness campaign.

What does the future hold for Armeec and the Bulgarian insurance industry overall?
The future of insurance belongs to technology. The progress in communications and innovation has made consumers more aware, and shortened the distance and the time for serving a customer. Insurers must meet the new demand of customers. Today we are witnessing a new boom in mergers and acquisitions between insurance companies, driven, in part, by technological advantages. Moreover, there is increased consolidation between insurance and technological companies, showing that innovations will be crucial for the future of our business.

Asteron Life supports New Zealand’s insurance industry

The insurance industry in New Zealand is currently in the midst of a transformation that was born from the challenges it has recently faced. The 2008 financial crisis sent shockwaves through the country’s largely unregulated financial markets and associated industries. The impact for both the financial and insurance sectors has led to a more stable and transparent system, but there is still more work to be done. Financial education for the public, making services more accessible and instilling greater public confidence are vital steps that need addressing.

Facing the challenge head-on is life insurer Asteron Life. Here is a business that is attempting to go above and beyond to create fairer and far-reaching insurance solutions that can help the entire breadth of New Zealand’s various communities. World Finance had the opportunity to speak with CEO Nadine Tereora about the changes currently happening in New Zealand, and what role Asteron Life has to play.

If the [insurance] industry is to make real in-roads, we’ll need to successfully lobby parliament

What was the overall impact of the 2014 ASIC report on New Zealand’s own retail life insurance market?
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission’s (ASIC) report reignited the debate that has enveloped the intermediated advice channel; it has helped to bring the conversation into a more public arena and crystallise various arguments. The industry here is now keen to participate in the discussion and explore various issues in the New Zealand context.

This is helped because a number of insurers in New Zealand are either fully or partly owned by Australian parents – Asteron Life included. Of course we must remain vigilant of the differences between our two jurisdictions and the prevailing regulatory frameworks. That means considering whether the recommendations resulting from ASIC’s review achieve the best outcomes for all of those impacted by it here. However, I am comforted by the enormous effort being invested in the associated due diligence.

The release of ASIC’s report also coincided with the review of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 and the Financial Service Providers (Registration and Dispute Resolution) Act 2008. These key pieces of legislation are designed to increase the professional standards of financial advisers, ensuring that financial services markets function well and help consumers make informed decisions. We anticipate that the impact of this work won’t be felt until policymakers have undertaken their reviews and New Zealand’s specific data has been captured and scrutinised.

What concerns still persist in the industry?
Ongoing concerns include underinsurance, which is a significant issue facing New Zealand if the data is to be believed. Price, affordability and value perceptions are also factors, together with financial literacy. Customer engagement and product design must be improved and simplified, which involves keeping up with technological innovations inside and outside of the industry. The cost of compliance and disclosure obligations, industry trust and business replacement drivers are other current challenges that need to be addressed.

How are these issues being dealt with?
It’s difficult for me to respond on behalf of the broader industry. However, speaking for Asteron Life, we are 100 percent focused on making a lasting difference as far as the sustainability debate is concerned. That includes everything from sensible adviser remuneration structures, through to the way we communicate with our customers, innovative product development, enhancing our service culture and the evolution of a diverse, culturally rich workforce that is capable of taking us forward.

Why is regulated and quality financial impact such an important pillar for New Zealand’s economy?
It’s about instilling greater confidence and trust to promote an environment that facilitates the development of fair, efficient and transparent financial markets. It’s a crucial component for stability in a country where a significant proportion of households contend with modest discretionary income. Regulation has since improved both the accessibility to financial advice and the levels of professionalism and rigour therein.

How can customer engagement be improved?
Through trust, authenticity and education. We also need to work a lot more on simplification without diluting the message – it’s a tough challenge. Financial education will deliver the most material change of all. There’s an opportunity for the industry to continue bridge-building with the incumbent government to tackle financial literacy among New Zealand’s diverse communities – the Commission for Financial Capability and the Retirement Commissioner, Diane Maxwell, are doing some great work in this area. The State and ACC (Accident Compensation Corporation) aren’t going to come to the rescue – the typical ‘she’ll be right’ philosophy of heartland New Zealand needs to shift somewhat.

How is underinsurance being dealt with?
A review commissioned by the Financial Services Council in 2011 found that the country’s level of underinsurance was the third lowest in terms of penetration among 31 OECD countries – with only Greece and Mexico faring worse. I believe we’re still wrestling with this message; it’s an issue we’re not alone in dealing with – larger markets elsewhere in the world are experiencing similar difficulties.

The public’s perceptions around simplicity and affordability must play a part in the underinsurance debate. If we’re to take the industry forward, we need to tackle this challenge head on. That’s why I continue to press our agenda to evolve customer offerings across the entire breadth of our business.

I also believe that we need to resonate more with the hearts and minds of the communities we serve. Perhaps the financial services industry needs to do more than most to atone for misdemeanours of the past – the global financial crisis has left a legacy for us all to reconcile.

If the [insurance] industry is to make real in-roads, we’ll need to successfully lobby parliament; perhaps significant change won’t happen until insurance is made compulsory or tax incentivised. After all, we’re talking about a country that doesn’t mandate car insurance. And then there’s the savings and retirement gap. Underinsurance might need to take its place in the queue but that doesn’t stop us from trying.

How is Asteron Life equipped to handle an ongoing transformation in the industry?
We’ve championed a more holistic, sustainable advice model for some years now; one that attempts to negotiate the sometimes competing arenas of sales growth and longer term persistency. Undoubtedly, this policy has cost us new business revenue.

But I prefer to point to the overwhelming support we’ve received from the vast majority of our adviser partnerships who have encouraged us to hold our course. This focus on value over volume will deliver longer-term shareholder return and customer trust.

Where possible, our approach is focused on level premium business, equitable commission structures, sustainable product development and customer insight. For the majority of New Zealand households, disposable income levels are modest. This is useful context in helping to explain why a significant number of customers choose to lapse their cover for reasons of affordability.

As a customer-oriented business, we have to be sympathetic to customer feedback. It’s an important consideration for Asteron Life as we distribute our product via a non-aligned network of advisers throughout New Zealand’s North and South Islands.

What are the areas of focus for Asteron Life at present?
Our focus can be summarised across three pillars of activity. The first is founded on a principle of placing the customer at the forefront of everything we do. This is a unifying sentiment across the organisational value chain that includes everything from the speed with which we place our customers on risk, to the care we demonstrate at claim time – and everything in between. We’re doing well but there remains much scope to improve.

The second is all about building strong partnerships with progressive, customer centric adviser businesses and dealer groups – those that are looking to build sustainable revenue streams as a result of better persistency, balanced income portfolios and a genuine desire to elevate the role intermediated advice plays. If we get these first two pillars right, we’ll deliver sustainable shareholder value: a ‘win three’ model where everyone benefits.

The third is built around our people as they afford us a competitive advantage. They live and breathe a leadership mind-set, regardless of where they might appear in the organisation’s hierarchy. This is the difference between organisations that can and those that can’t. It’s no coincidence that over the last three years our financial performance has accelerated exponentially, while at the same time staff sentiment has outperformed high achieving global norms in engagement and enablement.

How do you see the industry evolving in the coming years?
We’re facing some difficult choices. The Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment’s review of the Financial Adviser and Financial Service Providers Acts may dominate the industry headlines in the coming months, and no doubt the conversations around the water-coolers too, but change feels far broader to me than that and I’m sure other leaders share this view as well. For example, my sense is that at some point, the cost of reinsurance will accelerate the product simplification conversation.

I’m also mindful of the ageing adviser workforce with many individuals either at or approaching traditional retirement age. Metaphorically speaking, that’s a lot of intellectual property that’s about to walk out of the door. Then there is the very real challenge of sustainable growth. For a country with a modest population of roughly 4.5 million dispersed across a geography greater than the UK, the spectre of industry consolidation and the proliferation of alternative methods of channel distribution cannot be ruled out. Intermediated distribution is the life-blood of our business, but we must remain vigilant in the face of acquisition and maintenance cost pressures.

I think it is worth underlining that material success within the industry will be born of a collective focus toward changing customer needs and their perceptions of value, service and trust. I see these things as a ‘must’ if industry stability is to be maintained during these changing times.

Charter Ping An prevails over the Philippines in unpredictable times

Sitting on the notorious Ring of Fire, the Philippines suffers about 20 natural catastrophes in the form of volcanic eruptions and earthquakes a year, not to mention a score of typhoons. And in the wake of these disasters it’s the non-life insurance industry that plays a major role in helping affected citizens and the economy get back on their feet.

“The Philippines is one of the most disaster-prone [areas] in the world, a sort of nightmare for insurers”, said Melecio Mallillin, President of non-life insurance firm Charter Ping An and a 40-year veteran of the industry. “Insurance is one of the keys in maintaining the economy during these catastrophes. Properties are restored and financial losses reduced through insurance coverages.”

Charter Ping An has prevailed over this highly unpredictable environment – in geophysical and commercial terms – for more than half a century. In that time it has developed an unusual and flexible organisation founded on a powerful financial conglomerate, the Metrobank Group, whose subsidiaries and affiliates encompass several of the sectors within the financial sector. Among the parent group’s brands are Toyota Motor Philippines, Federal Land, Orix Metro Leasing, Metrobank Card and AXA Philippines, most of them leaders in their own sectors. “We work together in a way that gives us dynamic synergies”, said Mallillin. “It means we can be much more competitive in our products and services.”

$2.6trn

Asean GDP, 2015

With such a broad footprint in a nation of 102.2 million people spread over a challenging geography of more than 7,000 islands, Charter Ping An has, over its 55 years in business, steadily developed strong business relationships with agents, brokers, car dealers and other distribution channels. In this the firm’s powerful financial position and parentage plays an important role as a reliable insurer capable of settling fairly and quickly. “It’s in the interests of our policyholders that we pay out quickly”, said Mallillin.

And in a country that likes to do business in a personal way, this gives the firm a natural momentum. Always ranked among the top five in terms of business written, Charter Ping An currently boasts the highest rate of growth among its peers. “We believe our products and services are the benchmark.”

Penetration rate
One of the ironies – and challenges – of the Philippine market is that, despite its obvious importance in such a vulnerable nation, insurance has a low penetration. Currently it’s running at 1.7 percent of the total population, not much more than half the average across the rest of the ASEAN region. After a series of catastrophes in the last five years, the industry saw an increase in so-called acts of nature coverage, but generally most Filipinos view insurance as a luxury rather than a necessity. Thus those on minimum wages would put more emphasis on food, housing and other basic necessities than on buying a policy.

Yet insurance has been available since the days of Spanish colonisation when a Scottish group, Strachman Murray, ventured into the country and started selling policies. Non-life policies made their appearance in 1906 and their popularity grew rapidly despite several ups and downs over the years, mainly for economic reasons.

Today, Charter Ping An operates in a market that is being forced to mature rapidly under a variety of pressures. In common with other jurisdictions in the vast ASEAN region of which the country is a long-standing member, the Philippines has introduced regulations that mandate higher standards of compliance while also having the effect of improving competencies such as overall financial management as well as the all-important actuarial and risk management functions that underpin the non-life sector.

As a result of the Amended Insurance Act of 2013, firms are required to comply with several new laws, including one that requires greater capital strength. Known as the net worth requirements, it applies equally to life and non-life sectors.

As the net-worth requirements show, regulators have certainly got tougher. By the end of 2016, non-life firms must have a minimum net worth equivalent to $10.7m, net worth being defined as the total of paid-up capitalisation, retained earnings, unimpaired surplus and revalued assets, all subject to the approval of the regulator. After that it gets tougher – by 2019 the target is $19.2m and by 2022 it will be $27.8m.

But with more foreign investors discovering opportunities in the Philippines, opportunities abound. Here the ‘ASEAN factor’ is proving to be a massive catalyst. Originally established nearly 50 years ago with five of the most populated countries in the region including the Philippines, ASEAN is seen as a powerhouse. Its membership has doubled with commensurately greater economic potential. With a combined population of 625 million and GDP of $2.6trn, economists see ASEAN as a waking giant – and so does Mallillin.

He predicts an increase in foreign direct investment, including in the insurance sector, under relaxed laws of foreign ownership. And that in turn will force local insurers to become more competitive. Indeed he foresees a period of consolidation.

“The increase in capitalisation requirements will pressure the smaller insurance companies to consolidate and merge with the more financially stable firms”, he said. “This will have the effect of strengthening the industry. With fewer but stronger domestic players, [the local industry] will be in a better position to compete with foreign competition.” ASEAN integration will force region-wide harmonisation in terms of regulation to the industry’s benefit, according to Mallillin.

Raising the game
Although the spate of new regulations is challenging for firms, it has raised the game and set up the non-life and other areas of insurance for a better medium-term future. As Mallillin summarises: “The sector should post a significant growth in revenues over the next few years. This will be brought about by increasing household incomes and purchasing power, improved regulations, continued growth in life insurance premiums and moderate growth in the non-life market.” Indeed this is already happening. In 2014, the non-life sector grew by nearly five percent compared with 2013 and its total net worth by nearly eight percent, while gross premiums written on a global basis reached $64.3bn (see Fig. 1).

The market is already seeing promising developments, for instance in bancassurance – the partnership between banking and insurance companies – and in microassurance. The latter is a particularly interesting phenomenon in a country of generally low household incomes. It provides cover against specific perils for financially vulnerable communities in return for the payment of modest premiums. These are calculated to be proportionate to the likelihood and costs of the risks involved. Microinsurance can be bought by people earning as little as $4 a day.

Non-life insurance industry over five years

Steady rise
Under these generally welcome influences the Philippine economy is growing steadily, up by 1.8 percent in the second quarter of 2015. That’s faster in just three months than the 1.18 percent the country averaged in the last 17 years. And the industry is growing with it. Along with the capital Manila, the cities are expanding in a general process of urbanisation. And the commercial sector – tourism, education, agriculture, automotive among others – has picked up pace.

The steady rise in commercial and residential real estate is driving non-life sales, but Mallillin believes an increase in employment will make the difference in the long run. The best customers for non-life insurance at the moment, he points out, are corporations who provide cover as an employee benefit. Currently these are few and far between.

Like others in the industry, he believes education will also make a difference. “There is a need to focus on education about the value of insurance. [We also need] to promote microinsurance, which offers low-cost products for most middle and low-income earners.”

As an experienced observer, Mallillin has a vision of where the non-life sector should head over the next few years. First, he is convinced that the inevitable bout of consolidation will make the survivors financially stronger and more professional. Second, he believes it must become more disciplined in its pricing and less cut-throat – “clean and positive competition”. Third, the sector watchdog, the Insurance Commission, must become “more active and decisive”. Fourth, he would like a rationalised insurance tax that would be paid by the consumer. Fifth, schoolchildren should be taught about the role, function and importance of insurance. And finally, in the interests of higher standards, a government-run nationwide training programme would help professionalise the vast army of insurance agents.

And by no means least, he believes acts of nature should become standard in coverage. In a country that must pick itself up after some 20 natural catastrophes a year, that sounds like a very good idea indeed.

SCBLIFE sees Thailand’s insurance sector boom

Thailand’s insurance industry is undergoing an overhaul thanks to rapidly changing customer demands, as well as new trends in sales and digitisation. As a result of changing demographics in the country, the demand for life and health insurance is experiencing an upward swing, which is resulting in impressive growth revenue year-on-year. In order to meet such rising demand, insurance companies in Thailand must maintain robust internal mechanisms and processes, which includes implementing the latest mobile and internet platforms that can help ensure customer satisfaction and survival in an increasingly competitive market. Leading the industry in terms of innovative models and technological tools is SCBLIFE, a subsidiary of the Siam Commercial Bank (SCB) Group. World Finance got the chance to speak with Stephen Appleyard, Managing Director of SCBLIFE, about recent trends and what the company is doing to maintain its position as an industry leader in Thailand.

Can you tell us about the recent insurance industry trends in Thailand?
The insurance market in Thailand is rapidly evolving, both in terms of channels to market and customer needs. Historically agents distributed insurance, but over the past 10 years this has changed significantly. In 2007, bancassurance made up only 24 percent of new business, but now it equates to over 50 percent of all new sales. Although banking products tend to be simpler and more savings-orientated, we are seeing several leading banks using point-of-sales technology to provide needs-based selling tools in order to facilitate learning and increase sales.

In terms of products, we are seeing clear trends related to the macro environment. As a result of a rapidly ageing population, customers are increasingly looking for retirement solutions. We are also seeing a growth in health insurance due to medical inflation. In addition, the current low interest rate environment drives a higher demand for insurance, as returns appear more attractive relative to other low risk investment vehicles. These three factors contribute to the growth of the insurance market, which has been relatively consistent over the past 10 years, at a growth rate of 15 percent per annum. We expect these mega trends to continue supporting the growth of the insurance sector for the next 10 years at least.

Bancassurance in Thailand

24%

Of new business in 2007

50%

Of new business in 2015

What challenges still exist for the insurance industry in Thailand?
Unlike most markets in Asia, the Thai insurance market is still heavily skewed towards the sale of products with guaranteed returns, whereby the insurance company carries all the risks and associated costs. This is in stark contrast to many other markets in Asia, where customers purchase ‘non-guaranteed’ (participating) or investment linked products. That being said, the current low interest rate environment places increasing pressure on the balance sheets of local insurers and we believe this will drive leading players to start investing in non-guaranteed savings.

Another challenge for insurers in Thailand is to keep up with customer expectations in regards to service. The banking sector is very advanced in Thailand and as the majority of insurance products are sold through banks, there is an expectation that insurance must provide comparable levels of service. The customer experience from online non-financial retailers also continues to raise customer expectations. We are living in a digital world where everything is connected and shared rapidly; hence, it is vital that we maintain a fast pace to match our customers’ needs and desires.

How has SCBLIFE responded to these trends and challenges?
One of SCBLIFE’s core strategies is customer-centricity, whereby our products and services are being developed around needs-based solutions. As a result, we have developed a deep understanding of our target customers’ demographics and we now have a better understanding of their insurance needs at different life stages. We strive to help our target customers fully understand insurance frameworks by elevating the buying experience through multi-distribution channels. We hope to make the decision process for our customers easier by making it more engaging and informative.

We also coach the bank’s staff and our agents via development roadmaps, training, and multimedia tools that aim to maintain, refresh, as well as strengthen their product knowledge and sales ethics in order to ensure the best possible quality in terms of service and products. We believe that this is the key way to sustain SCBLIFE’s strong and long-standing reputation.

In addition to customer-facing service upgrades, SCBLIFE is also investing in a new policy administration system, image and workflow, as well as a new contact centre and digital point of sales technology. This will ensure that we are able to deliver consistent customer service for the 300,000 to 400,000 new customers that we acquire each year. The new platform will also allow SCBLIFE to communicate with its customers more efficiently and effectively.

What impact does Thailand’s economy have on the country’s insurance industry?
Unfortunately, the Thai economy is slow at the moment; however, this lull provides an impetus for us to focus on innovation, for now and for the future. Not all companies can invest during these difficult times, but SCBLIFE needs to take this chance to keep up with changing consumer demands and stay ahead of the competition. We are determined to create insurance solutions that offer great value, while giving people throughout the country the chance to experience world-class service from our dedicated agents and
network branches.

How did SCBLIFE become the leading insurer in Thailand?
At SCBLIFE we are delighted to have been protecting the lives of Thai people for over 40 years now. As part of the larger SCB Group, SCBLIFE successfully leverages the strongest and most trusted financial brand in Thailand. With over 14 million customers in Thailand, SCB has developed a deep understanding of the local population; as a result, SCBLIFE is able to develop innovative products and services that meet our customers’ ever-evolving needs.

What are SCBLIFE’s biggest achievements?
Our biggest achievement is the consistent growth in the number of policy-holders we serve. This is a result of the high level of customer satisfaction that we achieve and the value of our products. We are humbled to be able to contribute to the strong economic foundation of our country and to help enable Thai people to improve their quality of life through financial stability in a sustainable way.

SCBLIFE is committed to providing needs-based insurance products, which positively contribute to local communities. We are proud to have celebrated many milestones, including the launch of our consumer education platform, digital marketing platform for My SCBLIFE, and plug and play services, which all provide us with direct channels to communicate with customers.

What differentiates you from your rivals?
We have a highly integrated strategy with SCB to develop insurance solutions and customer experiences that are complementary to the bank’s other offerings. By leveraging the bank’s infrastructure and reach, SCBLIFE is able to enhance the overall brand value of the SCB Group through a customer-centric approach. Another attribute that makes us stand out in the market is our innovative employees who drive our business forward in a highly competitive landscape that continues to experience rapid changes in consumer behaviour.

What does the future hold for the company?
SCBLIFE’s vision for success is to keep our business true to its core values and continue honouring our commitment to offering unparalleled value and service to our customers. It is also vitally important for us to uphold a culture of passion and commitment among our employees.

We aim to become the number one life insurance company in Thailand within the next five years, which will be driven by our ‘four winning’ missions. The first is ‘winning people’; SCBLIFE wants to be a great place to work. We believe that the future of our company lies in each employee believing in himself or herself, actively tackling challenges and pursuing their dreams. At SCBLIFE, we assist employees with career development through various training and staff engagement programmes, which empower them to develop and diversify their skill sets. Then there is ‘winning customers’, whereby SCBLIFE’s products are developed under our ‘needs-based’ philosophy, which is enriched via customer feedback and research.

‘Winning distribution’ pertains to our distribution network, which consists of 12,000 licensed SCB Bank sellers and 4,000 SCBLIFE agents. We strive to constantly improve and upgrade the services we provide to our distribution partners so that they can offer superior customer service. Finally, we have the ‘winning process and platform’; SCB LIFE sees itself as an industry leader in Thailand and constantly invests in its platforms and processes in order to meet the new demands of consumers in the digital age. Our goal is to have the most productive insurance business in Thailand and to leverage SCB’s experience for our new administrative system, which will be cashless, paperless and chequeless. SCBLIFE continues to embrace the latest technology in order to improve the customer experience and our efficiency, which both translate back into higher added value for our customers.

The insurance sector becomes Taiwan’s economic lifeline

Recent developments in Taiwan’s life insurance market point to a bright future for an industry in good health already, as the country seeks to cement its status as one of the hottest markets in Asia for insurance. At 15 percent, the country’s life insurance penetration rate ranks among the highest worldwide, and studies show that its growth will outpace that of the economy for some time. In the region, only China, Japan and South Korea can speak of a more formidable insurance market, and continuous improvements throughout mean that Taiwan will no doubt attract expertise ahead of what it can speak of currently.

With an ageing population and a low interest rate environment, Taiwan’s market properties feed comfortably into what is a glittering life insurance market, and the sector today accounts for approximately 80 percent of total premiums written – 90 percent when including the health and personal accident segments. The high net worth population in Taiwan, and in Asia generally, will continue to grow, and this, combined with a greater knowledge about the importance of insurance and retirement planning, will do much to boost the industry’s prospects moving forwards. In this fast-growing market are a number of notable domestic players, not least Fubon Life, which characterise much that is positive about Taiwan’s budding insurance industry.

Birth rates

In doing so, Fubon Life has claimed the Insurance Company of the Year in Taiwan for the fourth time. Receiving votes from 120,000 members from over 50 countries, Fubon Life has become the only life insurer in Taiwan to receive this honour for four consecutive years, and, in light of this recognition, will continue with its goal to become a first class financial institution in Asia.

Widespread sponsorship
Without enterprises such as Fubon Life, the insurance sector would not have made the progress it so clearly has done over the past few years. The company has demonstrated its innovative streak in the fields of human resource development, service optimisation and charitable contribution in 2015. In addition to cultivating young talent and strengthening local services, the company has also enhanced service efficiency and diversified the distribution channel by engaging with cloud services. As a benchmark enterprise, it joined forces with the Fubon Charity Foundation in conducting charity campaigns and supporting the underprivileged members of society. It also diligently fulfils its corporate social responsibility initiatives and aims to become a first class life insurance brand in Asia.

The company has been actively involved in charity activities, supporting underprivileged groups that include children, teenagers, those with mental and physical difficulties, the elderly and indigenous people to the Australian continent. The ‘Make Friends with Love’ scholarship programme – sponsored by Fubon Life and Fubon Charity Foundation – has helped to support the education of more than 143,000 children in nearly 2,200 schools around the country.

It is also a pioneer in incorporating local sports events within a charity campaign. In addition to being the long-time title sponsor of the Taipei Marathon, Fubon also sponsors the Fubon Braves basketball team of the Super Basketball League – a semi-professional basketball league in Taiwan; the and the LPGA golf tournament and baseball tournaments, allowing it to stand out in the life insurance industry with sports sponsorship.

In 2014, Fubon Life posted an after tax profit of TWD 35.367bn ($1.06bn), with an EPS of TWD 8.04 ($0.24) per share, equating to an annual growth rate of 41 percent and topping the life insurance industry in Taiwan for the sixth year in a row. A focus on people and a commitment to human capital is perhaps the foundation of Fubon Life’s impressive financial performance. In addition to providing a professional career-training programme, the company also places a great deal of emphasis on recruiting local talent.

In doing so, last year Fubon Life introduced a No Boundary recruiting programme, which focuses on recruiting new agents from cities and townships around the island to further expand its reach. In recent years, the company has also encouraged its agents to establish their own sales branches via internal entrepreneurship, which not only helps to expand the sales force, but also provides these agents with abundant resources to help them in their career path.

Fubon Life firmly believes that employees are the most important assets of the company. The professional training programme and attractive career prospects have made Fubon Life Taiwan’s favourite employer among college graduates majoring in finance and insurance for five years running. The company’s achievements are not due solely to a focus on people however, and attention paid to the issue of diversification and expansion has done much to improve Fubon’s international standing.

Garnering tailored insurance
Highly responsive to market change, Fubon Life has gone about constantly adjusting its product portfolio to meet customers’ changing requirements. In view of the low birth rate (see side bar) and growing single population, the company has introduced annuity, health and long-term care insurance products to offer clients better protection. The company also launched new products such as foreign currency denominated policies to meet ever-changing customer demands and prepare for a future in which its influence will expand far beyond Taiwan.

In terms of distribution channels, with the emergence of bancassurance and insurance brokerages in recent years, Fubon Life – in addition to distributing its products via its other subsidiaries – has also actively developed strategic alliances with other banks and medium/large insurance brokerages to offer exclusive products for these channels. This year, Fubon started to work with Ping An Insurance in China to this end. Its policyholders who may or may not have an incident in China can now have his or her claim application processed at Ping An’s service counter as a result of this partnership.

In view of the changes sweeping across financial services, particularly in the form of globalisation, Fubon Life has also led the industry in acquiring the OIU license. It is planning to take advantage of its flexible product strategy, extensive distribution channels, solid balance sheet and capital adequacy performance to further expand its business and providing foreign customers with a more competitive product portfolio to satisfy their needs in both protection and investment.

Fubon Life has been actively expanding its reach to Mainland China and other Asian markets for some time. In addition to the subsidiary in Vietnam and the Hong Kong insurance market – which Fubon has already planned to enter – the company also subscribed to shares issued by Korea’s Hyundai Life Insurance in order to expand its business in Northeast Asia. This is the first time ever that a Taiwanese life insurer has invested in the insurance business in Korea. In the future, Fubon Life will continue to study and evaluate the market potential of other countries in order to further integrate its resources on a regional financial service platform, and in doing so to truly become a first class financial institution in Asia.

On top of globalisation, the development of cloud technology has dramatically changed consumer behaviour. How to leverage the trend and technology to provide the customers with a more convenient service and satisfy their needs is a challenge, as well as a new opportunity, for the life insurance industry. Fubon Life has led the industry by introducing an online proposal processing system. Agents equipped with mobile devices can take advantage of the cloud database and back-end system to create a proposal for prospects during the first visit, based on their own individual needs and budgets. The immediate and timely service allows the prospects to have a more comprehensive understanding of the coverage and terms contained in the insurance policy.

The online application system and the policy service platform over the cloud also help to simplify the current application process. Policyholders will be able to complete the process with their mobile devices, and the platform has been widely recognised for its innovation and convenience. In the future, Fubon Life will continue to expand and optimise the cloud service system to provide customers with the most comprehensive digital service in the market.

Looking to the future, Fubon Life will continue to strengthen its business in Taiwan while extending its global reach. The company intends to constantly improve on its customer service and fulfil its corporate social responsibilities to move towards the goal of becoming a first-class life insurer in Asia.

Allianz Hungary: insurers must innovate to compete

With a nearly 21-percent share of Hungary’s non-life insurance market, Allianz Hungary has an important role to play in a country that has hit the headlines recently because of its geographic position as a frontier for waves of migrants seeking a better life in the EU. Hit hard by the financial crisis but improving, Hungary was recently characterised by the IMF as ‘growing at a strong pace, helped by accommodative policies and improved market sentiment’.

However, the country’s stubbornly low wage rates, at least by European standards, and a labour participation rate of just 67 percent, have put the onus on firms such as Allianz to design products that make a difference to the quality of life of the country’s 9.9 million people.

And, behind the headlines, Allianz is doing just that. As the company’s Chairman and CEO, Péter Kisbenedek explains that the firm is rolling out more affordable policies across the insurance spectrum and distributing them in innovative ways that make them more readily available.

The challenge for insurance companies in Hungary and elsewhere is that the world is changing and historic data is often an unreliable guide to future risks

Indeed, the operative word here is affordability, particularly in a country with a low average household income. Taking the Big Mac index as a proxy, Kisbenedek points out interestingly that in the capital of Budapest, Hungarians work for 49 minutes for a McDonald’s hamburger, which compares unfavourably with wealthier European capitals. It takes just 13 minutes of toil – or nearly four times less – in Zurich, 15 minutes in Munich, 16 in Paris, 18 in Madrid and 20 in Brussels. Even in nearby Bratislava, the capital of Slovakia, it’s 32 minutes and 34 minutes in Prague, capital of the Czech Republic.

Inevitably, in this economic environment, customers are inclined to put price ahead of other considerations, especially in the age of instant online comparison. “Customers have access to more information than ever before”, explained Kisbenedek. “They are using price comparison sites. They want quotes and prices immediately on the platform they choose.”

One happy result of this is that the price of most insurance products has come within reach of the budget of most households. Proof of this trend can be found in a remarkable statistic – an average flat suitable for a family can be insured for a total yearly fee costing no more than the price of 11 pizzas. And that’s at Budapest (rather than Zurich) pizza prices.

Flexible and adaptable
Reflecting the same impetus for affordability, Allianz has been quick to meet a fast-rising demand for what is known as convenience insurance. Thus, it has lately introduced a number of assistance packages for an astonishingly low monthly fee of around 300 forints (€1), offering an extremely wide range of services.

In this cost-conscious environment no insurer can afford to rest on its laurels, even if it dominates the market as Allianz Hungary does. Thus, the firm’s Gondoskodás Programme is a new hybrid life insurance product that combines the benefits of risk insurance and a savings account. According to Kisbenedek: “Gondoskodás completes our life insurance product range, offering our customers insurance solutions for all life situations and for all income positions.”

Allianz Hungary is part of a global group that boasts 85 million customers in more than 70 countries and that, to boot, is celebrating its 125th anniversary. But, in an environment of relentless change, the last 125 years may not mean much. “The challenge for insurance companies in Hungary and elsewhere is that the world is changing and historic data is often an unreliable guide to future risks and future claim patterns”, Kisbenedek pointed out.

“Therefore insurance companies have to be future-thinking and constantly monitor global and local trends, including customer attitudes and behaviour.” It’s a little understood aspect of insurance – and particularly the life and pension business – that by its very nature, firms are committed to their clients for half a century or more. Thus, they are obliged to concern themselves with long-term issues that may influence the value of policies to the benefit or harm of the client. “We have to care about what is going to happen in the world during this period”, Kisbenedek summarised.

Technical nous
And woe betide a firm that doesn’t connect with the digital revolution. Allianz Hungary has invested in the upgrade of its online calculators and fast-quote functions for Casco insurance (unavoidable loss or damage), as well as home and motor vehicle insurance. The firm’s consumer-facing website has been radically reconfigured to present a uniform appearance and make it compatible with all platforms, including tablets and smartphones. In short, total web-based functionality is now available.

Allianz has also overhauled its payments function, another area in the middle of turmoil. Three technical updates were introduced to make it quicker and more convenient for clients to pay premiums. The so-called ‘white cheque’ with the QR code enables them to pay from smartphones and, in a first for the Hungarian insurance market, enables agents to use credit cards. Late last year, the firm made it possible for agents to effect payments through mobile point-of-sale terminals, using a service known as mPOS. It means clients can now pay premiums for any non-life and currency-linked life insurance products at the offices of their tied agents.

“From a technological perspective, this is a significant and revolutionary innovation”, said Kisbenedek. “It’s the world’s first integrated mPOS introduced in the insurance market. In addition to being flexible, the sales process involves a fully integrated solution that makes the entire process digital. This is a major step forward to a society without cash”, Kisbenedek added. And, because it’s scaleable, mPOS can be extended to all Allianz subsidiaries at regional or group level. Underlying all these innovations is the insurance industry’s economic function in providing life-enhancing policies for commerce, agriculture and ordinary citizens. Modest as it was, last year’s recovery allowed Hungarians to raise average savings per household, which in turn boosted the entire insurance sector’s total premium revenue by 4.2 percent.

As market leader, Allianz Hungária was the biggest beneficiary of this. Last year, the firm saw growth in the non-life business, primarily in the performance of the industrial property and liability insurance segments, in the agricultural insurance segment in general and, more specifically, in preferential premium crop insurance, a peculiarly Hungarian product. And in the retail property business, the number of new acquisitions increased by 10 percent.

Simultaneously, there was a turnaround in the previously stricken area of motor insurance, which suffered heavily in the downturn. New vehicle sales jumped significantly, as did the number of mainly premium imports. Between them, these changes led to a gratifying rise in the overall vehicle count in Hungary, allowing premiums to climb off the floor.

One product that is certainly life-enhancing in a generally under-insured nation is long-term pensions, a particular focus of Allianz Hungária. Here, the firm has developed another innovation in the form of a self-care pension that it plans to push into the wider community. Competitively priced, it’s a long-term savings product with a continuous premium payment.

Green growth
Allianz Hungária’s necessarily long horizons demand matching adherence to sustainability. “Sustainability is inherent to our business”, Kisbenedek explained. “With our efforts to reduce risk deriving from global megatrends like climate change, demographic change, and access to financial services, we have actively contributed to sustainable development – our own and that of our stakeholders – for a long time.” As he made clear, Allianz aims to embed sustainability into the group’s DNA.

Allianz Hungária’s head office in Budapest is a monument to the firm’s green credentials. Not only does it collect and recycle, it also reuses rainwater, economises on consumption of paper, heats the building with solar collectors, runs low-energy lighting and employs purified water.

Meantime, megatrends keep coming. Kisbenedek ticked them off – extreme weather, ageing populations, shrinking work forces, social security systems under pressure, demographic change. “They are creating challenges and opportunities for us”, he noted. One example is road safety. The parent group has invested considerable time, energy and money into saving lives, primarily in the form of innovative technologies.

Another life-enhancing initiative is the firm’s commitment to financial education, a much-neglected topic. Allianz Hungária has an online platform dedicated to the publication of articles, research, interesting facts and useful advice on this and other issues.

Every year and taking place in October, the firm organises a conference under the title of Common Future, in which a lineup of scientists and other experts delivers short and often inspirational speeches.

Last, but by no means least, the firm prides itself on its transparency across the board and has pledged to uphold a policy of zero tolerance against corruption. “We expect the same from our contractual partners and entrepreneurs”, Kisbenedek noted. In the meantime, the future is not what it was.

As Kisbenedek explained, experience shows that our highly transformed societies are under constant exposure to new challenges, as indeed border controls will attest. “When we say future, we must talk about a future that is different from the one we are used to. The future is not in the distance any more. Waves of change are all around us.”

German-Chinese exchange to open in Frankfurt

China and Germany, the economic cornerstones of their respective continents, are becoming increasingly reliant upon each other, with German firm’s trade with China supporting a million jobs across Europe. The two industrial powerhouses are further expanding their economic partnership, with an RMB denominated exchange being launched in the German financial capital of Frankfurt.

After decades of refusing to let the RMB out of the borders of mainland China, since 2004 the country has gradually liberalised in this respect

Germany’s Deutsche Borse Group, alongside the Shanghai Stock Exchange (SSE) and the China Financial Futures Exchange (CFFEX) has joined to create the new exchange, which will known as the CEINEX, or China Europe International Exchange. The new exchange will offer Chinese financial instrument to international investors, starting with cash products such as ETFs and bonds in the Chinese RMB, starting in November. All products will be traded using Deutsche Borse’s established cash marketplace, Xetra, which has approximately 200 participants.

“CEINEX is a milestone in the strategic cooperation amongst our three exchanges. Its value proposition to ‘trade China in international markets’ is a major step forward in the internationalization of the RMB,” said Deutsche Bourse Chief Executive Officer Carsten Kengeter, Reuters reports.

After decades of refusing to let the RMB out of the borders of mainland China, since 2004 the country has gradually liberalised in this respect. Earlier in 2015, the country’s leaders allowed RMB bonds to start being issued in the UK. European countries – northern states, in particular – are increasingly courting Chinese business and economic cooperation, shown most recently by President Xi Jingping’s high profile visit to the UK. Southern European countries are generally less enthusiastic about China, regularly complaining that its unfair trade practices undermine their own industry.

Everyone wants a piece of uranium

In August it was confirmed that Kazakhstan would act as host and operator of a new uranium reserve bank, known as the IAEA Low Enriched Uranium (LEU) Reserve Bank. The bank’s stated aim is to act as a lender of last resort, should any country that imports its enriched uranium encounter any disruption in market supply. According to the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) it will be “owned and controlled by the IAEA… and act as a supplier of last resort for member states in case the supply of LEU to a nuclear power plant is disrupted due to exceptional circumstances, and the member state is unable to secure LEU from the commercial market or by any other means”.

A multi-national effort, funding is coming in from all over the world. Warren Buffet, through his Nuclear Threat Initiative has himself committed $50m of the total $150m cost. The US has committed a further $49m, alongside $28m from the EU (including a pledge of up to $6m for security), while the UAE and Kuwait have pledged $10m each and Norway $5m.

The technology centrifuge required to enrich uranium to peaceful LEU is not far from that needed to create HEU, which can be turned into a nuclear weapon

Plutonic purpose
The bank itself will hold 90 tonnes of LEU in its reserve for IAEA members in good standing to draw from in times of market disruption. This is enough to power a large-sized city for roughly three years – a rather small amount as far as world usage of LEU goes. This however, raises a number of questions behind the reason for this project. Firstly, uranium is an incredibly abundant resource, with reserves throughout the world (see Fig. 1), and where large deposits have existed, increased exploration has resulted in the discovery of more reserves. As The Economist noted, “no reactors have ever been shut down because of a lack of fuel”.

Rather, it is the low enriched uranium that is open for sale that it will supposedly be a reserve for. Low enriched uranium is the result of the process by which uranium is made usable in nuclear power plants to provide energy. LEU is enriched to around 20 percent and is not able to be weaponised. High-grade uranium, usually around 80 percent enriched, is the material required for the creation of a nuclear bomb. Currently, the countries able to enrich uranium are Argentina, Brazil, China, France, Germany, India, Iran, Japan, the Netherlands, North Korea, Pakistan, Russia, the UK, and the US. It is from these states in which a country that has nuclear facilities but not centrifuges would purchase LEU.

As the name suggests, the bank will supply countries with LEU for use in their nuclear facilities, should they be able to purchase it on the open market from these countries. Yet the idea of any country being completely excluded from accessing LEU from all of these seems highly unlikely. Diverse in global alliance and approach to international politics as well as location, an instance in which access to LEU from all of these states dries up seems unimaginable. In the unlikely event that none of the nations with enrichment capabilities could supply LEU on the open market, the paltry amounts in the LEU Bank would be far from adequate, while if a country were political excluded from purchasing LEU – not that it is able to be used to create a nuclear bomb anyway – by these nations, it most likely would be as well by the bank.

A new approach
This should been seen as part of a wider initiative to contain nuclear proliferation and prevent certain countries from acquiring the technology behind enrichment. Indeed, two similar initiatives already exist, also under the auspices of the IAEA in Russia, while the US has unilaterally set up its own reserve bank.

The problem stems from the fact that the technology centrifuge required to enrich uranium to peaceful LEU is not far from that needed to create HEU, which can be turned into a nuclear weapon. This is what much of the dispute and eventual agreement with Iran centred on. It was to this end in 2003 that then IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei “called for a new approach to the sensitive parts of the nuclear fuel cycle – uranium enrichment and plutonium separation”, according to Tariq Rauf in a paper for the Stockholm International Peace Institute.

In order to prevent the need of countries to develop centrifuges through which uranium is enriched – but still allow them to use nuclear power – countries are to be encouraged to purchase LEU on the open market with the assurance that a reserve bank will mean they will not see supplies on the market dry up. Having the ability to enrich your own uranium means you need not worry about supplies on the open market becoming inaccessible; a reserve bank is supposed to act as that blanket of safety instead, preventing countries from developing the capability to enrich uranium. As Rauf further noted, an LEU bank will reduce “possible nuclear proliferation risks of new national enrichment capabilities”, meaning certain supposedly dangerous countries will not need to create enrichment technology.

Known recoverable uranium

The US, itself a baker of the energy bank, has made its intentions clear on this in two regards. Firstly, President Obama in a 2009 speech called for “a new framework for civil nuclear cooperation, including an international fuel bank, so that countries can access peaceful power without increasing the risks of proliferation”. Secondly, the country has embarked upon the creation of its own LEU reserve bank known as the Assured Fuel Supply, which consists of 290 tonnes of LEU made from downgraded HEU which will be a back up for either domestic or foreign reactors.

According the National Nuclear Security Administration, World Nuclear News reported it will create “a vehicle for promoting the peaceful use of nuclear energy without exacerbating nuclear proliferation risks: if countries looking to develop nuclear power programmes can be assured of a secure supply of nuclear fuel, then any need to develop uranium enrichment technology in those countries is removed”.

Far from securing supply, however, it could lead to the use of supply restriction of LEU to certain countries as a form of punishment. Although controlled by the IAEA, if certain countries fall out of favour with the international community it could potentially see their access to LEU complexly restricted. International institutions, while ostensibly independent, are often subject to politicisation and dominated by more powerful international actors. The IAEA does not exist in a vacuum, and like other such agencies is open to political sway and influence by more powerful states.

This can already be observed from a US Cable that stated that the IAEA Director-General Yukiya Amano said he was “solidly in the US court on every key strategic decision, from high-level personnel appointments to the handling of Iran’s alleged nuclear weapons programme”. The potential result of such international energy banks, ironically, could make supplies to LEU less secure for certain countries. In practice, countries relying on a reserve bank rather than pursuing their own nuclear enrichment technology would be surrounding a part of their sovereignty and, to borrow a phrase popular in American politics, lose their energy independence.

E-cigarettes stub out the tobacco industry’s success

Worldwide, smoking is the cause of roughly six million deaths each and every year, and this number is expected to rise to eight million a year by 2030, according to the World Health Organisation. In the US, the Centre for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) calculates that a little over 16 million Americans are living with a disease that is directly caused by smoking. It is no wonder then that more and more people are looking to quit the practice altogether, but old habits die hard.

To help ease the pain of giving up, many smokers turn to a number of smoking cessation aids. While there are many to choose from, including nicotine replacement therapy and cognitive behavioural support provided by medical practitioners, the most popular aid among smokers looking to kick the habit is the electronic cigarette or vaporiser.

Yet, smokers looking to quit aren’t the only force driving the boom in electronic cigarette sales. Another is young people looking to take up the habit. According to the CDC, the number of high school students choosing to puff on one of these devices has nearly tripled between 2013 and 2014. Data from the 2014 National Youth Tobacco Survey showed how the use of these devices among high school students had risen from 4.5 percent in 2013 to 13.4 percent in 2014, which represents an increase from roughly 660,000 to two million students.

Currently, the global e-cigarette market is worth around $3bn, which is impressive, but that figure is expected to grow to more than $50bn by 2025

“We want parents to know that nicotine is dangerous for kids at any age, whether it’s an e-cigarette, hookah, cigarette or cigar”, said CDC Director Tom Frieden, MD, MPH. “Adolescence is a critical time for brain development. Nicotine exposure at a young age may cause lasting harm to brain development, promote addiction, and lead to sustained tobacco use.”

Big tobacco
But despite the words of warning from health professionals, the humble ‘e-cig’ has grown so popular that big tobacco has reason to be concerned. Currently, the global e-cigarette market is worth around $3bn (see Fig. 1), which is impressive, but that figure is expected to grow to more than $50bn by 2025, according to a recent report. With growth figures like these, big tobacco is naturally worried about the industry overtaking its own. So, in an effort to capitalise on this growing trend, many of the world’s biggest tobacco companies have jumped on the bandwagon, entering the market with their own iterations.

Philip Morris International (PMI), famous for producing cigarette brands including Marlboro, L&M, Bond Street and Parliament, made its first foray into the e-cig market with its IQOS smokeless cigarette near the end of last year. The company describes its new device as a middle ground between traditional cigs and their electronic counterparts.

Speaking at a conference hosted by Morgan Stanley in late 2014, PMI’s CEO André Calantzopoulos explained how the launch of the device, which has since gone on sale in Italy, Australia, and Japan, was a “landmark moment”, which has begun the a “ground-breaking new chapter” in the company’s history.

So far, PMI has also been reluctant to make too big a dive into the electronic market, acquiring the UK-based brands Nicolite and Nicocig, but it is likely to strengthen its position globally, if growth rates continue as predicted.

PMI isn’t the only tobacco company looking to secure a piece of this highly lucrative market. Reynolds American and Imperial Tobacco have both dipped their toe in too. In fact, the former sold the world’s biggest producer of e-cigarettes, Blu, to the latter, so that Reynolds American had the necessary capital to finalise its acquisition of Lorillard Tobacco, which is responsible for the manufacturing of US brands, including Newport Maverick, Old Gold, Kent, True, Satin and Max.

Imperial Tobacco’s decision to purchase Blu and Skycigs in the UK, along with the development of its own brand of e-cigs called Puritane, exemplifies the company’s commitment to this promising market. It also establishes them as the market leader for the time being, which could lead to the company raking in massive profits should the market grow in line with analysts’ opinions.

Meanwhile, Reynolds’ decision to sell Blu in order to consolidate a greater share of the tobacco market is a clear indicator that the company is more concerned with the profits to be had from the $35bn industry, at least for now. It has, however, held onto the vaporisor brand Vuse, which is sold in the US, so they haven’t exited the market altogether.

e-cigarette market size

Health kicks
In all honesty, it would be folly to do so anyway, as the electronic cigarette market is going to be the new battleground for big tobacco, because, like it or not, the public are better informed about the risks associated with smoking, leading many people to quit. And with retailers touting the benefits of switching to vaporisers those who still want their dose of nicotine without the smoke have found a viable alternative.

But while many medical professionals concede that the growth of the e-cigarette market has helped drive down the consumption of cigarettes, the jury is still out regarding the safety of electronic cigarettes.

“Over the last 50 years, 20 million Americans died because of tobacco. We are fiercely committed to preventing the tobacco industry from addicting another generation of smokers”, said Nancy Brown, CEO of the American Heart Association in a statement. “Recent studies raise concerns that e-cigarettes may be a gateway to traditional tobacco products for the nation’s youth, and could renormalise smoking in our society. These disturbing developments have helped convince the association that e-cigarettes need to be strongly regulated, thoroughly researched and closely monitored.

“In the years since the FDA first announced it would assert its authority over e-cigarettes the market for these products has grown dramatically”, she added. “We fear that any additional delay of these new regulations will have real, continuing public health consequences.”

China lighting up
America isn’t the only country looking to clamp down on the industry; China is too, and for good reason. The country possesses the largest number of smokers in the world, with more than 350 million people lighting up every day. It is also the largest supplier of e-cigarettes, supplying 80 percent of the global market, the majority of which are produced in the southeastern city of Shenzhen.

But despite this, there is currently no regulation of the industry, but that could all change. In fact, Mao Qua’an, a spokesperson for the National Health and Family Planning Commission in China addressed the issue during the 16th World Conference on Tobacco or Health.

“E-cigarettes have rapidly become popular across the world. China will act… to protect people, particularly as the nation has reached a crucial stage for tobacco control in general”, said Mao. “The health authority will coordinate related agencies and lobby for regulation of the sector.

“They target the young with a variety of fancy flavours, and have become another public health concern”, he added.

Mao did concede that more research must be conducted before regulation can be finalised. Until then, China is a fertile environment for the industry to flourish. After all, markets like China are essential if the e-cigarette market is to reach $10bn by 2017, as many analysts predict it will.

Smoking, as is the case everywhere, poses a serious health risk in China. Roughly 1.2 million people die each year there as a direct result of tobacco use, which puts a massive financial strain on major medical facilities run by the government. Therefore, it is in the interest of the People’s Republic to try and drive down consumption of traditional cigarettes, and pushing the electronic alternative is a great way of doing so, without losing the revenue that the tobacco industry provides.

As it stands, only one percent of the population uses vaporisers, but the government is attempting to change that. In April, China’s State Council banned government officials from smoking in public and on television in the hope that ordinary citizens will follow suit.

It is yet to be seen whether the move will drive down the consumption of tobacco, but if Chinese consumers get on board the e-cig boom then the industry looks set to not only reach its predicted targets, but smash through them.

No, Rubio, Americans don’t want your Student Investment Plan

How to fund the higher education of Americans is an enduring political question. There is a sense that the old system of loans and grants is no longer tenable, with mounting student debts. According to figures from the New York Federal Reserve, Americans owe $1.2trn in outstanding college loans, an increase of $78bn from just one year ago, while the cost of college has quadrupled in the past 35 years. It is of pressing concern that any US presidential candidate proposes a solution to funding the ever expanding number of prospective students and not too burdensome upon the tax-payer.

Bernie Sanders, the left-wing outsider Democrat candidate, predictably advocating a tax on the wealthy to fund college tuition – to Hillary Clinton, claiming she will try to make college as debt free as possible. Marco Rubio, generally seen as the more sensible of the smorgasbord of Republican candidates, has proposed an unorthodox idea to fund college tuition.

Certain university subjects that often do not lead to immediate or clear high paying jobs may go underfunded

Controversial plans
As Rubio outlined in a speech: “Let’s say you are a student who needs $10,000 to pay for your last year of school. Instead of taking this money out in the form of a loan, you could apply for a ‘Student Investment Plan’ from an approved and certified private investment group. In short, these investors would pay your $10,000 tuition in return for a percentage of your income for a set period of time after graduation – let’s say, for example, four percent a year for 10 years. This group would look at factors such as your major, the institution you’re attending, your record in school – and use this to make a determination about the likelihood of you finding a good job and paying them back.”

This is, however, shot through with problems. If investors are looking at students as equity, hedging for future returns on income, certain university subjects that often do not lead to immediate or clear high paying jobs may go underfunded. To the hard-nosed economist, perhaps this is a more efficient allocation of resources. Yet college is not only an economic decision, an ominous investment in ‘human capital’, but also a place where big ideas are explored and debated, even if they don’t result in any future monetary returns.

At the same time, those pursuing degrees in areas that do lead to high-paying jobs would find little benefit in the Student Investment Plan. A student expecting to earn a large salary would be reluctant to giving up such a sizeable amount – four percent according to Rubio – of their income, and would end up paying a much higher amount than their counterparts studying less profitable degrees. Indeed, in the 1970s a similar initiative was tried, with the results being that those who expected to earn higher amounts post-college not signing up to the plan.

Theory versus reality
The plan would create a complete mismatch. Those pursuing degrees in humanities subjects and not expecting to earn a high income anytime soon would not be attractive option to any investor, while the business or economics students hoping for a high paid career in finance would be. Yet for such students forsaking a future portion of their assumed high income would be far less attractive than taking on typical federal loans.

As William Deresiewicz, the author of numerous essays on US higher education noted, “Instead of individual investors investing in individual students and receiving a percentage of their individual future earnings, a better plan would involve everyone together investing in all students and receiving a percentage of their future collective earnings. Except we already have that plan: it’s called public funding of higher education – the investment part – followed by taxation of wager-earners – the return part. We just no longer invest as much as we should, which is why our return [in other words, the strength and productivity of our economy] is no longer as good as it should be.”

Formula One must rethink marketing as its audience figures drop

Many might not be aware of the gradual decline of Formula One. That’s because more and more people are apparently losing interest in the sport altogether. Back in 2008, the world was much more captivated with the spectacle. Just seven years ago, Formula One boasted more than 600 million viewers worldwide. Since then, the number of people choosing to tune in has waned. So much so that when CEO of Formula One Management, Bernie Ecclestone, published the organisation’s annual global media report, it showed that viewer numbers had fallen by 5.6 percent from the previous season to 425 million.

It is important to note that, despite so many millions of people choosing to change the channel, the Formula One Grand Prix still holds the title of the world’s most-watched sports series. What is more, the loss has not necessarily been a bad thing for the sport – at least in regards to its bottom line. That’s because, over the last three years, the organisation made the decision to sell off live broadcasting rights to pay TV networks. Doing so has helped bring in some extra revenue; however, it is likely to have contributed to the sport’s decline in overall viewership; as such networks often attract a smaller audience than public broadcasters, with monthly subscription fees tending to deter less hard-core supporters.

At first glance, accusations that the pinnacle of motorsport is struggling may appear unfounded. Yet, management’s readiness to sell rights to the highest bidder, regardless of how it will impact the sport’s presence worldwide, along with poor ticket sales and a difficulty for teams to secure long-term sponsorship deals are all strong indicators that all is not well in the world of Formula One. Not only that, but the sport is showing signs of internal struggles, with drivers yearning for races to be more competitive, teams eager for greater control, and investors worried about the sport’s growth. There is a clear consensus within Formula One and among its supporters that reform is necessary in order to stop the sport slipping further, but identifying and agreeing on the correct course of action to put the organisation back on track is proving difficult.

F1: Average team budget

£41m

R&D

£42m

Production

£36m

Operations

Source: Formula Money
Notes: Budget based on average F1 production costs in 2015

Consumer habits
One of the ways that Ecclestone was able to cultivate such an impressive following for the sport back in the late 1970s was through free-to-air broadcasting, allowing race lovers the world over unfettered access to the sport.

But according to Alex Duff, a sports reporter for Bloomberg News, this strategy is no longer viable because people are watching less live TV, with many preferring to stream content instead. A recent survey from Deloitte showed that 72 percent of trailing millennials (aged 14 to 25) see streaming as one of the most valuable services, with 25 percent claiming to have cancelled their pay TV subscription in the last year.

“After years of ignoring the internet [Ecclestone] is realising that he is actually having to address these young people who aren’t watching TV”, explained Duff during a conversation with Bloomberg. “To keep the revenue coming in, he is also selling some rights exclusively to pay TV, which is something he has never done before, and that is helping to give [Formula One] a bit of a revenue boost.”

Extra cash is always a bonus and helps keep investors happy. Though the high price of a subscription could be contributing to the sport’s poor viewing figures, as well as harming its ability to attract new fans and causing existing ones to grow despondent with the sport. So far, Ecclestone has brokered deals with Sky in the UK, Fox Sports/FoxTel in Australia and Telefonica in Spain, splitting coverage between these pay TV companies and free-to-air broadcasters.

The cost of these various subscriptions vary, but all add up over time. In the UK, if fans want the opportunity to watch the entire season they must pay Sky £562 ($865) for the privilege. In Australia, as of this year, the TV rights have been split between the networks Channel 10 (free-to-air), FoxSports and Foxtel (pay TV) in a five-year deal.

This means that in order to watch all the races the Aussie motorsport fans must sign up to a 12-month subscription with Foxtel, which costs AUD 50 a month or AUD 600 for the year.

Sponsorship woes
The new pay TV strategy has certainly helped the business magnate generate more income for shareholders. The downside however, is that if audiences continue to decline, the 84-year-old CEO could make it harder for Formula One teams to secure mass-market sponsorship deals in the future. Some teams are already feeling the impact. McLaren’s boss Ron Dennis has been unable to secure a title sponsor since its deal with Vodafone ended back in 2013.

“Title sponsorship doesn’t exist any more as a concept”, Dennis told autosport.com. “If you look at what title sponsorship would normally be, it would be somewhere between 40 to 50 percent of your budget. Where the budgets are for a competitive team, no company will come in and give you that kind of money [see side bar]. We haven’t given up on the idea of attracting larger sums of money to our car, but what we don’t want to do is put big brand names on at low levels of money”, he added.

Sky’s dedicated Formula One channel has also struggled to hold onto a number of big names. Over the last three years, the channel has seen Santander, Rolex and Shell opt out of renewing their sponsorship. This year, the channel announced that FairFX, a prepaid currency card service, and relative unknown stepped in as its main sponsor.

“We are delighted to have agreed this partnership with Sky Media to sponsor Formula One, on Sky Sports”, explained Ian Strafford-Taylor, CEO of FairFX in a statement. “As channel sponsor we will be able to reach a much wider audience for our products more quickly.” FairFX may be ‘delighted’ with the partnership, but the fact that big brands seem reluctant to get on-board must be a massive concern for not only the networks broadcasting Formula One, but everyone involved in the sport.

Ecclestone’s apparent obsession with revenue at the expense of the sport’s popularity is the result of increased pressure from shareholders who are eager to see a return on their investment. But such short-term thinking is likely to get worse, as according to Duff, its largest shareholder, CVC Capital Partners (CVC) is looking for an out.

“I think CVC is not going to be around for [much longer] in Formula One”, he said. “They bought the business almost 10 years ago now and they’re looking for an exit strategy, so they’re not so concerned about what happens in five or 10 years. Their main interest is the revenue, as with the other shareholders, which include a lot of asset management companies [and] their main concern is that the revenue keeps coming in.”

Despite the rumours, CVC has denied that they’re looking to sell their majority stake in the sport, with co-chairman Donald Mackenzie telling Reuters that they “like owning [Formula One]”. The private equity firm may well claim to have no interest in selling, but one thing is for sure, CVC would love to see it launched on the stock market, but so far it has been unsuccessful.

When asked if Ecclestone was preventing Formula One from being sold, Duff replied: “I think he is certainly preventing an IPO. CVC have tried to look at doing an IPO a couple of times in the last three years, and really, they don’t have a succession plan to take to the market. They don’t have a plan for what happens after Ecclestone is no longer there.”

Going solo
A contingency plan for life after Ecclestone has been made all the more difficult because the man himself has resisted offers to hire a deputy to work alongside him. That might be a blessing in disguise though, as many in and outside of the sport would like to see an end to the Ecclestone era once and for all and have been critical of the direction he has taken the sport in recent years, especially his snubbing of social media.

Team sponsorship costs per areas of car

£2m

Top of nose

£6.8m

Side of tub

£3.4m

Wing mirror

£17m

Airbox

£17m

Sidepods

£17m

Rear wing

£3.4m

Rear wing endplates

Source: Formula Money
Notes: Average cost of F1 sponsorship deals in 2015

In fact, in June 2014 he raised a number of eyebrows during an interview with Campaign Asia-Pacific where he explained why he was not interested in social media, and young people in general. “I’m not interested in tweeting, Facebook and whatever this nonsense is”, he said. “I tried to find out but in any case I’m too old-fashioned. I couldn’t see any value in it. And I don’t know what the so-called ‘young generation’ of today really wants.

“I don’t know why people want to get to the so-called ‘young generation’. Why do they want to do that? Is it to sell them something? Most of these kids haven’t got any money. I’d rather get to the 70-year-old guy who’s got plenty of cash”, he added. However, to place all the blame on Bernie is a little unfair.

Formula One Stakeholders are aware that TV viewing figures and overall ticket sales are down, and while that has something to do with the poor way in which management markets the sport, the area where supporters, racers and manufacturers are most critical is how bland the races have become.

In Formula One’s defence, the 2014 season had a sprinkling of excitement. In Bahrain Lewis Hamilton narrowly beat his Mercedes teammate Nico Rosberg in one of the more thrilling races the sport has seen in a while. Sadly, 2015 has not shown the same promise and fans have complained that the sport has become boring.

In a recent Grand Prix Drivers Association (GPDA) survey, 77 percent of the 217,756 fans that answered it admitted that they were concerned that business interests were taking priority over the sport itself. And a whopping 89 percent felt more needs to be done to ensure that Formula One is more competitive on the track.

“The fans are clear: they don’t want a radical overhaul of grand prix racing that takes it away from its historic roots”, said the GPDA Chairman, Alex Wurz in a statement. “It may sound simple, but the best drivers and teams fighting on track in the most exciting cars is their priority. And we, the drivers, passionately share that view. They want competitive sport, not just a show, and they think that Formula One business has become too important, jeopardising our sport.”

For years now, Formula One has suffered from races being a foregone conclusion. Over a 305km race, the only way to keep fans on the edge of their seat and glued to their television screens, is to keep the possibility alive that anyone on the track could win. People want to see drivers jostling for position; they want to see real racing. But thanks to the introduction of the drag reduction system (DRS), which is nothing more than a gimmick that, while increasing the number of overtaking manoeuvres, does so in a wholly artificial manner, the sport lacks real grit. Meaning that wheel-to-wheel battles like the one between Nigel Mansell and Ayrton Senna in the 1991 Spanish Grand Prix are yet to be replaced by anything quite as compelling in the modern era.

Many argue, as they have done for years, that if management were really serious about making the sport more competitive they would try and sort out the distribution of money – something the sport has long struggled to rectify. As it stands, Formula One race teams are forced to share an $800m in prize money, with the lion share going to the top teams like Ferrari and Red Bull, while lesser teams such as Marussia are given the scraps.

Inequality has always existed in the sport, but when a team must spend $300m to compete at the front of the grid, and with sponsorships threatened by poor viewing figures, it puts teams and the future of the sport in jeopardy.

The story of China’s transformation into an economic powerhouse

1978

China does a dramatic U-turn after a period of closed, disastrous Red Book-style economics under Chairman Mao that caused misery and poverty for millions. Following a power struggle with the ‘gang of four’ – a communist political faction – Beijing shifts from a centrally run, command-style system that was copied from the Soviet Union to a market-based economy. The next few years are euphemistically designated as the ‘period of adjustment’.

1980

The once-reviled private enterprises make a comeback. Cobblers, tinkers, tailors and street vendors reappear on city streets after decades of absence. Profit ceases to be a dirty word, albeit within limits, as individual families in the poorest regions are permitted to keep some of the proceeds of farming provided they deliver a fixed amount of produce to the local collective. In a bold experiment some state-owned farms no longer have to remit all their profits to the government.

1982

As hard-working people, the Chinese embraced the reforms with impressive results. Incomes increased spectacularly, food became more plentiful, the housing stock grew and the shelves filled with a broader range of consumer goods. Greatly encouraged by these early results, the rehabilitated Deng Xiaoping, once Mao’s right-hand man and now the ‘paramount leader’, announces a new basic policy called ‘reform and opening’.

1984

China’s success in exports became a cause of national celebration. Before ‘reform and opening’, the best the country could do was sell the equivalent of 10 percent of national income in goods, mainly to nearby neighbours such as Japan. With the shackles off – despite a rearguard reaction from old-style bureaucrats – industry lifted that to 15 percent by 1980 and 21 percent by 1984. Banners were broken out and local leaders awarded medals of recognition.

1986

Exports hit 35 percent – which was previously unthinkable – largely due to a wave of cheaply produced textiles. As trade opened up, foreign investment poured in despite many joint ventures falling foul of local officialdom. However in the four so-called ‘special economic zones’ along the coast such as Shenzhen in the Guangdong province near Hong Kong, special treatment was to now be given to foreign investment. The US however, became China’s third-biggest trade partner.

1993-1999

A single statistic told it all – the number of special economic zones rocketed to 2,000 by the end of the decade. With foreign investment on the rise, the economy grew between seven and nine percent a year. The tables turned however – while private enterprise was bowling along at unprecedented rates of growth, it’s the inefficient state-owned enterprises that were lagging. Over half of them stubbornly post floods of red ink.

2010

Amid much fanfare, China overtook Japan to become the world’s second-largest economy behind the US, with nominal GDP nudging $6trn. Beijing adopted quality of life as its next target, tackling corruption – some offenders were executed – and pollution. For instance, at least half of China’s mighty rivers were so filthy nobody could bathe in them and the air in major industrial cities was so thick with industrial effluent that the sun rarely shone.

2015

With 99 million of China’s 1.3 billion citizens living in poverty, economic growth has been uneven. Many businesspeople with political links have fat bank accounts in the Bahamas, while the unfortunate 99 million survive on less than $360pa. As the World Bank points out, “poverty reduction remains a fundamental challenge”. But there’s no reason why the challenge should not be overcome. Through fears of the economy slowing, the OECD predicts a growth rate of 6.7 percent for 2016.

How to invest in American real estate

Finding stable, high-yield and long-term investments in today’s turbulent market is difficult. With the Fed having started work on hiking interest rates, bonds are not the answer, meaning investors have been forced to look elsewhere, with a view to finding safe, stable and long-term returns.

High-income producing commercial real estate may be the ‘cash cow’ to meet these criteria for any investor looking to add to their portfolio. Armed with a master of philosophy degree in financial economics from the London School of Economics, and following decades working in investment banking, primarily in London, I have returned to my place of birth, Tennessee, to invest in and sell income-producing commercial property located in the southeastern US.

The region is by no means the first place most global real estate investors look for property; indeed, the vast majority look to major US cities such as New York or Los Angeles for opportunities, of which there were plenty in days gone by. However, these markets are becoming increasingly crowded and overbought.

$25m

REIT minimum level

The stable southeast
Real estate in most urban areas in the southeastern US, meanwhile, is relatively stable and hasn’t undergone the huge swings in value throughout the 2008 to 2015 period. Taking into account this added degree of stability, the speculation of rapid value appreciation will not compress the cap rates (the return on an income property which is net operating income divided by purchase price), as it often has done in more volatile markets. Cap rates on some properties in major markets, London and New York (see Fig. 1) for example, are trading as low as three to four percent, whereas southeastern urban areas are trading in a range closer to eight to 12 percent.

There are three areas that are of key concern for international investors: lack of knowledge in local markets, tax implications, and risk of fraud. One of the easiest ways to mitigate this first concern is to invest in a fund that possesses the local talent and knowledge.

There are many real estate investment trusts (REITs) in which to invest, and these institutions sell shares and invest in commercial real estate, with the majority of the net income paid out to the investor. Under US tax laws, no taxes are paid at the REIT level, and the benefits of REITs in the main are that they provide expertise, diversity and liquidity for any listed on a major exchange. They also pay a steady dividend, typically ranging from three to eight percent. However, the management team is paid hefty fees for its services and, given the size of most REITs, they only invest in properties that sell for over $25m. REITs have experienced large capital inflows over the past few years, which is one of the driving forces compressing returns on large commercial properties.

Local partners
When it comes to finding local expertise, my advice is to find a local partner that knows the lay of the land – preferably one with ‘skin in the game’ – and co-invest with them. Many family offices are taking this approach. Usually two or more wealthy families will co-invest in a project or projects where the local family will receive a fee for the management of the property. This is beneficial partly because the partnership is pari-passu – in other words, they share equally in the risk and rewards. These families are able to invest in properties that are below the REIT minimum levels ($25m), and in doing so they’re able to find higher yielding properties.

Direct investing gives one full control, greater transparency and, potentially, greater returns. It can be very rewarding with cash-on-cash returns in excess of 20 percent per annum, although there are three primary elements to consider when it comes to investing in real estate: acquisition, funding and managing.

Firstly, the purchasing of the property requires local knowledge and one should engage with a broker affiliated with a reputable firm, and one that knows their market well. It is important to ensure that the broker represents the buyer’s interests. As far as funding is concerned, one can pay all cash or leverage one’s investment. Local banks in the southeastern US are bulging with money waiting to make its way to local properties. They are required to lend a certain percentage of their balance sheet to local projects and many are willing to lend up to 85 percent of the purchase value, providing great leverage in this regard.

Average cap rates by property type in Manhattan

An eye on investment
In terms of management, there is an abundance of local professional property management firms in the area. Additionally, with today’s technology, it is easy to install on-site cameras in order to keep an eye on the investment from anywhere in the world. It’s important to note also that there are triple-net-leases: a term used to describe a scenario in which the tenant is responsible for all the maintenance, taxes and insurance. Hence the term triple net.

I am not necessarily a tax expert and cannot give tax advice. However, most major nations have their own tax treaties with the US to protect against double taxation. Even still, the US the government allows investors to sell their property and buy another property of equal or higher value without paying any capital gains tax. This roll over benefit is called a 1031 exchange, and US property investors often use this method to defer any gains on the properties they sell.

On the subject of fraud, the best way to mitigate damages on this front is to have the proper checks and balances in place. With US real estate, most buyers will purchase a buyer’s title policy. This insures that if there is a problem with the title at any time, the title insurance company will reimburse the buyer. This is a small fee and most buyers will choose to purchase the title insurance. Real estate firms in the US are licensed and regulated by each state plus there are established ways of structuring the accounts to mitigate fraud risk. Also, if one purchases a ‘triple-net-lease’ property, there is no need to employ a manager.

As with any investment, there are risks and rewards both, some more so than others. Income commercial properties, ranging from $500,000 to $25m in the southeastern US can offer stable returns and are well worth considering for any seeking to supplement their alternative assets.

People still love the cinema in spite of Netflix and other streaming services

The worldwide phenomenon of streaming services like Netflix exhibits how popular this form of entertainment is – fast, easy and accessible anywhere it needs to be. With such convenience and variety on offer for a fixed monthly price (or for free in the case of illegal downloading), some would argue that there is no longer a need to go to the cinema to get one’s movie fix. Yet the big screen offers a form of escapism that simply cannot be achieved at home. The ritual of going to the movies is part of the process: the overpriced popcorn, the tangible tickets in a world of virtual everything, even the trailers that tempt the next visit before that evening’s entertainment has begun.

Furthermore, there is the social aspect of the outing. “Cinema offers a materially different experience to streaming or downloading – a communal experience”, says Phil Clapp, President of the International Union of Cinemas (UNIC) and Chief Executive of the UK Cinema Association.

Attempts to appeal to female consumers have picked up in recent years, balancing the slate against male-dominated action movies with female-led projects

This year the industry is on track to earn $40bn, a new worldwide box office record, which indicates that the public is still very much in love with the cinema. And with upcoming blockbusters before the year’s end, such as new instalments in the Star Wars mega-franchise, as well as sequels to the Hunger Games and the James Bond saga, there is still a lot more to be raked in worldwide – there is even a possibility that 2015 will exceed the $40bn record.

Social needs
While the social media phenomenon of the 21st century helps people to keep in touch, many note that it is also increasing levels of exclusion and isolation. For this reason, participating in leisure activities that can be done collectively is deemed more vital than ever. “It may seem counter-intuitive, but I think that the plethora of different ways in which the public can now see films – on TV, tablets, smartphones – has only served to emphasise the unique nature of the big screen. No other platform offers the same quality of shared, social experience”, Clapp told World Finance.

There are also various other factors at play. Complacency is no industry’s friend; in order to drive consistent growth and entice a wider audience, both the film industry and theatre owners must continue developing to compete in the highly competitive world of entertainment. “In common with most other areas of retail commerce, cinemas have had to become much more adept at engaging with customers through social media and other digital platforms, and in developing sophisticated Customer Relationship Management (CRM) and loyalty programmes”, Clapp explained.

“That has gone hand-in-hand with improvements in the cinema-going experience, with the conversion to digital cinema laying the foundation for new developments, such as immersive sound and higher dynamic range (HDR) projection.” As such, making the cinema a more encompassing experience, which includes the build-up of online engagement before a release and offerings of high-end drinks and food, is likely to attract more visitors. Moreover, although a trip to the cinema is more expensive now than previous years, it is still a cheaper ‘night out’ than other activities, such as concerts, the theatre and sports games.

The film slate on offer to audiences at present has also had a significant impact on the box office figures for 2015. Understanding the importance of appealing to wider audiences, filmmakers are offering a far more diverse range of films nowadays, catering to all tastes, genders and ages. Attempts to appeal to female consumers, for example, have picked up in recent years, balancing the slate against male-dominated action movies with female-led projects.

Then there is the undeniable popularity of animated films, which can count adults as well as children in their mammoth fan base. This year again showed the growing popularity of the animated medium; according to website Cinema Blend, Pixar’s Inside Out had the “the highest grossing original, non-sequel property opening ever”, with $91m earned in the first weekend alone and $332.7m overall. While the Despicable Me spinoff, Minions, became the second biggest animated film of all time, grossing $1.28bn.

Market takeover
The growing appetite for big blockbusters is not just confined to the US and Europe – it is a worldwide phenomenon. Illustrating this is the success of the latest instalment in the Jurassic franchise, which saw the biggest opening weekend in history, both in the US and worldwide, opening in the top spot in 69 territories. In just 13 days, Jurassic World became the fastest film to earn $1bn worldwide (see Fig. 1).

As with most markets, there is the ever-important China factor. The republic is a significant contributor to global box office figures, as cinema becomes an increasingly important aspect in Chinese consumer culture. According to the research service China Confidential, China’s box office revenue grew by 31.3 percent to CNY 29.6bn ($4.6bn) in 2013 from the previous year and it is expected to rise even further to CNY 40bn ($6.2bn) this year. Domestic-made Monster Hunt will become the highest grossing family film in 2015 and the biggest film of all time in China, earning $382m and narrowly beating the new record set by Fast and Furious 7 earlier in the year. China Confidential even predicts that China will overtake the US as the biggest market for cinema by 2018.

This year is a noteworthy one for cinema as it illustrates that there is still a huge appetite for movie-going among consumers, despite the inundation of other sources of entertainment. That being said, maintaining this trend is no small task, as Clapp explained: “The lessons of the past are that cinema cannot afford to stand still; it needs to continue to invest and develop to remain relevant and ahead of the game. Thankfully, we are in a period of unprecedented ambition in that regard. The major studios and smaller film distributors are also upping their game in terms of quality and range of film content, recognising the need to reach out to a wider and arguably more demanding audience.” Moreover, through using the growing number of platforms for marketing, from social media to gaming and merchandise, as well as traditional means, filmmakers are able to develop the kind of hype about an upcoming release that was never before possible.

10 worldwide grossing films

Theatre owners must also do more in terms of adding value and creating a unique experience, which we are already seeing by the growing trend of small boutique cinemas that are furnished luxuriantly and offer high-end food and drink.

A similar approach is also being taken by large multiplex cinemas in order to offset the challenge of low occupancy at off-peak times. Furthermore, cinemas are beginning to offer more than just films in their theatres. “The growth of so-called ‘event cinema’, live or ‘as live’ theatre, ballet, opera and so on, has been one of the key features of the last five years, typically attracting an older and more affluent audience”, said Clapp. “That said, it remains in its infancy and will surely grow as more content becomes available.”

As with any area of retail and entertainment, the cinema industry now faces a throng of new challenges and rivals, but its success this year shows it still has something distinctive to offer. By playing on its draw as a social experience, together with broadening the appeal and scope of what cinema has to offer, ticket sales will continue to grow.

Of course, inflated prices help with swelling box office figures, but they could very well have deterred consumers. Breaking records in spite of rising ticket prices proves the enduring relationship that the public has with cinema, which continues to deepen as the industry works harder to maintain it.