CaixaBI on recovering the bond market in Portugal

According to data released by the Portuguese Statistics Office (INE), Portugal’s GDP registered 1.5 percent YOY growth in 1Q15, which compares with 0.6 percent growth in the previous quarter. This positive variation of GDP in 1Q15 means that the Portuguese economy has completed a cycle of six consecutive quarters of YOY growth, following contractions in GDP between 1Q11 and 3Q13. In 1Q15 the Portuguese GDP grew 0.4 percent per quarter, similar to the growth between October and December 2014.

Reducing the external imbalance of the Portuguese economy was one of the priorities of Portugal’s economic and financial adjustment programme implemented between May 2011 and May 2014. This entailed rebalancing the current and capital accounts – with deficits of around 10 percent of GDP between 2000 and 2010, followed by a surplus of roughly two percent of GDP in 2014. The steady reduction of the government deficit, as well as the deleveraging of the private sector was positive from the fourth quarter of 2012 onwards.

Before 2011, the Portuguese bond market could be split in two segments: rated and non-rated issuers

The latest projections from the Bank of Portugal (BoP) forecast the continued improvement in the current and capital accounts as a percentage of GDP, reflecting a fall in the external imbalance of the Portuguese economy. The performance of GDP over recent quarters had a positive impact on confidence and economic activity indicators, which are both expected to gradually perform more positively over the coming years.

Predicting projections
The BoP disclosed its updated projections in mid-June for 2015 to 2017 periods. For 2015 the BoP projects GDP growth of 1.7 percent, underpinned by greater optimism for domestic demand – revising up the contribution from this component of GDP – and the continued contribution of net external demand. In terms of domestic demand, BoP projections for 2015 are of 2.2 percent growth in private consumption (which is an increase of 2.4 percent on previous estimates), a 0.5 percent fall in public consumption (the same as previous estimates) and a 6.2 percent rise in investment (against a increased four percent forecast previously).

In relation to net external demand, exports should grow 4.8 percent, while the growth rate for imports is expected to be 5.7 percent, against estimates of 4.3 percent and 3.9 percent respectively in the March Economic Bulletin. The European Commission, IMF and OECD make similar projections for 2015, considering that the economic recovery will be due to more buoyant domestic demand, especially private consumption and investment.

The Portuguese Central Bank’s projections for the domestic economy continue to indicate a gradual recovery over the coming years, with growth rates similar to those of other countries in the eurozone. The balance of the current and capital accounts should remain positive in 2015, corresponding to three percent of GDP, which confirms the continuation of the adjustment process of the external imbalance of the economy, rising to around 3.4 percent of GDP in 2017, according to the BoP.

INE data reveal that the budget deficit for 2014 stood at 4.5 percent of GDP. According to the first 2015 notification on the Excessive Deficit Procedure, the budget deficit for 2014 amounted to €7.7bn, with GDP rising to €173.05bn, which is a reduction of €460m from the 2013 deficit of €8.18bn – amounting to 4.8 percent of GDP. It is estimated that the budget deficit for 2015 will be 2.7 percent of GDP. In 2010, the budget deficit corresponded to 9.8 percent of GDP. Despite the steady decline in the budget deficit, the ratio of public debt to GDP increased from 111.1 percent in 2011 to 130.2 percent at the end of 2014 (see Fig. 1). Nevertheless, this is expected to decrease steadily over the coming years to below to 110 percent in 2019.

Leading a responsive market
In the recent years, CaixaBI played a significant role to help the Portuguese bond market recover what was lost during the sovereign crisis. After a 65 percent fall of the amount issued in 2011 relative to 2010, the market recovered immediately the year after and continued to steadily improve in the ensuing years. However what seems to be a mere catch-up of lost ground hides considerable underlying changes that have occurred in the last five years.

Running the risk of being overly simplistic, it can be said that before 2011 the Portuguese bond market could be split in two segments: rated and non-rated issuers. The overwhelming majority of the issuers pertaining to the first group were investment grade. Typically these issuers would come to the market regularly to place benchmark transactions in the euro bond market. These included the top banks (CGD, BCP, BES, BPI and Santander Totta), the major corporates (EDP – Energias de Portugal, Portugal Telecom, REN – Redes Energéticas Nacionais and Brisa) and state-owned companies (Refer, CP and Metropolitano de Lisboa).

Before 2011, all the remainder issuers tapped the domestic bond market with private transactions that typically were underwritten by a bank or a group of banks. It was very uncommon to see these transactions being placed into other institutional clients. It was in fact just an alternative way for banks to provide credit to this universe of corporates. There were some specific cases of pure market transactions, and retail placements were even scarcer.

It was precisely in this segment and with placements into the retail universe that major transformations recently started in the Portuguese market. In December 2011, EDP – a rated issuer – opened the door for many other issuers, rated and non-rated. EDP launched a six percent coupon, three year and €200m deal targeted to retail investors. The institutional market had been shut for Portuguese issuers during the sovereign crisis and EDP grabbed the existing strong appetite from retail investors for relatively high interest rates.

Not only rated issuers took advantage of this sudden interest by retail investors. Corporates with well-known household brand names perceived as solid investments followed suit. Zon, (today known as NOS in the telecommunications industry), Semapa (pulp and paper) and Mota Engil (construction) were some of the names that also took advantage of this window of opportunity.

Portuguese public deficit and debt

Portugal’s retail outlet
After the surge of retail placements, they gradually fell out of use. However, unlike before a retail bond culture stayed among Portuguese investors, having introduced new dynamics to the Portuguese capital markets both on the primary and secondary market. This in turn has allowed lead managers to quote two-way markets in most transactions, and it’s not uncommon to see top global dealers quoting on some of these.

Concerning the primary markets, evidence of a landscape change can be confirmed in terms of amounts issued, and in 2014 non-bank corporates issued €6.1bn. That is just four percent above the 2009 peak. However the number of transactions has risen at a steady pace since 2011. In 2014 the number of issues were 3.5 times that of 2009. The average size per transaction has been reduced mainly because the typical issuer in the market is different from that of the period prior to 2011.

The great transformation that has occurred was that unlike before 2011, an increasing number of non-rated issuers have tapped the market with transactions that were placed with institutional investors as well as banks. Since issuers are smaller-sized companies, transactions were on average smaller as well. Some of those were already known by the market but increased their presence issuing larger volumes than in the past. Examples include the transactions of NOS, Mota Engil and Semapa. More importantly, the market has seen an increased number of new issuers, allowing for a more diversified market sector. A few examples of these names are: Bial-Portela (in pharmaceuticals), José de Mello Saude (in healthcare), Saudeçor (also in healthcare), Sonae Capital (in tourism) and Media Capital (in media).

The Portuguese bond market has finally become that – a market – and CaixaBI has played a vital role, leading and co-leading in all major operations. Where before a significant portion of bond transactions were just instruments for banks to provide credit to corporates, in recent years an increasing number of issuers have come to the market to place bonds for final institutional investors. Apparently the catalysts were the banks and their need to deleverage a wave of interest from retail clients to create the dynamics required to raise interest from institutional investors. Gone is the myth that a bond issue had to be a benchmark to be liquid, and to have screen prices on the secondary market.

The pivotal role of the financial sector in the Caribbean economy

Trinidad and Tobago is most often associated with a vibrant energy sector – and with good reason. The energy sector dominates the local economy, accounting for approximately 42 percent of the country’s GDP. Furthermore, almost half of total government revenue comes from energy, with the sector generating more than 80 percent of export earnings. The recent tumble in commodity prices, particularly energy prices, has severely affected the sector’s performance, and subsequently overall economic activity. Over the past years however, the financial sector has grown in importance and has become one of the strongest and most developed in the Caribbean region.

The financial system in Trinidad and Tobago plays a pivotal role in terms of economic development, accounting for approximately 12 percent of GDP. The banking sector in the country is well developed, primarily due to the its well established energy and petrochemical industry and strong manufacturing base. At present there are eight commercial banks operating in the sector with a wide network of 123 branches, and four of those banks are listed on the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange.

Trinidad and Tobago has come a long way over the past decade and can be considered as the financial hub of the Caribbean region

Expanding sector
Commercial banks in particular accounted for close to 50 percent of the assets in the financial sector in 2013, while insurance companies were a distant second with 16 percent. Provisional data for 2014 shows that the financial services sector expanded at a rate of 3.3 percent, and grew by an average of 2.8 percent over the past five years, outperforming overall real GDP growth which averaged 0.4 percent for the same period. The domestic banking sector remains strong and well capitalised. As of September 2014, the ratio of regulatory capital to risk-weighted assets stood at just over 25 percent, well above the regulatory requirement of eight percent.

Accommodative monetary policy by the Central Bank of Trinidad and Tobago over the past few years has resulted in low interest rates, which have impacted upon income growth and the profitability of the domestic banking sector. In September 2014, the central bank started to increase interest rates in anticipation of higher rates in the US as a proactive move to prevent capital outflows.

With interest rates still relatively low, notwithstanding the cumulative 50 basis points repo rate hike in 2014, credit demand continued to expand. Consumer credit grew by eight percent by the end of 2014, with loans for new motor vehicles and credit cards contributing significantly to the rise in consumer lending. There was also a marked improvement in business lending, which expanded 3.5 percent in 2014, led by loans to the distribution sector. Lending for real estate mortgages continued its robust performance, registering growth of 11 percent in 2014.

There have been considerable improvements in the domestic financial landscape in Trinidad and Tobago and confidence in the sector is returning after years of being in the doldrums in the fallout of the CL Financial debacle, which devastated investor confidence.

In 2014, however, profitability of commercial banks took a hit as a result of higher operating costs. Return-on-equity declined from around 18 percent in September 2011 to almost 13 percent in September 2014, while return-on-assets fell to two percent from just under three percent. On the bright side, credit quality continued to steadily improve. Non-performing loans as a percent of total loans declined to 4.5 percent by September 2014 from a peak of seven percent in 2011.

Oversubscribed IPO
First Citizens, in 2013, successfully launched Trinidad and Tobago’s largest initial public offering (IPO) of shares, which was oversubscribed more than three times. What is more, the sale encouraged new investors to the local stock exchange, with more than a 100 percent increase in the number of accounts opened at the Trinidad and Tobago Stock Exchange. Since the listing on the exchange, traded volume has also increased significantly, partly due to the new listing. This was a major improvement to the very thin volumes experienced in the prior years. First Citizens Bank has several accolades under its name and has transitioned to Trinidad and Tobago’s second largest commercial bank in terms of total assets and is now one of the highest-rated indigenous financial institutions in the English-speaking Caribbean.

Trinidad and Tobago has come a long way over the past decade and can be considered as the financial hub of the Caribbean region, as plans continue to develop the country as an international financial centre. In this context, financial institutions are poised to perform well in the coming years. Additionally, the country has a strong regulatory framework for financial institutions, which seeks to protect investors and to follow international standards. First Citizens Bank continues to work alongside key stakeholders to assist and give support in the development of the financial sector, not just in Trinidad and Tobago, but in the Caribbean as a whole.

BPD on the Dominican Republic’s extraordinary comeback

Just over a decade ago, the Dominican economy was in ruin. Following rapid growth fuelled by manufacturing, tourism and funds sent home from citizens abroad, the misguided bailout of Banco Intercontinental in 2003 caused government debt to double and the currency to collapse. A drastic overhaul was needed in order to restore macroeconomic stability and confidence in the financial sector, as well as taming the spiralling interest and inflation rates.

Despite such overbearing challenges, this is exactly what has been achieved in the years that have followed. A series of hard-hitting financial reforms and the close coordination between monetary and fiscal policies have ushered in a new period of economic growth and a revitalisation in all sectors, including the banking industry.

Since the crisis, the financial sector has undergone considerable development through the implementation of robust policies that have addressed fundamental weaknesses and greatly improved performance (see Fig. 1). As a result of such reforms, the finance industry in the Dominican Republic is now flourishing, while its continued growth is driven by the country’s largest private and capital bank, Banco Popular Dominicano (BPD). World Finance had the opportunity to speak with BPD’s Executive Vice President of International Businesses and Private Banking, Luis E Espínola, about the economic challenges that have been impressively overcome in recent years, and the future of the Dominican financial sector.

Since the crisis, the financial sector has undergone considerable development through the implementation of robust policies that have addressed fundamental weaknesses

Transforming the industry
New regulations, such as additional capital requirements, have been implemented effectively since 2003, thereby creating a stronger regulatory framework. Enhanced transparency in the eyes of the general public has been a key step, which has been supported via independent regulatory institutions and the introduction of relevant banking requirements. The publishing of monthly and annual financial statements, as well as detailed information on the loan portfolios of various financial intermediaries, have further improved the levels of transparency within the sector and contributed to its healthy development. Therefore, the financial system has been able to develop more competitively through a model of risk-based supervision, which features high levels of liquidity and solvency, as well as greater international openness. “These measures have contributed to the healthy development of the financial sector, in line with the steady growth and improved fiscal management that the country has experienced in recent years”, said Espínola.

Given the impressive turnaround achieved, various steps have been taken in order to prevent the economic crisis from reoccurring, namely enhanced financial regulations have been applied to compliance and risk assessment management. “The principles of the Basel Accords were also adopted so as to enhance the standing of Dominican Republic’s financial sector within the international system”, Espínola continued. Furthermore, market risk is now highly regulated by ensuring equal treatment to all entities, regardless of capital origin.

The periodic review of contingency plans is also employed in order to address the shortage of funds of financial intermediaries. “Regular stress tests and reviews of the Board of Directors’ meeting minutes really help to monitor internal decisions”, Espínola explained. Moreover, the adoption of the Regulation on Corporate Governance for Financial Entities and the User Protection Regulation of Financial Services have both played central roles in strengthening confidence in the financial system, improving internal management and promoting financial education.

The Monetary and Financial Law has made a considerable impact to the consolidation of the financial sector, while also facilitating the monitoring of markets and improving market indicators. “One of the greatest achievements is the improvement of the loan portfolio’s quality, which by the end of 2014 had a default rate of 1.3 percent”, said Espínola. “While in the business side of the industry, companies are now looking for solutions that will help them to streamline operations, mitigate risk and lower their costs. Banco Popular Dominicano has adapted and successfully put into motion a portfolio of products that accommodates the changing times.”

Integrating app development
Technology is central to the continued development of the country’s financial sector, and is used as a tool by BPD in order to promote enhanced customer satisfaction and financial inclusion. “Our institution has been at the forefront of technological innovation locally. We were the first to develop and introduce a fully functional smartphone app that allows customers to make transactions and find offers available in stores, restaurants and other businesses”, Espínola explained.

The map-based app, which has an augmented reality view and geo positioning, has become widely popular in the country. In 2014, it had approximately 950,000 transactions – a 300 percent increase from previous years. Then there is BPD’s recent partnership with PayPal, which allows customers to make transfers from their PayPal account to their BPD account. “With this service we have encouraged our SMEs to market their products and services online locally and worldwide.”

In the corporate sector, the organisation has implemented several cash management products that have received wide acclaim. The Smart Safe is an example of one of BPD’s most successful products, consisting of an electronic vault installed within an office that accepts cash deposits and immediately reflects the availability of cash on a customer’s account.

In addition to its support of the private sector and local markets, BPD has developed several products that strive to serve disadvantaged and low-income groups: “We have programmes to help clients to plan a future and save funds in order to achieve their goals”, said Espínola. “Through our latest programme [called] ‘Tu Casa’, we can help our customers to plan their savings and achieve specific amounts in a designated account for long-term mortgages. With this service BPD seeks to support families that otherwise would never afford a roof over their heads. We also have savings accounts with no service charges and very low minimum balances available for low-income clients.”

Financial inclusion is one area that BPD strives to promote through such policies: “Financial inclusion is more than just a philanthropic subject. It is also an opportunity for our institution”, added Espínola. Working with over 952 banking sub-agents has enabled BPD to reach communities that would otherwise not have access to any banking services.

One of the main challenges which continues to face the Dominican Republic’s banking sector, both at a local and regional level, is the use of technology in order to achieve greater financial inclusion. “It has also been challenging to meet the ever changing consumer demands, especially of newer generations who are accustomed to using sophisticated technology constantly in their everyday lives”, said Espínola. In order to offset evolving customer needs and preferences, in recent years BPD has invested heavily in various platforms, which has brought the institution to the forefront of banking technology in the country. “This year, we have been in a position to launch several initiatives that will help us to complete our goal of being the most innovative institution in the Dominican Republic.”

Domincan Republic's inflation rate

Strength in numbers
BPD is focused on strengthening the sustainability of all business segments; to this end, the institution continues to endorse financial educational programmes and to invest in technology platforms that can develop new channels of financial inclusion. This includes more options via BPD’s online banking services, which will enable customers to conveniently fulfil their banking needs. “We have allocated many resources to our newly launched web page, which has a very user friendly interface and is designed to allow current and new customers to solicit most of our products and services online – without making a phone call or visit one of our branches.” After being launched this February, the website has already received over 8,000 credit card applications, almost 7,000 loan applications and just over 3,000 requests for new accounts.

Targeting the youth is a vital aspect of BPD’s business model. “The web page and the mobile app we launched back in 2013 are great assets when approaching a young segment that appreciates the comfort of mobility and are looking for simple and efficient approaches to their banking. Through this app, our financial education campaign and our collaboration with several universities to support entrepreneurship programmes, we plan to bring in the new generation and grow with them”, Espínola explained. “We are also focusing on increasing our market penetration in the youth and young adult segments, and expanding in the tourism and export industries.”

Meeting customer needs remains at the forefront of the bank’s strategy, and as such BPD has invested significantly into developing existing and new products that accomplish smarter, safer and more efficient ways for clients to manage their accounts and make requests. For example, corporate clients are offered products that focus on asset management and enable them to handle their cash and account payables in much easier and more efficient ways. Moreover, a programme called ProExporta has been launched for export-focused industries, which offers a full portfolio of services, along with regular educational seminars in order to support newly-established SMEs.

“The ProExporta initiative was recognised by the Association of Exports of the Dominican Republic for being the biggest supporter of this growing industry”, said Espínola. Another programme, which is successfully supporting SMEs in the country is Impulsa Popular. Since it was established in 2012 it has provided assistance in all types of financing, account and cash management, as well as other services and educational seminars. By offering such involved and resourceful support, BPD is helping to drive one of the most important segments of the Dominican economy, and as a result, such programmes and initiatives help propel the country’s continued growth.

This year is proving to be another successful period for BPD and a fine example of its innovative strategies and holistic approach. It’s alliance with PayPal, the deployment of deposit accepting ATMs and nationwide Smart Safes, together with the launch of a new website are all part of a proactive strategy that the institution has set for the coming years. “Banco Popular Dominicano will increase its presence in a younger market, which is in the forefront of the entrepreneurship movement. We are also working to develop products that will fit the needs of these individuals and encourage them to establish a relationship with our institution that will help them succeed.”

One bank may have caused the country’s economic collapse, but in just over a decade, another has come to its rescue. Achieving what many would have considered impossible, BPD has become a pillar of Dominican Republic’s economy and enduring fiscal growth.

Vietnam’s banking industry is its lifeline

Vietnam’s banking industry is the lifeline of the economy and the biggest driver of the country’s growth. It plays a crucial role in the financial intermediaries system and is relied upon heavily by the economy, largely as a result of an under-developed capital market. In recent years, Vietnam’s financial sector has undergone a series of significant changes, which have led to marked improvements. For example, by the end of 2014, total assets grew by 1.5 times GDP, while total credit for the economy has reached 100 percent of the GDP, thereby creating a favourable environment that can meet the country’s development needs.

Following the impact of the global financial crisis, positive recovery signs can be seen in Vietnam’s banking sector. That being said, certain areas still require improvement in order to build a more sustainable and efficient financial system, such as adopting more international administration standards, resolving bad debt and the need for greater transparency. Refining capital demand, levels of liquidity and better risk protection can also contribute to a more robust financial sector. Despite such challenges, Vietnam is at a pivotal moment in its banking history and on the cusp of a new period in terms of development. Nguyen Dinh Tung, CEO of Orient Commercial Joint Stock Bank (OCB), told World Finance about the ongoing reform of Vietnam’s banking industry.

Enhancing the mechanisms to achieve greater competitive power for Vietnam’s banking system can bring it up to par with other countries in
the region

A budding industry
As the leading organisation within the sector, the State Bank of Vietnam (TSBV) is shaping industrial development, while also bolstering financial activities and strongly supporting economic improvement. “In recent years, TSBV has deployed a series of hard-hitting administrative solutions in order to deeply reform the banking sector and resolve challenges within the financial industry, particularly in regards to bad debt and credit capital flow guarantees”, said Tung. This is being achieved through the thorough inspection, supervision and, if necessary, reconstruction of credit organisations. The process allows the accurate evaluation of an institution’s operations, administrative capabilities and transparency levels, thereby permitting a holistic overview of each bank’s proficiencies.

Reform has led to the withdrawal of poorly operating banks from the market, which in effect is creating a more proficient financial sector. “In such cases, TSBV has accommodated the exit and directly bought back shares”, said Tung. TSBV also encourages knowledge sharing of possible mergers in order to increase competitive power. Moreover, banks are urged to set systemic bad debt to below three percent, which can be achieved by selling bad debt to the Vietnam Asset Management Company, thus increasing credit quality within the system.

The recent trend of regional and international integration, in regards to the ASEAN community in particular, presents further opportunities for the enlargement of Vietnam’s financial sector. “Enhancing the mechanisms to achieve greater competitive power for Vietnam’s banking system can bring it up to par with other countries in the region”, said Tung.

Leader of the pack
In progressing along with Vietnam’s banking system, OCB has implemented a strategy to become a leading retail bank. “Our mission is to create optimum solutions for our customers and investors”, said Tung. “In order to achieve this goal, we are investing heavily in reconstruction activities.”

As such, OCB has transformed its operating model to incorporate specialist groups that can serve various types of customers, from individuals and SMEs, to big firms and niche business groups. “The aim is to optimise the business model together with offering the best service for all customer groups”, said Tung. OCB is also developing new corporation identify programmes in order to revitalise its look and appeal as a modern, friendly and convenient bank. Creating a favourable exchange environment will also enhance the customer experience.

Given the trend of digital technology, particularly within the banking industry, OCB is investing in new platforms in order to reach its target of becoming one of Vietnam’s top five banks. Using digital technology can also attract new customers, while simultaneously encouraging existing customers to use more products and services on offer.

Risk management is another major area of focus for OCB, which is working closely with KPMG so as to meet international standards and Basel II. Moreover, this partnership is helping the bank to employ customer credit rating models, effective risk management schemes, credit index management and a robust debt resolution programme. As well as providing support for current safety guarantee systems, this approach also accelerates the resolution of existing issues in the system, while creating momentum for OCB’s continued development in the coming years. Given the potential of Vietnam’s banking sector, not to mention that of the economy, it is an exciting time for the industry and for those that are growing in conjunction with it.

BBH on the importance of knowledge transfer in wealth management

The recovery in asset values since the global financial crisis has propelled household wealth to all-time record levels. At the same time, the ageing of populations throughout the western world indicates that this unprecedented store of wealth will be transitioned to future generations over the next few decades (see Fig. 1). Successfully passing this wealth on to the next generation poses both opportunities and threats to investors and their advisors.

The good news is that the mechanics of wealth transfer are well established. Although laws and tax codes change from time to time and from jurisdiction to jurisdiction, the legal, accounting and financial communities are sufficiently trained and continually educated to make sure that the advice they deliver is appropriate and effective.

The bad news is that even with good advice, wealth transfers often fail. An old adage holds that families usually go ‘from shirtsleeves to shirtsleeves’ in three generations. The first generation takes risks, makes sacrifices and builds wealth. The second generation, having witnessed the blood, sweat and tears that went into creating that wealth, typically holds onto to it, or even enhances it. Yet the third generation, who rarely experiences the initial wealth creation firsthand, loses the appreciation for the work that went to create it, and therefore presides over its dissipation and returns to shirtsleeves once again.

Hope is not a good wealth transition strategy. If you don’t define your wealth, it will define you

Wealth transfers almost always fail for reasons outside the control of third-party advisors. Roy Williams of the Williams Group conducted a study of failed wealth transitions, and found that only three percent of them were due to bad advice. A further 12 percent of failures were due to the lack of a family mission, 25 percent to inadequately prepared heirs, and 60 percent to a breakdown of family communication and trust.

There is a lesson here for wealthy families as well as their advisors: good technical advice is a necessary, but not sufficient, condition to a successful transfer of wealth. Addressing these more intangible issues is of paramount importance for families who wish to transfer wisdom as well as wealth to the next generation of owners.

Although these seem like issues that families need to deal with on their own, the challenge is that individuals only go through a generational wealth transition process once or twice during their lives. Professional advisors, on the other hand, see these transitions taking place almost daily throughout their practices, and can therefore draw on a wealth of vicarious experience to guide their clients. If advisors are genuinely interested in helping their clients preserve and grow wealth across generations they should embrace this opportunity, while clients should take advantage of that resource as they work through the softer issues of wealth transfer.

Brown Brothers Harriman has been in the wealth management business for close to a century, and has had the privilege of guiding many families through these transitions. Additionally, as a private partnership the firm itself has transitioned its wealth and values across generations of owners. A combination of research and experience has led us to three high-level observations that can help families to transfer both wealth and wisdom to the next generation.

Starting early
For most families this starts with an allowance in exchange for basic responsibilities such as cleaning up a room or making a bed. Even at an early age children can learn that money comes from work, and that money can be traded for things. By encouraging children to allocate their earnings to spending, saving and giving, parents introduce the basic concepts of budgeting, the value of patience and the role of philanthropy.

The concept of inherited money can be introduced to older children. A family we work with conducts a ‘practice inheritance run’ by giving each of their children $5,000 on his or her 15th birthday. This is not an allowance earned in exchange for work, but an amount ‘inherited’ merely by virtue of being part of the family. The funds are given without restriction, and are substantial enough that the possibilities for using the windfall are quite broad. Children can spend it, save for a car, invest it, put it aside for college, give some away, or a combination of all these things. These practice decisions build valuable skills for that day when the sums in question are significantly larger.

The key in these brief examples is that the young person is allowed to learn through his or her own experience, but with sums that are modest enough that the cost of error is not prohibitive. At the same time, the older generation is there to provide guidance and insight, but not to the extent of subverting the powerful lessons learned through trial and error. Experience is, indeed, the best teacher.

Population - fig 1

More than money
Studies show that families who are successful in preserving wealth across multiple generations understand and appreciate that financial capital is only one measure of a family’s wealth. A family also has human capital – the health, happiness and well-being of each family member, along with the ethics, morality and character that define the family. Intellectual capital consists of what the family ‘knows’, both in a formal sense of education and training, as well as the more subjective elements of experience, heritage, tradition and faith. Finally, a family’s social capital is defined by its engagement with the community and others – how it embraces philanthropy and a responsibility to the greater good.

These are admittedly subjective definitions of wealth. Yet families who subjugate their financial capital to the service of these broader categories of wealth are far more successful in preserving and growing all these forms of wealth. This is particularly important when the family’s primary store of financial capital is a business. If some relatives work to grow the value of the family business while others simply benefit from that work, friction can ensue. Yet if the entire family appreciates and works to enhance all of these forms of capital – financial, human, intellectual and social – that friction can be avoided.

Understanding and discussing these various forms of capital leads to some good and deep conversations between generations. What do we want our family’s wealth to do for us and future generations? What difference will this make in our lives, and will it be beneficial or harmful? How do we want to impact the community in which we live? What are the core values that we live by, and how does our financial wealth support that? Asking and discussing these questions facilitates the transfer of both wealth and wisdom.

Engaging in philanthropy
In addition to aligning values with wealth, engaging in philanthropy provides an ideal training ground for younger generations to develop a familiarity with financial concepts. More knowledgeable family members can help the younger generation read the financial statements of charities to which the family has given money. Children can see how funds are used, and discern between effective and ineffective stewardship.

If a family uses a donor advised fund to implement their charitable giving, younger family members can see how those funds are invested, learn what risks are taken, what returns are generated, and how decisions to give funds are made. If the family’s philanthropic pursuits rise to a level that warrants a family foundation, younger family members can be provided the opportunity to interact with financial advisors, to advocate for grant requests, to sit on the boards of local charities and see how they operate from the inside.

Philanthropy provides multiple opportunities for an engaged and committed older generation to instil values and skills in a younger generation.

None of this is easy, which is precisely why most families don’t do it. It is tempting to hire the right attorneys, accountants and financial advisors to put the right vehicles, trusts and documents in place and then simply hope for the best. But hope is not a good wealth transition strategy. If you don’t define your wealth, it will define you.

In order to transition both wealth and wisdom, families should embrace the challenge and opportunity as soon as possible. It is never too early to start engaging the next generation in the topics outlined above, while at the same time it is never too late. Avoiding the curse of going from shirtsleeves to shirtsleeves in three generations requires commitment, communication and constant attention. These precepts are important regardless of the size of a family’s balance sheet. The tactics may change as zeroes mount up at the end of an account statement, but the underlying concepts are universal.

Returns on financial investments are always and forever unpredictable. But the return on the investment of time and energy in educating the next generation is the best investment a family will ever make.

Banco BCI drives Mozambique’s banking sector

Though relatively early on in its development, Mozambique’s banking sector is on the increase, showing great potential. While account penetration is yet to reach the 20 percent mark and infrastructure is lacking, these deficiencies mean that there are huge opportunities for a banking sector in the midst of a major transformation.

For a low income population with little experience of the formal banking system, corporate social responsibility is a key focus, and the goal moving forwards is to build the beginnings of a competitive banking sector while also benefiting the wider community.

Spearheaded by a handful of notable contributors, the banking sector in Mozambique promises a great deal more in terms of opportunities for the wider population, and could play a key part in driving economic development on a much grander scale. World Finance spoke to Paulo Sousa, CEO of Banco BCI (BCI) about his ambitions for both the bank and for Mozambique’s banking sector as a whole.

To install an agency in a remote area involves overcoming a number of logistical obstacles… such as electricity and water supply through the
access roads

Over the years, what has made many Mozambicans say, ‘BCI is my bank’?
Our biggest difference is that we have specific solutions adapted to all kinds of customers, putting their minds at ease. In 2010, BCI completed a new segmentation process of its customers and recast its offer and care models, adapting products and services to the specific needs of each customer. That year, the first BCI Exclusive centre was opened in Maputo, an entirely new concept in the Mozambican market.

During 2010, six exclusive BCI centres were opened in a number of cities, including Maputo, Matola, Beira and Nampula. The latter was the first city in the country to receive this kind of innovation, brought together with a universal agency, a BCI corporate centre – which is intended for larger companies – an exclusive BCI centre and a private space BCI, used for private banking.

At the moment they are defined by four main operating segments: BCI private to private high yields; BCI exclusive to private customers and medium enterprises, BCI corporate to large enterprises; and BCI universal for all remaining costumers and small enterprises. With regular product launches and commercial promotion campaigns, there is constant innovation in the approach to the segment, and the different payment methods available. Examples include: Tako, BCI Negócios, BCI Negócios Mulher Empreendedora, Crediviagem LAM, Petromoc, Galp, Tropigalia e EU – the last one for university students. We are also the only bank in the country that has a monthly newsletter written for customers of each segment. We give account of our campaigns, services and products. For social media we have a team that responds quickly to the questions posed to us. Therefore, our clients feel that we speak directly with them and for them. It is here that we are different from all other banks.

The country’s financial institution coverage is still seen as very low. What can we expect from BCI?
BCI will continue to invest in Mozambique’s bankarisation. In this area there is still a lot to do. Despite the enormous effort that has been made in recent years, the percentage of a banked population in Mozambique is lower than 20 percent.

The country is quite large with difficult access areas. Responding to the appeal launched eight years ago by the Bank of Mozambique, BCI is the bank that has the largest stake in the country’s rural areas. In 2014 we opened 34 branches. This year we expect to open about 25 new business units. This is a huge effort as to install an agency in a remote area involves overcoming a number of logistical obstacles, from basic infrastructure deficit – such as electricity and water supply through the access roads – to essential communications. Nothing is easy; so most banks do not operate in these difficult to access areas, since the returns are not immediate. But BCI has invested in these areas with successful results.

Recent years have been challenging for the Mozambican banking sector, but 2014 was good for BCI. Why was that?
BCI had great growth last year, and in many indices we were in the lead. In others areas, we are almost there. Where the commercial network expansion is concerned, we opened 35 branches in 2014, an unprecedented growth in the history of BCI and the Mozambican banking industry.

The peaks were reached in September and December of last year, when we opened 11 business units. In this chapter of expansion, we recorded an increase of 26 percent, which allowed us to get through the year with the largest commercial network in the country, totalling 168 business units. Within the scope of expansion, we noted a 42 percent increase in ATM usage. We installed 141 units in 2014, totalling 477. POS grew 34 percent, from 4,694 in 2013 to 6,303 in 2014 – numbers that allow us to lead in African electronic banking. The campaign ‘The best comes here’, was designed to raise and retain customers, and was a huge success.

The numbers speak for themselves. We reached the end of 2014 with the goal of one million customers to overcome. We have gone from 776,000 customers at the end of 2013 to 1.036 million at the end of 2014. This means that 260,000 Mozambicans have chosen BCI as their bank last year, a growth of 34 percent.

How has BCI been a key pillar for those most in need, particularly within the Mozambican population?
The importance that BCI attributed to the social dimension of its role is its commitment to contribute actively to the economic and social development of Mozambique in a socially responsible and sustainable way. Examples of this can be seen in the initiatives taken last January, when the bank donated two million meticais for the flood victims that devastated the north of the country earlier this year. BCI was chosen as the bank of support for this mission.

The amounts donated by BCI resulted in revenues from a social responsibility fund that is fuelled by the use of the debit card ‘daki’. At the public launch of this payment method, BCI introduced an innovative concept of distinct valences, such as whenever it is used to pay for purchases by its clients, it enables the bank to strengthen its support to many institutions’ social solidarity, depending on the amount transferred at no cost to the cardholder. The selection of beneficiary institutions by the resulting social responsibility fund of the card using the daki is performed periodically and disclosed to the public through the BCI website and the media, in order to promote its use.

Our greatest pride in the aspect of social responsibility however, was the creation of the Mediatecas network – hugely successful when looking to the public that it serves. The Mediateca consists of different elements: general reading featuring books, newspapers and magazines of general information in Portuguese and English, and an audio-visual space where clients can be consulted through compact discs and educational films. One film is specialised in technical information on finance, management, economics, law, IT, statistics and reference books.

Another is focused on querying external databases and internet access. Currently, BCI has three Mediatecas: Maputo, Beira and Nampula. Activity indicators of the Mediatecas Network leave no doubt of the impact that it raises in communities. By December 2014, the Mediateca of Maputo received more than 640,000 people, Beira received more than 290,000 and Nampula had 13,000.

What is your main goal for 2015?
Part of BCI’s objective is to become the leader of Mozambique’s banking sector, but this is not an obsession. The quality of the customer service provided will be decisive in getting the lead. We have reached this position in some indicators, the last being the branch network, but if we do quality work as we have so far been active I have no doubt that soon we will be the preferred bank for most Mozambicans.

What message would you give a potential investor in Mozambique?
Anyone who does not know the market or have local support should take into account other aspects that could make things simpler, like a Mozambican partner with knowhow in the business, and respect the laws and culture of the country.

We do not intend to exactly duplicate previous experiments carried out elsewhere because there are certain businesses that are adapted to specific countries and not others. If these aspects were taken into consideration, business success would be more assured, and for financial support, they can always rely on BCI.

Foreign investment floods Vietnam

As a consequence of recession and financial crisis, the Asian economy has been slow over the last few years, but thanks to the gradual recovery of global and local markets since the end of 2012, along with the implementation of favourable policies by the Vietnamese Government, Vietnam has seen its economy improve significantly.

For starters, the country is well positioned to increase its exports even further (see Fig. 1), which are driven by technology and electronics, as well as other major exports including oil and gas, shoes, seafood and agricultural products, which demonstrates how deep their integration into the global and regional value chains have become.

Vietnam managed to maintain steady GDP growth of around six percent in 2014, which is considerably better than the global average, according to the World Bank (see Fig. 2).

What’s more, investment continues to flow into the country despite challenges earlier in the year, from both new and long-term investors, as Vietnam emerges as a high-end manufacturing hub. Samsung, for example, is about to build a $1bn factory in Vietnam, its third plant in the country to date, with a fourth in Ho Chi Minh City already being considered.

Banking industry reforms continue to be implemented under the close guidance of the State Bank of Vietnam (SBV), emphasising on the merging direction of local banks.

Several deals are already underway as part of an emerging plan, which is expected to bring about a significant change in the Vietnamese banking sector – something that will help make the market healthier and more attractive to outside investment

16,300

Active FDI projects in Vietnam, May 2015

$238bn

FDI in Vietnam

Vietnam also benefits from having a young, well-educated and eager-to-learn population, which is another must-have for foreign investors. However, having investment in training these talent resources, and making sure the investments go into the right talents continue to be the key challenges that investor’s should take into account in their strategy of developing business in the market.

It is clear that Vietnam has been set on the right directions for growth. To find out how the country is planning to capitalise on its recent successes World Finance spoke with Dang Tuyet Dung, Deputy CEO of one of the country’s leading financial institutions, Maritime Bank.

What advantages does the Vietnamese market have that makes it so attractive for foreign investors?
By the end of May 2015, there were more than 16,300 active foreign direct investment (FDI) projects in Vietnam that have collectively pulled in a total of $238bn. In 2013, FDI inflow exceeded $22bn, an increase of more than 35 percent from 2012. The figures indicate that Vietnam has become a destination of choice for foreign investors.

Vietnam was influenced by the global and Asian market crisis, which led to slow economic growth and high pressure on non-performing loans (NPLs) in the banking industry. However, the Vietnamese government has implemented aggressive and consistent policies to stabilise the economy, manage inflation, and reduce NPLs. One illustrative example of such effort is the forming the Vietnam Asset Management Company (VAMC), designated to help transform the banking industry, which in turn, provides the necessary market stabilisation.

Vietnam also has a youthful population, with 60 percent of it in the working age. The country is located right at the heart of East Asia, a favourable geographical location – home to a number of large and vibrant economies. Being a member of the World Trade Organisation, and a party to multiple frameworks of international economic integration, including free trade agreements with partners both within and outside the region, Vietnam clearly becomes an attractive place for foreign investors. Furthermore, the country is part of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) negotiations.

To advance socio-economic development, Vietnam will continue to attract and efficiently use FDI inflows, focusing on FDI projects that use advanced and environmentally friendly technologies, and use natural resources in a sustainable way. The priority will also be given to projects with competitive products that could be part of the global production network and value chain. To achieve these targets, the Vietnamese Government has committed to create a fair and attractive business environment for foreign investors, and is constantly improving its legal framework and institutions related to business and investment. The government has been working hard on three ‘strategic breakthroughs’: putting in place market economy institutions and a legal framework; building an advanced and integrated infrastructure, particularly transport; and developing a quality workforce. These should all be completed by 2020 – confirmed by Prime Minister Nguyen Tan Dung.

Vietnam

What other developments are currently underway in the country?
Vietnam’s economy further maintains its recovery trend in 2015 as the macroeconomic stabilisation and global economic developments are providing strong pillars for the growth. The growth target of 6.2 percent set by the government in 2015 is viable. The potential for growth in Vietnam is still there: the World Bank forecasts Vietnam’s economy growth rate in 2015 and the next two years will be on the upward trend. Vietnam’s GDP growth is forecast at six percent in 2015, which will be gradually increasing to 6.5 percent in 2017 thanks to positive developments in the manufacturing, export and foreign investment sectors.

However, there are also a number of problems and challenges to this acceleration in the upcoming period of time. Service and agricultural sectors have been struggling and slowing down in the past two years; the industrial sector may no longer sustain its rapid growth; industrial growth and trade balance are driven by FDI sector; the restructuring process for state-owned enterprises (SOEs) remains challenging and requires more consistency and speed-up; trade deficit, and budget overspending has yet to improve; concerns about public debt are looming; geopolitical tensions pose an imminent risk, etc.

What role will Vietnam’s relationship with the TPP and other trade agreements play in its economic development?
The relationship between Vietnam and regional free trade agreements plays an important role in the economic development of the country. Recently, Vietnam has been getting increasingly engaged in both regional and global trade agreements. The engagement creates both opportunities and challenges for economic growth.

Export markets are expanding and Vietnamese products afford a competitive advantage. Industries such as textiles and garment, leather and footwear, seafood, and more, have a chance to thrive. The domestic market also benefits from the importation of goods and services at competitive prices and consumer support.

There is pressure to reform many sectors due to tough competition from abroad as tariffs fall and technical barriers are applied. Domestic industries such as steel manufacturing, insurance, banking and finance, retail and consumer goods are under high pressure. The requirement for SOEs reform is more urgent than ever. In the face of opportunities and challenges posed by the conclusion of free-trade agreements, the role of the relationship between Vietnam and other partners in the negotiation of such agreements has become increasingly important. Such a role has been demonstrated by the attainment of terms, which help mitigate challenges while still managing to utilise opportunities from these agreements.

Vietnam 2

As the Vietnamese economy strengthens, what are the implications for the country’s banking sector?
The banking sector and financial market in general have benefitted from the economic recovery. Only when economic growth is stable can the banking sector have better growth prospects. Given the fact that net interest income makes up 70 percent of the profit composition, flourished credit can create an opportunity for banking sector to improve its profit. Besides, banking services will further grow in the era of the internet-connected and hi-tech economy. Rapid credit growth will help improve NPL ratios, and safety for the banking system. Amid the challenges and opportunities from the integration, the banking sector must be persistent with the restructuring process and improvement of the system health in order to grasp new opportunities.

However, to ensure sustainable development, lending control must be tightened; required ratios must be better adhered to for avoidance of adverse impacts on the verge of a real estate bubble.

How does Maritime Bank support Vietnam’s economic advancement?
Maritime Bank has a sound and sustainable development strategy. In recent years, the bank has been restructuring itself aggressively. The majority of NPLs have been resolved given the focus on having dedicated asset management company to handle NPL, the proactive effort of selling debts to VAMC and the strong guidance towards credit policy and collection structure of new loans book.

Credit growth has been under control and mobilisation carried out with caution. A modern banking platform has been built and various products have been offered – including online products, state budget collection, online payment, retail banking products and corporate banking products. Finally, MDB – the Maritime bank merger – is under way to help strengthen the network advantage and bank’s capitlisation.

Banco de Credito e Inversiones strengthens Chile’s economy

Pushing the development of small and medium-sized enterprises forward, Banco de Credito e Inversiones (Bci) is part of a highly competitive market – in which over 20 Chilean and foreign banks operate. It stands out as one of the most important banks in Chile, with over 10,000 employees who strive to provide the best customer experience in the more than 360 branches and contact points, not only throughout Chile but also through its representative offices overseas. If there is something that has characterised Bci over 78 years of its history, it is that it has dared to do things differently, working daily to achieve its goals. Right from the start it has put the customer at the heart of its operations, permanently innovating and constantly supporting entrepreneurship.

A lesson in history
The incorporation of Bci was accepted on May 7, 1937. The first board meeting was held eight days later, comprising of a group of immigrant businessmen. From the very beginning, its main objective has been to serve the country’s productive sector, with its core pillars being a customer focus, support of entrepreneurship, an innovative spirit and transparency.

Over the years, Bci has consolidated its development by achieving ambitious objectives

Over the years, Bci has consolidated its development by achieving ambitious objectives. In 1958, it was in fifth place of the banking sector for loans. In 1964, it was already in third place. It has always grown constantly with a business culture based on core values and principles, putting people at the heart of its activities and committed to permanent innovation to seek service, channel and process solutions. It was the first corporation in Chile to invite its employees to have a share of its ownership by subscribing to stock and the first bank to receive the award for the Best Company in Chile given by the Chilean Institute of Rational Corporate Management (ICARE) in 2006.

On October 17, 1991, Bci became the first bank to pay off the subordinated debt, ending the commitment undertaken with the Chilean Central Bank due to the financial crisis in the early 1980s. The former President of Bci Jorge Yarur informed his employees of this news in an emotional speech, closing by saying “it was a task and challenge. This is an opportunity to thank all customers for their trust and all employees and executives for their spirit and drive to achieve what we are now celebrating.” A few hours later he died, after 37 years of sound management of Bci.

In 1998, Bci launched its international expansion process, opening up new representative offices and addressing new challenges in Peru, Mexico, Sao Paulo and Miami. That same year, it became the first 100 percent virtual bank in Chile, with a 24/7 service in which its customers can meet all their banking needs without having to visit a branch. This was a completely revolutionary idea at the time.

Throughout its history, Bci has been a forerunner in adopting new technologies seeking to deliver the best customer experience. It became the first online bank throughout Chile and the most advanced computer project in the Chilean banking sector of that time. It was a pioneer in developing the first ATMs and the first non-interest bearing deposit account that was then adopted by the whole banking sector. It drove the automatic payment of bills, self-service, telephone banking and was the first to implement mobile banking on a mobile device.

Operations today
Bci is currently the third largest private bank in Chile in terms of loans and net income, and it has attained this position so far based on sustainable organic growth and a strategy focused on strengthening the most profitable areas, with defined and diversified risk, by means of a wider geographical field to tap into new opportunities. This has enabled it to attain return on average equity (ROAE) of around 20 percent, one of the highest in the banking sector.

It operates in four customer segments: retail banking, SME banking, commercial banking; and corporate and investment banking (CIB), which represent different customer segments. The retail banking area services customers through different platforms; the commercial banking division serves companies – mostly with sales of over $80,000 a year – CIB is targeted at large corporations and institutional customers with a high net worth, operating in the financial market with sophisticated financial service needs like investment banking, treasury and others. Lastly, the SME banking area comprises of the microenterprise, entrepreneur and small business segments.

Based on this commercial structure, Bci has defined its strategic focus generating the best customer experience, attaining a different value proposal for the different segments and sub-segments. Always seeking innovation and new opportunities, the bank has developed a strategy of internationalisation and diversification of external financing sources in terms of investor profile and their geographical origin.

Bci’s growth has not only been evident in positive economic and financial indicators (see Fig. 1), it has also been reflected in important areas including transparency, corporate social responsibility (CSR) and innovation, for all of which the bank has obtained numerous awards and accolades, including ‘One of the most transparent companies in Chile’ by Chile Transparente and KPMG for the third year running.

In the customer experience area, the specialised consultant IZO, along with Universidad de los Andes, ranked Bci as the bank offering the best customer experience in the Chilean banking sector. Bci was also ranked in first place of the National Customer Satisfaction Index in the large bank category, according to the ranking by ProCalidad, Universidad Adolfo Ibánez, Adimark, Praxis and Capital magazine.

Bci's net income

In regard to CSR, the bank was selected as the most responsible company with the best corporate governance in Chile, according to the report by the Business Monitor of Corporate Reputation (MERCO). This report also recognised Bci as the number three company with the best corporate reputation in the country and the sixth most attractive company to work for in Chile. Bci also attained first place in the national CSR ranking conducted by the ProHumana Foundation with the support of Qué Pasa magazine.

It is also important to highlight that the University of Chile distinguished Bci as the ‘Most innovative bank in Chile’ in the innovative company survey made by the Business School of Universidad de Los Andes, and in the Best Place to Innovate report.

For business management, the Boston Consulting Group (BCG) selected Bci as a Local Dynamo in 2014. This means that the bank is the only company in Chile in the group of 50 companies with headquarters in emerging economies, which have been particularly successful in competing in their markets, beating multinational and Chilean companies.

World Finance distinguished Bci in first place of Chilean Banks in four categories: Best Banking Group in Chile; Best Private Bank in Chile; Most Sustainable Bank in Chile, and Best Asset Manager in Chile, with the latter award going to Bci Asset Management. The bank achieved all the above due to an organisation that believes people are the core of all human activity. This is how the bank connects to the customers and employees, making each interaction a memorable experience.

To become a company with over 10,000 employees, the bank has always taken special care to create and manage a sound organisational culture that puts people at the heart of any business success, and for that reason the content employee equates to customer success.

As a result of this, Bci’s organisational culture is based on values that include respect, integrity and excellence, which gives priority to meritocracy as the main mechanism of growth and internal development by means of working with the entire organisation. It thereby fosters the creation of an unrivalled work environment that promotes creativity and innovation, quality of life, teamwork and the professional and personal growth of each one of its employees.

Bankmed on the significance of the Lebanese banking sector

With a strong ability to weather shocks and overcome challenges, the Lebanese banking sector has proved to be one of the main pillars of economic stability in the country. Amid a continued domestic political stalemate and regional turmoil, which still pose a serious challenge to the Lebanese economy, the banking sector managed to sustain growth in major key indicators over the period stretching between 2010 and 2014. Assets grew by an average of 8.1 percent annually, private sector deposits increased by 5.7 percent, loans to the private sector witnessed an increase of 9.9 percent and the loans-to-deposit ratio grew to 31.4 percent. The high liquidity provides Lebanese banks with high immunity to unstable conditions and the ability to absorb shocks. Relative to the size of the economy, the banking sector has grown over the years, accumulating assets in excess of 350 percent of the country’s GDP amid on-going deposits inflows.

As such, the Lebanese banking sector has earned the trust of the global financial community given its experience in risk and crisis management. The challenges faced by Lebanese banks at this volatile stage lie in the levels of growth and profits. The size of the banks relative to GDP has allowed them to fund both the public and the private sector, with loans to the private sector representing more than 90 percent of GDP.

Despite the delicate political and economic situations that have continued to loom over Lebanon and the surrounding region over the past five years, profitability has increased

However, the banking sector is not insulated from current events, and it is natural that it is affected by the economy. Therefore, the central question remains: how will the sector sustain its growth in the face of the mounting challenges that continue to weigh down on the Lebanese economy?

To address this challenge, over the past two decades, Lebanese banks have expanded the scope of their operations, developing a widespread external network of representative offices, branches, subsidiaries and sister companies. This expansion has been triggered by a number of pragmatic reasons, including the small economy and the small size of the population, in addition to other factors such as political instability and security issues.

Today, more than 15 banks, which constitute over 85 percent of the Lebanese banking sector, have an established presence in more than 30 countries including Turkey, Egypt, the Gulf states, the US and Australia, as well as other countries in Africa and Europe.

As one of Lebanon’s most dynamic banks, Bankmed has been a pioneer in this regard. With 70 years of solid banking experience, it has acquired a distinctive balanced risk approach. This know-how has endowed it with the competence to diversify its streams of profit as well as its concentration risk. Hence, the bank has broadened its scope of operations and expanded its footprint into new markets within the region. The latest opening at the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) serves as a clear attestation of the bank’s continuous effort to maintain its leading position and sound reputation. It also reflects its forward view to widen its client base and address its customers’ financial needs wherever they are.

Bankmed has successfully positioned itself at the forefront of Lebanese banks, displaying a notable ability in sustaining growth year after year and exhibiting an unmitigated capability in exploring new opportunities locally and regionally.

Greater horizons
It is because of this broadened scope of operations that Bankmed has been successfully moving on a path of steady growth. The sustained expansion into regional markets and the diversity of business lines have positively impacted the bank’s performance. Hence, despite the delicate political and economic situations that have continued to loom over Lebanon and the surrounding region over the past five years, profitability has increased.

Bankmed in 2014 assets

$15.4bn

Assets

$4.7bn

Loans

$12.1bn

Deposits

39.1%

Loans-to-deposits ratio

$2.5bn

Trade finance volume

The bank has been exhibiting consistent growth in its balance sheet and bottom line objectives. In 2014, the bank’s net income increased to record $133.5m (see Fig. 1) – the highest in its history – while its total consolidated assets increased by 12 percent annually to reach $15.4bn by the end of the same year. The increase in the bank’s investment portfolio, as well as its growth in loan portfolio, have been the main drivers behind this growth. Loans grew by six percent to reach $4.7bn and customer deposits increased by 10 percent to reach $12.1bn. Loans-to-deposits stood at 39.1 percent and the provisions coverage ratio exceeded 150 percent. Moreover, the bank’s liquidity ratio stood at 35.45 percent, and its capital adequacy ratio reached 14.3 percent, exceeding, yet again, the regulatory requirement of 11.5 percent, which is set by the Central Bank of Lebanon. The high liquidity and strong capitalisation are some of the fundamentals that the bank’s management continually focuses on.

In addition, Bankmed achieved several milestones across its various business lines in 2014. The bank still holds one of the largest commercial lending portfolios in the Lebanese market, covering top-tier corporate clients across myriad industries. The success realised in corporate banking has eventually spanned into other areas as Bankmed has adopted several initiatives, which enabled it to enhance other essential business lines. Realising the great potentials that lie within the small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) sector, the bank actively worked on capturing a large segment of the market in an aim to leverage economic opportunities within the sector. As a result, the bank’s SME portfolio has grown by more than 20 percent per annum over the past five years, while its headcount was increased accordingly to support this expansion.

Rewarding results
In parallel, Bankmed realised growth in other areas. Its retail loan portfolio witnessed an increase of 20.6 percent year-on-year. This upsurge was driven by growth in loans to retail customers (including mortgages) in Lebanon and Turkey (through Turkland Bank). Moreover, despite the critical regional conditions, Bankmed grew its trade finance volumes to reach more than $2.5bn by the end of 2014.

In terms of microfinance, Bankmed continued to assume leadership in this regard. The bank’s fully owned subsidiary, Emkan Finance, has provided over $95m worth of microloans for its 47,000 borrowers among economically active low-income earners in Lebanon.

On the investment front, Bankmed has been successfully diversifying its liquidity profile minimising risks while enhancing profitability. The treasury’s online trading turnover has been steadily growing since 2013 to reach $4bn; similarly, its FX turnover has also been progressively expanding over the past five years to record $60bn. In the same manner, Bankmed’s investing banking arms, SaudiMed Investment Company, MedSecurities Investment and MedInvestment Bank, also played a pivotal role contributing to the bank’s success.

SaudiMed continued to focus on building its core competency business line of corporate finance advisory. In 2014, SaudiMed earned the » Best GCC Structured Finance Company award, which marks the success of the first inventory securitisation operation in the Middle East, which it executed in collaboration with MedInvestment Bank. Following this recognition, Bankmed witnessed an increase in demand in terms of investment products, namely within structured finance. As for MedSecurities, it continued to realise increased success in 2014, introducing new investment solutions to a growing client base, an aspect that also earned it global recognition. In fact, MedSecurities was named Best Broker by Global Investor magazine.

The bank’s continued success is largely attributed to its prudent risk management, strong corporate governance, and sound strategy. By focusing on locally driven growth in parallel with a well-planned regional expansion, specifically in markets that have sustainable growth potential, Bankmed has succeeded at establishing strong relationships with local, regional, and international clients, hence solidifying its position wherever it is present.

International expansion
Pursuing a prudent expansion strategy, Bankmed has succeeded at establishing presence in selected markets with sustainable growth potential. The bank is present in Switzerland through its fully owned private banking subsidiary, Bankmed (Suisse), in Saudi Arabia through its investment banking arm, SaudiMed Investment, in Turkey through its subsidiary commercial bank, Turkland Bank (T-Bank). Bankmed has also established presence in Cyprus, Iraq, and UAE through a number of branches.

Through its well-planned expansion, Bankmed has grown to become the preferred partner to a long list of local as well as regional corporates and investors. The bank has also recognised a huge potential for business activities that can be generated from cross-selling to its customer base. It continually supports its entities within emerging and thriving economies, and through these endeavours it remains strategically positioned to prudently capitalise on opportunities that could be available in new markets.

Emerging economies like Saudi Arabia and Turkey have presented the suitable attributes for the bank’s regional expansion as they both continue to present the right venue for growth. The Turkish economy, in particular, has witnessed a lot of reform and is expected to sustain growth in the near future. Within this context, T-Bank has been laying a specific focus on the SME sector, especially significant given that the vast majority of companies in Turkey are classified as SMEs. T-Bank has been steadily growing its SME portfolio, extending further financial solutions to its widening client base. In 2014, its portfolio grew by 22 percent, contributing significantly to the bank’s overall growth. In addition, the bank has been expanding into economically vibrant regions within Turkey, where most of these businesses exist.

As for the Saudi economy, it has also been witnessing positive growth based on its long-run prospects. In this regard, SaudiMed, which is licensed and regulated by the Saudi Capital Market Authority (CMA), offers a wide range of innovative and customised financial advisory and financing services and solutions. These cover: debt and equity arranging and advising, mergers and acquisitions advisory, corporate restructuring, as well as private placements. The company is also licensed to structure and market a range of local, regional, and international investment funds and to offer services covering various asset classes and investment strategies.

With respect to Iraq, the bank solidified its presence in the major cities in the country by inaugurating a branch in Basra in 2014, following the establishment of its branches in Baghdad and Erbil in 2012. Despite the challenging environment in Iraq, Bankmed continues to recognise a growth potential within the country. The Iraqi economy was at a point one of the fastest growing economies in the MENA region, and this attribute is extremely important for Bankmed’s strategic expansion. In addition, the bank’s expansion into Iraq came also as a result of the trade magnitude between Iraq and Turkey. Operations in Iraq cover both, retail and commercial activities. On the retail side, Bankmed offers personal and housing loans as well as typical retail services. However, on the commercial side, the bank endows corporate commercial lending and caters for high-quality trade finance services.

Bankmed's net income

An enriching platform
Most recently, driven by the success it has realised in regional markets and in line with its prudent expansion strategy, Bankmed and MedSecurities established a presence in the DIFC, one of the world’s most prominent global hubs for financial activity. Through this step, Bankmed became the first bank in the MENA region to operate in the DIFC under a Category 1 license, the most comprehensive license granted by the Dubai Financial Services Authority. This fact underpins the stringent regulatory framework in which the bank operates and highlights its expertise in risk management. As for MedSecurities, it received a Category 3 license that entitles it to address the evolving needs of customers and to offer a wide range of financial services within a world-class regulatory framework.

Given the well-entrenched position of the banking group in the region, the opening at the DIFC serves as a new and enriching platform that enables Bankmed to broaden the scope of our operations. The move has been triggered by the economic growth prospects in the GCC, which offer a business opportunity for Bankmed (Dubai). Moreover, the DIFC enjoys an excellent regulatory and judicial reputation in addition to its excellent regional and international business platform, which has turned it into one of the world’s financial hubs, attracting global and regional financial institutions. Similarly, the UAE’s prime position as a trade platform between Asia, Africa and the Middle East, serves as a key business destination for the Levantine as well as for Iraq and Turkey. Hence, Bankmed (Dubai) is ideally positioned to optimise its performance due to its synergies with the banking group’s other entities.

Moving forward, Bankmed is strategically placed to carefully capitalise on opportunities that could be available in new markets within the region. The bank will continue to explore expansion opportunities while cementing its presence in existing markets.

Bank of the West helps clients manage uncertainty

CFOs and treasurers today need to navigate a rapidly evolving, frequently uncertain and increasingly competitive marketplace. Technology and digital channels continue to transform industries. The regulatory environment also keeps changing, with many business leaders concerned about the potential impact of more regulation.

According to a 2015 PwC survey of CEOs, while two-thirds of business leaders globally see more opportunities for their companies today than three years ago, an almost equal number see more threats to growth. And according to a 2015 survey by our parent company, BNP Paribas, and The Boston Consulting Group, CFOs and treasurers around the world rank risk management as their highest priority.

That’s no surprise – particularly as companies need to navigate a range of market and economic challenges and risks. Market volatility has surged with lingering eurozone concerns and on going speculation about the timing and frequency of US interest rates hikes – the Federal Reserve’s first rate hike in nearly a decade. In recent months, companies have also faced currency volatility that has reached its highest level in years. Currency movements may have cost North American and European companies more than $31.7bn in the first quarter of 2015, posing risks for corporate earnings and revenues going forward – particularly as companies become more international.

Geopolitical and cyber risks pervade
Companies are operating against an uncertain geopolitical backdrop. Risks ranging from the effects of a slowdown in Chinese economic growth and the Russia-Ukraine conflict to the spread of ISIS influence across the Middle East and North Africa continue to simmer around the globe.

Global GDP growth rate

2016 (est.)

3.3%

2015 (est.)

2.8%

2014 (est.)

3.3%

2013 (est.)

2.2%

Source: The World Bank

Meanwhile, cyber threats continue to escalate, with the size, frequency, and financial cost of cyber crime incidents reaching record levels. Juniper Research expects the cost of data breaches will increase to $2.1trn globally by 2019, almost four times the estimated cost of breaches in 2015.

At the same time, economic growth continues to be subdued around the world. In June, the World Bank downgraded its outlook for global growth to 2.8 percent (see side bar), expecting continued strains as the global economy transitions due to imminent monetary tightening in the US and the ramifications of low commodity prices.

How can businesses manage these myriad risks and gain a competitive edge across their footprints? Let’s look at three essential commercial banking strategies that companies can adopt to minimise risk and enhance competitiveness in a world of flux and unpredictability.

1. Supporting innovation across markets
Companies are adding or amplifying an international dimension to their operations, with 72 percent of Fortune’s 2015 Most Admired Companies reporting that globalisation will have a ‘very important’ or ‘important’ impact on their organisations. But large corporations are no longer the only players extending their reach by participating in international trade; small and medium-sized companies are getting into the game.

If your company is going abroad for the first time or you are looking to expand your existing international presence, ensuring your commercial bank focuses on the regions where you operate is critical – whether it’s in Europe, Africa, Asia Pacific, or the Middle East. Working closely with a bank that can support your operations around the world creates consistency, increases transparency, and improves economic efficiency and controls for your business. With BNP Paribas as our parent company, Bank of the West connects our clients to commercial banking solutions and expertise in 75 countries, reducing geographic and organisational borders that can otherwise stifle growth. As companies operate more broadly in an increasingly complicated world, they need to understand the international business landscape and implement smart financial strategies in order to keep innovating and set themselves apart from their peers. For example, smart trade strategies can dial up your company’s competitiveness and agility wherever you operate. This can include securing and strengthening relationships with key commercial partners to expand your company’s reach in your home market and abroad.

A banking partner can serve as an intermediary to bridge the interests of buyers and suppliers using solutions like trade instrument financing or receivables monetisation. At Bank of the West, our Global Trade Solutions (GTS) team delivers solutions that address a buyer and supplier’s payment needs while helping companies build stronger trading partnerships, regardless of competing interests or currency fluctuations.

Companies can also implement strategies to reduce risk related to a supplier or buyer, and explore ways to extract additional liquidity related to commercial contracts. Our GTS team analyses a company’s trade and supply chain cycles to extract alternative and incremental sources of buyer or supplier liquidity. For example, we offer a unique asset purchasing solution that enables a seller to accelerate its collection cycle, creating incremental liquidity with no business disruption.

In addition, collaborating with a banking provider that offers robust international cash management capabilities can help strengthen your business’ liquidity management, risk management, and accounting controls, while facilitating your cross-border transactions. Bank of the West’s International Cash Management team helps meet businesses’ treasury needs across international markets – giving them visibility over their cash, increasing their control, and helping optimise their working capital so they can deploy cash wherever they need to.

2. Managing volatility and uncertainty
Volatility and uncertainty are two key words that have defined the business landscape in 2015. Currency markets have been rattled by monetary policy divergence and soft commodity prices prompting interest rate cuts in markets around the globe. The US dollar’s significant appreciation versus all major world currencies has created a headwind for the US economy, US-based exporters, as well as corporations in emerging markets with significant dollar-denominated debt.

An experienced commercial bank can recommend hedging tools to help your business manage currency risk and movements – such as a strengthening dollar. There is no such thing as a one-size-fits-all hedging strategy. At Bank of the West, our foreign exchange team customises strategies – including identifying natural hedges within a business, setting up foreign currency accounts, and implementing forward contracts with variable settlement windows – to minimise currency risk while protecting and potentially improving profitability everywhere our clients operate.

Actively managing interest rate and commodities price exposure can also help reduce one of the financial uncertainties of running your business in a volatile environment. Interest rate risk tolerance levels vary widely, particularly during volatile times. Bank of the West’s interest rate derivative team works closely with businesses to understand their unique risk appetite and operating environment, considering economic and market conditions before building and delivering appropriate and prudent interest rate hedging strategies.

3. Defending against cyber threats
Last but by no means least, cyber security threats loom as a significant risk to every company’s competitiveness, growth prospects, and survival. The frequency and costs of cyber crime incidents continue to rise: according to PwC’s 2015 Global State of Information Security survey, the total number of security incidents detected by respondents reached 42.8 million in 2014, an increase of 48 percent from 2013. That translates into 117,339 incoming attacks every day. A whopping 62 percent of organisations were targets of payments fraud last year, according to the 2015 AFP Payments Fraud and Control Survey.

The impact of these attacks is very real – and they can have fatal consequences for a company’s reputation and profitability. The average cost of a data breach has reached a record $3.8m, representing a 23 percent increase since 2013, according to a May 2015 study by the Ponemon Institute.

And no organisation is immune, as demonstrated by this year’s theft of personnel data on millions of current and former US government employees. Despite these real and present dangers, corporate budgets are not keeping pace – the PwC information security survey revealed that investments in information security budgets actually declined four percent over 2013.

Vigilant eyes and ears
Taking a thorough and holistic approach to fraud prevention is essential for your business to guard against creative and diversified cyber criminal attack strategies. A banking partner should serve as your company’s vigilant ‘eyes and ears’, keeping you educated about the latest cyber crime trends and threats. A bank also needs to be proactive to minimise the risk of fraud while also helping your organisation contain and mitigate the damage caused if cyber criminals are able to strike.

At Bank of the West, we deliver a robust suite of fraud prevention solutions and features that are essential to safeguarding against fraud. Our Security team maintains open lines of communication with law enforcement organisations and have strong information sharing mechanisms in place so we can stay aware of known risks, alert our clients, and modify our processes as needed.

We speak with our clients about security regularly, gathering their feedback so we can modify and strengthen our products and back office controls.

Saudi Arabia opens its capital markets to foreign investors

The development of the Middle East’s leading economy has brought with it comprehensive and wide-reaching gains to the country’s almost 30 million inhabitants, and none can dispute the nation’s growing geopolitical clout on the global stage. Its real GDP increased fivefold in the period through 1970 to 2007, averaging at 5.5 percent a year, and even the financial crisis couldn’t stop the nation’s onwards march, with growth clocking in at 6.5 percent in the period between 2010 and 2013.

Home to one of the planet’s most formidable hydrocarbons sectors and one of the fastest growing economies worldwide, the recent decision to open up the stock market to foreign investment looks to extend these benefits further afield, though at what price is unknown.

“I think Saudi Arabia’s decision to open its capital markets this year for foreign participation will lure big global investors to take part in the Middle East’s biggest economy”, said Ihsan Bafakih, CEO of MASIC, or Mohammed I Alsubeaei and Sons Investment Company, to give the firm its full name.

“There is no doubt that international investors would leap enthusiastically at the chance to participate in such a market. The Tadawul exchange (Saudi stock market) is as big as that of Russia and, with a market capitalisation of over $430bn.”

5.5%

Saudi Arabia’s share of total emerging market capitalisation

Market penetration
Before the reform was passed, foreign businesses could access the market only through a local Saudi institution, which was both costly and complicated, and served to dissuade a great many from investing. The opening up of its capital markets, however, makes Saudi Arabia a more inviting opportunity for foreigners, and, as well as driving growth, promises to boost employment opportunities for the kingdom’s fast growing population. The decision is also important insofar as it marks a departure from the cautious approach that has so characterised its past, at least as far as foreign influence is concerned, and the move is closely in keeping with a much broader liberalisation push sweeping the economy.

The region has seen similar attempts to open markets, recently in the UAE and Qatar. With the opening of Saudi Arabia, the major emerging market indices will have a greater representation of Middle Eastern markets. Prior to the move, the country was perhaps the last big frontier market to shield its capital markets from foreign influence in this way, though the decision to turn tail on the strategy is proof enough that foreign investment has a big part to play in the coming years.

Larger than South Africa, Mexico, Turkey and Russia, Saudi Arabia represents some 5.5 percent of total emerging market capitalisation, and the reforms, while slow at first, mean that the country’s share will be greater even in the coming months. Initially, access is restricted to institutions going by the ‘qualified foreign investors’ tag, on the proviso that they manage a minimum of $5bn and have a five-year track record, so as to avoid a sharp spike in speculative money flooding into the country.

With oil prices still at a low, this influx of foreign money, while modest in its early stages, should extend Saudi Arabia a lifeline in a period where hydrocarbons are struggling to keep its development on course. Further, the decision is part of a much broader package to accelerate the country’s development and diversify its economic make up away from hydrocarbons. “The Saudi Capital Market Authority is opening up the local public equity market to qualified foreign institutional investors. Also, the Saudi government has indicated it will begin taxing raw land sitting in city centres in an effort to encourage more development”, said Bafakih.

According to official statistics, real estate transactions dropped off in the opening half of the year, and the land tax introduced by the government is intended to inject some much-needed life and affordability into the sector. In doing so, the government aims to transform real estate, both by making homes more affordable and boosting construction. “The taxation of vacant land will spur land owners to develop the real estate instead of leaving it undeveloped hoping for price appreciation. It reduces land speculation and gives our cities what they deserve in quality efficiency”, said Bafakih. Whereas beforehand landowners were known to sit on land, only to await the right development opportunity, the new tax means that owners will be more inclined to build income-generating housing on a shorter timescale.

Right place, right time
“MASIC is well positioned to benefit from these regulatory changes, given our exposure to public equities and given our real estate portfolio, which has been developing raw lands and creating alternative real estate plays that cater to our continuous needs”, said Bafakih, in relation to the reforms.

Since 2006, MASIC has transformed from a traditional family investment businesses into a professional investment company, though without losing the values that so characterised its initial establishment. Focusing on new opportunities on local, regional and global frontiers, the firm has established a reputation as a responsible investment vehicle, whose decisions are underpinned by an ethical culture.

“MASIC is a holding company and does not offer investment services to third parties. Our portfolio includes investment services offering such as Albilad capital, Jadwa Investment and Fajr Capital who offer investment products”, said Bafakih.

“After 80 years of running the business, the drive came from the principals/owners who wished to work toward the family business having a long corporate life (measured in hundreds of years, not decades). To achieve this goal, MASIC adopted international best practices in terms of corporate governance, policies and procedures, decision-making process for investments and family participation – i.e., no family member works in MASIC, their representation is at the board or committee levels.”

Speaking on the importance of family values and on the key issue of Sharia compliance, Bafakih said, “MASIC’s values are very important to us as they define who we are, what we do and why we do it. MASIC believes in supporting our local community and investing in companies/sectors that do not harm people or the planet, e.g., alcohol, tobacco, defence, etc.”

Closely in keeping with this same commitment to corporate social responsibility, MASIC holds an annual forum each year, where the company invites the business community in Saudi Arabia to hear from world-renowned experts in the fields of investment and economics. In doing so, the company plays an important part in the education of the business community and in shepherding positive and progressive change throughout. Another of MASIC’s main goals is to support the Mohammed and Abdullah Alsubeaei Charity Foundation, which, in the 10 years since its inception, has donated generously to support humanitarian, religious, cultural and social projects in the kingdom.

With oil prices still at a low, the influx of foreign money, while modest in its early stages, should extend Saudi Arabia a lifeline

Localisation targets
In this same vein, MASIC shares the government’s commitment to localisation, and to equip the kingdom’s growing population, particularly the youth segment, with the right tools to succeed. “Attracting local talent from the Saudi population is a priority of MASIC. Our firm has nurtured strong ties with local educational and training institutions to source talented Saudis. We offer attractive and competitive packages to draw high-quality graduates, along with an entrepreneurial environment that allows young Saudis to excel. This initiative is in line with the government’s continuous efforts to increase employment among the Saudi youth by investing profoundly in its education sector”, said Bafakih.

By focusing on both financial returns and social development, MASIC’s approach mirrors that of the nation as a whole, as the government seeks to more fairly distribute the country’s economic gains and build a sustainable future for younger generations. True, by opening up its capital markets, Saudi Arabia may lose some of the conservatism that has so characterised its past, though in order to build on the progress made in past decades and compete with similarly sized nations, the country must do away with its overly conservative tendencies.

In doing so, the country runs the risk of exposing the economy to disruptive and potentially damaging forces, so companies like MASIC are paramount in demonstrating that international exposure is not necessarily at odds with local gains. “God willing, MASIC will grow in terms of assets, employees and our impact in the business world”, said Bafakih. “We hope to practice the high ethical standards embodied by our founder and to encourage others to do the same. We hope that MASIC will continue to be a leading light in the investment world 100 years from today.”

US Department of Justice indicts Hound of Hounslow

The US Department of Justice has unsealed its indictment for Navinder Sarao, the trader alleged to have caused, at least in part, the 2010 Flash Crash – which saw trillions of dollars momentarily wiped from stock markets.

Through the use of algorithms, often referred to as High Frequency Trading, Sarao is said to have placed large orders on certain stocks, leading to prices to surge and then cancelling his order and selling shares at a higher price, a form of market manipulation known as spoofing.

Many have been quick to point out that Sarao’s trades actually took place before the Flash Crash and could not have actually caused it

Many have been quick to point out that Sarao’s trades actually took place before the Flash Crash and could not have actually caused it – leading to accusations that the various US government agencies and financial regulators pursuing him are engaging in witch-hunt, and using him as a scapegoat.

However, even if he did not cause the crash in question, the evidence in the indictment suggests that he was consciously manipulating markets through spoofing.

In one email from 2009 he wrote that “If I am short I want to spoof it (the market) down, so I will place offer orders … at the 1st offer and 2nd offer and an order … into the 1st bid. These will not be seen.” Another sees him write to an unidentified programmer “I have got the [program] running. We now need to make it workable in terms of me moving the market like we discussed.” At one point he directly refers to his intention to spoof markets: “I need to know whether you can do what I need, because at the moment I’m getting hit on my spoofs all the time and it’s costing me a lot of money.”

A number of times Sarao was questioned concerning his trading behaviour. At one point the CME pulled him up on the large number of trades he had cancelled, for which he apologised by claiming he was ““just showing a friend of mine what occurs on the bid side of the market almost 24 hours a day, by the high frequency data geeks”.

Dubbed the “Hound of Hounslow,” Sarao was taken into custody from his West London home in April 2015. According to City Wire, he “faces a maximum prison term of 380 years if he is found guilty.” The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission is also pursuing civil charges against Sarao.

Lahaie: Paraguay must maintain tight fiscal policy to hit investment grade

Ratings agency Standard and Poor’s has upgraded Paraguay to BB, because of its very stable overall outlook. But, says Abbeyfield Group CEO Sebastien Lahaie, Paraguay mustn’t get complacent if it’s to continue on its attractive growth path. Sebastian explains what has fuelled Paraguay’s growth, banking sector reforms, and the potential for public pension institutions to invest into Paraguay.

 

World Finance: Sluggish growth in Brazil and Argentina is having a knock on effect in Paraguay, a country pitted between the two economic giants. 

Here to share insight on how the banking sector is responding: Sebastien Lahaie.

Now let’s talk about how you would characterise your country when it came out of the depths of the 2008 crisis?

Sebastien Lahaie: Following the 2008 crisis, the response from Paraguay was to immediately lower interest rates. That reduction in interest rate laid the foundation for future growth that we are experiencing since then: both in the financial sector but as an economy overall.

World Finance: So how do you think the banking sector found its equilibrium, as it came out of this period?

Sebastien Lahaie: To understand this, we need to look at the beginning over the last 10 years, since 2004 when the financial sector benefited from the first regulation that was set in place in Paraguay. Resolution about provisioning levels, classification of bad loans and loan performance monitoring.

The country started to experience massive growth in the financial sector that only slowed down slightly in 2008-9.  Right after that, with the low interest rates, the sector continued to grow massively and has fuelled the growth of the country, which has an average of about five percent year in, year out for the last 10 years.

World Finance: Given that it has such a strong pace of growth, tell me how has banking sector reform kept pace?

Sebastien Lahaie: First the country laid down the ground rules for non-performancing loans, non-performing loan provisioning ratios. What kind of level do you need to have in the bank, how do you monitor the non-performance: 30 days, 60 days, 90 days. Over the last 10 years the focus has now shifted to the solvency and the level of capital that each bank needs to have.

We currently have a piece of legislation that has been discussed with the central bank and with congress to re-evaluate those levels of solvency and what level of capital do Paraguayan banks need to have. We have to bear in mind that there is no capital market activities in Paraguay, it is a very traditional banking system: commercial and retail.

So having solvency ratios that are identical to the ones we are trying to have in Europe or in the US is somehow very conservative and to a certain extent, appropriate for Paraguay as well.

World Finance: So as a country that is caught between Brazil and Argentina, you are heavily reliant on capital markets. Tell me how the instability over there impacts your country?

Sebastien Lahaie: Paraguay has benefited from its own resources to fuel the growth of the banking system over the last 10 years. Most of the deposits in the banking system are from local Paraguayans and local investors.

The banking system as a whole is not very dependent on external funding, about 50 percent of its funding comes from outside Paraguay and mainly through multilateral agencies of the development bank.

So Paraguay is not a country: or its financial system, it would be better to say, is not dependent on external funding from capital markets per se. However the interest in Paraguay has been such that we have seen a massive inflow of credit lines from multilateral development banks. And that is the funding that has allowed banks in Paraguay to offer longer-dated, longer-maturity credit that has helped that growth.

What we are seeing now in Brazil and Argentina, which are two countries that were highly dependent on capital markets outside for its own funding, is that when that money dries up, and if you don’t have a solid capital base in the country itself, growth is impacted negatively.

World Finance: Of course, ratings agency Standard and Poor’s has upgraded your country to BB because it felt there was a very stable overall outlook. Tell me: how has that impacted your ability to continue driving investment interest?

Sebastien Lahaie: I mean, obviously when a country grows at an average of five percent per year for the last 10 years, it starts to draw, to bring attraction, and the light is currently shining on Paraguay as an investor’s destination. However it still remains somehow an exotic destination for Latin America: it’s not Peru, it’s not Colombia, it’s certainly not Chile yet.

However the potential for growth is really high. Increasing the rating of the country, has given the opportunity to some investors who have limitations in where they can invest their own funding – especially asset managers – it’s gave them the opportunity to start discovering Paraguay as a potential destination for their funds.

We are still not investment grade but we are one notch below and I am hoping that within the next couple of years we’ll get there. With that fame – in brackets: sudden fame – from sovereign debt, Paraguay has been able to issue government bonds for the very first time over the last three years through two issues; two separated issues that placed about $1.5bn of bonds.

The temptation is always high to continue the issuance and it is important to maintain a very tight fiscal policy, which progress has been able to do.  Still an on-going discussion, but I think it’s one of the key strengths of the country’s stable microeconomic data.

World Finance: Finally can you tell me what is in store in terms of banking reform?

Sebastien Lahaie: The average maturity for deposits in Paraguay has gone from about six to seven months, 12 years ago, to about shy of two years now. We’re still a long way to get longer deposits in the system, we are still very dependent on multilateral institutions, development banks to get longer-term funding – so that we can finance infrastructure that is very, very much needed for the development of the country.

One piece of legislation that’s extremely important to pass and hopefully will before the end of the year is private and public pension regulation, which will allow for the public institutions to invest their pension savings, inside the country – so banks can issue long-term dated bonds.

For example, public institutions will be involved to invest in those and in return we can fund domestically long-term investments that are needed in the country.

World Finance: Very interesting Sebastien – thank you so much for joining me today

Sebastien Lahaie: Thank you very much for having me.

Guatemala’s president faces criminal investigation

Following months of allegations for his involvement in a massive customs scandal, President Otto Pérez Molina has lost his right to immunity and is banned from leaving Guatemala. Crowds on the streets cheered as they heard the decision had been voted by Congress unanimously, and that the president is now open to a criminal investigation.

Numerous private citizens and government officials have also been arrested following the probe

First unveiled in April by an enquiry that was conducted by Guatemalan prosecutors and a UN-backed special committee, the scandal has caused the largest political unrest in the country in over two decades. The customs corruption ring known as La Linea (The Line) was linked to former vice president Roxana Baldetti, her aide Juan Carlos Monzon Rojas, as well as the president. La Linea received bribes in order to reduce the customs duties paid by businesses by 40 percent, thereby defrauding the government of millions.

Mounting evidence led to Baldetti’s arrest in August, three months after her forced resignation. Numerous private citizens and government officials have also been arrested following the probe. Rojas, whom many believe was the mastermind behind La Linea, remains a fugitive – with authorities suspecting that he is hiding in Honduras.

Despite months of protests across the country, Molina refuses to stand down from the premiership, denying links to one of the biggest corruption scandals to hit the country. The public, together with well-known business leaders, have repeatedly called for his resignation, during which time a number of ministers and ambassadors resigned. Pressure mounted following a general strike last week that brought the country to a standstill, leading Congress to begin the impeachment process.

The Congressional decision comes just days before presidential elections are due to take place. As Guatemalan presidents are only eligible for one four-year term, there has been no intention for Molina to run in this month’s elections.

How should foreign investors approach Iran?

Now that the nuclear deal has been reached, many foreign investors (FIs) are seriously considering tapping into Iran. Before the deal – which is yet to be finalised – many came to the country and negotiated with governmental authorities, especially with the Oil Ministry. Some may have talked with current FIs active in Iran despite the sanctions. Some have met with consultants, both in Iran and outside the country, to check the risks and opportunities of their potential investment. Others are waiting for the deal to be finalised and the sanctions lifted completely. More still are monitoring the movement of their competitors. The question is, are FIs really ready to come to Iran?

Due to its rich natural resources and consuming market, Iran is a very tempting country to
invest in

Due to its rich natural resources and consuming market, Iran is a very tempting country to invest in. However, entering a country without extensive research, in particular one that has seen its economy weaken and received minimal foreign investment in recent years, is not, typically, a wise decision.

The risks
The country has been under heavy sanctions and the economy has suffered as a result. Just as an example, the exchange rate fluctuation is very high and making deals in foreign currencies can impact businesses, especially in transactions with high amounts.

Moreover, and to briefly assess how foreign investment is treated; some governmental authorities have not properly prepared the ground for the arrival of FIs. For example, FIs may face one-sided contracts or conditions, and changing them can be very hard. In addition, staff of governmental authorities are not familiar on how to behave and negotiate with FIs.

In some governmental authorities, the decision-making process is very complicated and has many layers. Personnel do not accept responsibility and finding the person in charge is difficult.

And, more importantly, some laws and regulations are vague or interpretable which may impact businesses legally and financially.

The above are just some of the risks of investment in Iran. Although such risks can be found in other countries as well, they appear to have unique characteristics in each country.

The preparations
Therefore FIs should prepare themselves for such issues, which require great experience and knowledge of Iran. To make such issues easier to navigate, FIs should consider Iran-based consultants or at least consultants having connections and/or experience in Iran.

Iran’s great business opportunities are undeniable and it should certainly be considered now that the unstable political situation in the country has almost been resolved. Although, there are many issues related to the economy, culture, law, the government and other areas, which all need to be considered and assessed with great care.

Risks are inevitable in investments and are an integral part of them, however the duty of any FI is to recognise such risks and then to solve or to absorb them.

Any FI wants to earn returns on their investments and Iran is one of the best places to realise this. The country welcomes your investment, but come to Iran with open eyes.