Who will control the Taliban’s treasure?

Afghanistan, a mosaic of tribal identities making cohesion extremely fraught as well as historically bloody, has around $9bn in assets held overseas. Most of these assets are frozen. Around 80 percent of the country’s budget is dependent on foreign aid, which has also dried up. “Our engagement with Afghanistan has been suspended until there is clarity within the international community on the recognition of the government,” said IMF spokesman Gerry Rice in September.

“We’re guided by the international community in terms of the recognition of the government in Afghanistan, and we don’t have that.” Afghanistan’s GDP is also part-reliant on overseas remittances, which are struggling to land safely, if at all. Seventy percent of the country’s population is under the age of 25 so most have no experience what Taliban rule means – till now.

Rich but poor
Klisman Murati, CEO of global risk and development research house Pareto Economics, told World Finance that the Taliban are incapable of plugging the public finances void. “If there’s no revenue coming in for the government, there’s no way these civil service salaries can be paid, fully or at all.”

Talk of tacit or implied financial support or recognition from other countries only gets you so far. “Who will take the first step? I don’t think anyone is going to take the first step until they see a robust system of law and that the Taliban can maintain a functioning society. Even if they can, there are going to be certain terms and conditions put forward by the West, to make sure they respect the values that the West holds.”

Afghanistan, however, is richly endowed with rare earth metals vital to the world’s transition to a cleaner, greener economy. Back in 2010 a number of US geologists and military officials concluded that, beneath much of the country’s mountainous dust and rock lay huge supplies of copper, cobalt and lithium.

The Chinese aren’t interested in re-building Afghanistan. They‘re only interested in fuelling their ambitions

These and other hard-to-excavate earth elements are vital in the production of electric vehicles. If Afghanistan was allowed to develop its mineral resources “it could become one of the richest countries in the area within a decade,” Said Mirzad of the US Geological Survey told Science Magazine in 2010. But under the previous unity government, trust with investors was weak. Corruption between local warlords and the Taliban is extreme and reliable governance looks decades away.

“China has the deepest pockets but has not rushed in to extract the presumed $1trn worth of minerals beneath the Afghan dust,” wrote Dr Vanda Felbab-Brown, Senior Fellow at US thinktank Brookings in August. Felbab-Brown says China bought just a handful of licences, put off by security and corruption worries. Dr Christine Cheng is Lecturer in war studies at King’s College London and also holds a BASc in systems design engineering and she takes a close interest in sustainable technology.

She says China is paying close attention to Afghanistan’s precious metals potential but concurs with Felbab-Brown that super-caution from the international community, both west and east, reins in longer-term planning, for now.

Next-gen terror
The priorities of near neighbours China and Russia, she says, is the security situation. “Russia and China, foremost in their mind, care most about how Afghanistan is going to deal with Islamic extremists and they are worried about what is going on in their own territories and worried about the lesson learned as Taliban as victors. Also how ISIS-K is managed and contained…the spillover effects of that.”

Just as concerning is the potential for fracturing within the Taliban itself. “That’s the biggest danger,” Cheng goes on. “The people who negotiated the Doha agreement [signed in February 2020] with the US that’s one faction – the diplomatic part.” Much of this faction was largely in control in the 1990s. “If you listen to the people who were in control in the 1990s and then read what they are writing about their approach to governance, it’s much more moderate than you or I would expect, given how they ruled the first time. You could say they’ve gotten older, wiser, lived abroad perhaps and learned about how they might have done things differently.”

“But those,” she goes on, “who are at mid-level now, those mid-level commanders who actually control things on the ground, they weren’t around in the 1990s and didn’t see much of how the Taliban ruled.

So their approach, or world view, is really different. And arguably more radical. They want much harsher restrictions. They want a much stricter Sharia state. That’s causing divisions.”

This fracturing of order within the Taliban is something the west regularly underestimates, other sources confirmed to World Finance. But for many ordinary Afghan families, fracturing is normal. For example, before the US pull-out it was common for a family to have one son employed by the Taliban and another working for the US-supported government. Afghan families hedge bets to survive.

Klisman Murati says it’s important to remember that any idea of Taliban rule imploding has limited relevance. “The Taliban don’t have de facto control over the whole of Afghanistan. If the Taliban implodes it doesn’t mean much because the rest of the country doesn’t survive off the Taliban.” Only those in Kabul, employed by public institutions funded by international money allowing education and healthcare to develop, are mainly affected.

The Taliban meanwhile have sent a strong signal of their intended direction: their new minister of the interior, Sirajuddin Haqqani, is wanted by the FBI and the US department of state is offering a $10m reward for any information leading to an arrest.

Just $2 a day
Much of the Afghan working population earns less than $2 a day. Many Afghan banks can’t supply enough hard cash to customers and runaway inflation for everyday staples – rice, bread and vegetables – is widespread. The Afghani, the national currency, has been in freefall since August.

So what gives? How, economically, will the country manage medium term? Dr Iftikhar Zaidi is senior lecturer in leadership and strategy leadership and change at Cranfield University and knows the region, as well as the border between Afghanistan and Pakistan from an earlier military career. “You have a government that isn’t liked, for different reasons. These are people who are locked in a version of Islam that only theoretically existed perhaps. They are locked in time but they won’t be brought forward by disengaging.”

He goes on: “The Afghans are sitting on an abundant quantity of chromium. It isn’t a rare metal but the quality of chromium in Afghanistan is high and is economical to mine, compared to anywhere else in the world. Then there are other rare earth metals, like cerium. So, if we don’t go in, someone will. The Chinese can. They don’t have to do it overtly. They will provide the money to the Taliban, who will mine these metals.”

“So the Taliban,” he says, “will find money. But it’s a question of what we, the west, are prepared to pay as a price.” He adds: “The Chinese aren’t interested in re-building Afghanistan. They’re only interested in fuelling their ambitions.”

Brutal reality
Dr Bryan Watters, associate professor of defence leadership and management at Cranfield University and a colleague of Zaidi says the major players – the US, EU, China and Russia – haul much historical Afghan baggage behind them. Border controls apart, the country’s untaxable, he says. Watters warns too many people look at Afghanistan through the eyes of an urban elite. “There’s talk about how the people of Afghanistan will not put up with the situation. Get beyond Kabul and the other three big cities [Kandahar, Mazar-i-Sharif, Herat] and I don’t think anything has changed. The urban elite can be dealt with brutally. They’re either being thrown out or they’ll be dealt with. If the Taliban believes the urban elite are a threat to their beliefs and their idea of nationhood, having defeated the Americans, dealing with a few urban elites ain’t going to be a problem.”

“The west may tut-tut but like, Syria and North Korea, will do little,” adds Watters. Much of the developed world is pulling away from COVID-19 and obsessing over rising energy prices and tangled supply chains. “This isn’t an environment where developed countries are going to increase their aid budget to Afghanistan.” China will probably make sure that there’s just enough financial support to keep Afghans fed and watered – just about – says Dr Zaidi. “It’s a simple population. All they want is $2 a day to survive.”

For the population of 30–40 million (no public census has taken place since 1971) that’s not much money, he says. “You can get $2 into people’s hands, which keeps them happy – and milk the country.” China may manage this with Russia he says, or a consortium of like-minded countries. The west certainly doesn’t want China to have a monopoly on lithium – high grade lithium is low density, floats in water and is of spectacular interest to developed industrial economies transitioning to a more sustainable model – and other metals vital to electric vehicle batteries, medical kit and other uses. China already controls much of the rare earths market and therefore the prices. But the west has spent enough and spilled enough blood in Afghanistan and the US has made its decision to leave. The question is: what will it do next, and when?

Climate change: from crisis to opportunity

On a grey, Glaswegian Sunday in mid-November, COP26 negotiations drew to a dramatic close. Hailed as a potential “turning point for humanity” by British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, the UN’s climate change summit brought together world leaders from almost every country on Earth for a series of urgent, timely and closely followed discussions. For two weeks, the world looked on as deals were struck, pledges were signed and new climate change commitments were drawn up. Amid powerful pleas from young climate activists, countries from around the world took decisive action in Glasgow, promising to protect forests, cut methane emissions and shift away from fossil fuels.

But the trailblazing tone of the summit was tempered on its closing day. An eleventh-hour intervention by India and China saw the wording of the final deal – the Glasgow Climate Pact – amended to reflect a commitment to “phase down” coal usage, rather than the original pledge to “phase out” the harmful fossil fuel. COP26 President Alok Sharma was almost overcome with emotion as he explained what had happened to assembled delegates, saying that he was “deeply sorry” for how events had unfolded. According to a tearful Sharma, the last-minute alteration was necessary to keep the pledge on the table, but he admitted that the resulting outcome was a “fragile win” in the fight against the climate crisis.

COP26 President, Alok Sharma
COP26 President, Alok Sharma

Despite this late revision to the COP26 deal, the Glasgow Climate Pact still very much represents a historic moment in the global effort to combat climate change. The agreement marks the very first time that an international climate deal has aimed at reducing coal consumption – for the past 30 years, the word ‘coal’ has been notably absent from any global climate pacts. Elsewhere across the summit, more than 100 world leaders promised to end deforestation by 2030 (see Fig 1), while China and the US announced a surprise pledge to work together to cut greenhouse gas emissions.

On ‘finance day,’ a coalition of 450 banks, pension funds and other financial institutions – who together have over $130trn at their disposal – committed themselves to the Paris Agreement 1.5 degrees Celsius warning limit, in what was a historic unlocking of private capital to fund the transition to green energy.

The climate crisis is certainly looming large on the global horizon – but the world’s most powerful players are now taking tangible action.

Who can you call?
While politicians such as Liberia’s President, George Weah, may have taken centre stage at COP26, the summit showed that global finance has a critical role to play in the fight against climate change. After all, financial institutions control vast amounts of capital, and if they stop lending to environmentally damaging sectors – fossil fuels, coal mining, fracking and forestry, to name a few – then these industries may find that their funding soon dries up. Despite this mounting pressure, however, it appears that our financial giants aren’t quite ready to turn their backs on fossil fuels just yet. In fact, the world’s largest investment banks have poured $3.8trn into fossil fuel companies since the signing of the Paris Agreement in 2015, according to a recent report led by a coalition of NGOs.

Liberia President, George Weah
Liberia President, George Weah

But COP26 may well see the financial world go green. The financial sector’s $130trn net zero pledge is undoubtedly a watershed moment for the sector, representing a decisive pivot towards a more sustainable future. If successful, it could very well be the first step along the road to a net zero financial system.

As eagle-eyed readers may have noticed, there was a familiar name behind this headline-grabbing COP26 deal. Mark Carney, the former Bank of England governor, was responsible for bringing together the $130trn coalition, in what was perhaps a personal career highlight for the climate-focused banker. Consistently vocal on climate change risks during his time with the Bank of England, Carney’s eco-credentials have only grown since his departure in 2020. Now serving as the United Nations’ Special Envoy for Climate Action and Finance, the Canadian native is on a mission: to drag the financial world away from the dirty investments of the past and push it towards the green opportunities of the future. It’s a big ask, but Carney may just be the right man for the job.

Calm in a crisis
Through every stage of his high-profile career, Carney has shown himself to be a dependable problem-solver. At the age of 42 – practically still a teenager in central banking years – he was promoted to the top job at the Bank of Canada, becoming the youngest ever central bank governor among the G8 and G20 nations. But banking wasn’t always Carney’s dream. In an interview with The Guardian, he admitted that banking had initially been a way to pay off his student loans after graduating from Harvard and earning a PhD at the University of Oxford. It turned out to be a good fit, however, and after proving his merit with a 13-year stint at investment banking juggernaut Goldman Sachs, he was appointed deputy governor of the Bank of Canada.

The summit showed that global finance has a critical role to play in the fight against climate change

It was while he was on secondment with Canada’s Department of Finance that he was called up for the role of governor at the Bank of Canada, assuming the post against the turbulent backdrop of the rapidly unfolding global financial crisis in February 2008. Taking on the top job at such an unprecedented, volatile and financially calamitous time was not for the faint-hearted. Yet it was in these testing times that Carney proved himself on the global stage. Just one month into his tenure, he slashed Canada’s interest rates, providing something of a fiscal injection and boosting market confidence at what proved to be a pivotal moment in time. Months later, other central banks followed suit, but by then it was simply too late. Carney had acted quickly and decisively, and his actions at this time are said to have spared Canada the very worst impacts of the financial crash. After a few short months in his post, it was already clear: Carney was a good leader in a crisis. It is perhaps unsurprising then, that four years later the Bank of England came knocking on his door.

Never smooth sailing
In 2012, the British economy was in a very sorry state. The UK had fallen into a deeper post-crisis recession than experts had anticipated. With GDP in decline, the country entered into its first double-dip recession since the 1970s. The Bank of England, meanwhile, was increasingly seen as an antiquated institution in urgent need of a refresh. And with the serving central bank governor nearing the end of his tenure, then chancellor George Osborne had just one man in mind to take over the role. However, Carney wasn’t easily sold on the Bank of England job, repeatedly turning the position down until the chancellor was forced to sweeten the deal with a more attractive offer. Securing a salary over double that of his predecessor, Carney officially took the helm in July 2013, becoming the first foreign governor of the Bank of England since the institution was founded in 1694.

“Mark Carney is the outstanding central banker of his generation,” chancellor George Osborne told MPs as he unveiled his appointment in the House of Commons. From the outset, expectations were almost unreasonably high – with representatives from across the political spectrum hailing the Canadian as something of an economic miracle worker. Yet despite these pressures, he once again rose to the occasion, quickly earning the nickname ‘Capable Carney’ in the British press.

The financial sector’s $130trn net zero pledge is undoubtedly a watershed moment

One of the first items the incoming governor had to tackle was making the Bank of England a more open and communicative institution. It goes without saying that changing the company culture and working practices of a 319-year-old establishment was no easy task, but it was certainly a necessary one. When Carney joined the Old Lady of Threadneedle Street in 2013, public distrust of the banking system remained high, with central banks expected to lead by example when it came to rebuilding trust and establishing a more honest and open working environment. In August 2013 – just one month after assuming his role as governor, Carney launched the bank’s ‘forward guidance’ policy, signalling his intention to make monetary policy more accessible and transparent.

More specifically, he wanted to give financial markets, businesses and the wider public a clear picture of the bank’s future interest rate policy – something that the institution had been famously tight-lipped about before his arrival. This early activity was a sign of more work to come on improving communications and transparency – which is now seen as one of Carney’s most noteworthy achievements from his seven-year tenure at the bank.

By 2016, Carney had made good progress. Under his stewardship, the Bank of England had implemented some necessary post-crisis changes and the British economy was in recovery, with GDP now growing again after taking a nosedive in the years following the financial crash. If Carney had been drafted in to solve a crisis, he was certainly well on his way to fulfilling that demand. Then, just as one crisis appeared to be over, another one landed on his desk.

The Brexit blues
Markets were jittery in the weeks leading up to the UK’s landmark EU membership referendum. As Britons headed towards the polling booth, Carney warned that a vote to leave the EU could trigger a new recession just as the country emerged from the last. This comment prompted Eurosceptic backbench MP Jacob Rees-Mogg to label Carney as an “enemy of Brexit,” but the Bank of England governor defended his position, insisting that the bank’s role was to “identify risks, not to cross your fingers and hope risks would go away.”

If we are to build a new, more sustainable world, it is only right that we also create a new, more sustainable financial system

And indeed, the Brexit risks didn’t disappear. In the early hours of June 24, 2016, the results were in: Britain had voted to leave the European Union. By the morning, the pound was plummeting and the Prime Minister had resigned. In the midst of the unfolding chaos, Carney once again took charge, offering reassurance to the nation in a televised address, broadcast shortly after David Cameron’s resignation. “We are well prepared for this,” Carney told the cameras in his presidential-style address. Overnight, a political vacuum had opened up in the UK, and it fell to the Bank of England governor to restore a sense of stability and calm to markets, business owners and British households. Determined to avoid an economic downturn, Carney soon set out his post-Brexit plan, with the press praising him as the only “adult in the room” at a time when the nation needed stable and decisive leadership.

Entering into all too familiar crisis-management mode, Carney slashed interest rates to historic lows in an effort to safeguard financial stability. “There is a clear case for stimulus, and stimulus now, in order to be there when the economy really needs it – to have an effect when the economy really needs it,” he said at a news conference upon announcing the base rate cut. In the months that followed, Carney stuck to his plan, acting calmly and quickly to keep the economy from plunging into the recession that he had so feared.

Just a few months on from the pivotal Brexit vote, the Theresa May-led Conservative government implored Carney to stay on as Bank of England governor for an additional year, taking his tenure at the institution through to June 2019. The Canadian dutifully agreed to serve an additional year, confirming that he would remain in post in order to help the UK to navigate its tricky exit negotiations with the European Union. However, as UK-EU talks rumbled on and Carney’s departure date loomed large in the diary, he was once again asked to extend his tenure – this time out to January 2020 to ensure a smooth Brexit transition.

So, having steadied the ship through the choppy Brexit waters, Carney was relieved of his duties after serving almost seven years in the Bank of England top job. After steering the institution through two ‘once-in-a-lifetime’ crises, he was now ready to take on the next global challenge: the threat of climate change.

Onto the next crisis
Nobody would have blamed Carney if he had decided to enjoy some well-deserved down time after departing from the Bank of England. But it seems that is just not his style. A long-time vocal advocate for action on climate change, he was appointed as UN Special Envoy for Climate Action and Finance in March 2020, with the aim of whipping up private finance to fund global climate goals. Net zero can still be a hard sell in the financial world – but if anyone is up for the challenge, it’s Carney.

Drawing on the same practical, problem-solving approach that served him so well during his banking career, Carney has spent the last 18 months persuading the world’s biggest banks to lend their support to international climate goals. Specifically, he has been influencing banks, insurers, pension funds and asset managers to invest in schemes that are aligned with the Paris climate agreement goal of limiting global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. COP26 saw months of tough negotiations come to fruition, with a Carney-led coalition of 450 powerful players from the world of finance – known as the Glasgow Financial Alliance for Net Zero (GFANZ) – all pledging to manage their assets in line with that 1.5 degrees Celsius pledge (see Fig 2). “Right here, right now is where private finance draws the line,” Carney told delegates on ‘finance day’ at the COP26 summit in Glasgow. “Up until today there was not enough money in the world to fund the transition. And this is a watershed.”

Between them, GFANZ members control more than $130trn, and will be using their deep pockets to fund sustainable green projects across the globe. As Carney observed in his COP26 speech, the creation of the GFANZ coalition is something of a watershed moment for the financial world. For many years, getting Wall Street to go green seemed like an impossibility. After all, investors tend to follow the money – and for decades, that money was in oil and gas. Sustainable investments have historically been seen as more risky, producing lower returns than their fossil fuel competitors.

But the tide now looks to be turning for green investments, with data showing that sustainable investments are now outperforming their more conventional peers. Fossil fuel investments, meanwhile, are becoming increasingly risky. As world leaders pursue an accelerated net zero transition, new research shows that half of all fossil fuel assets could become worthless by 2036. Investments in oil, gas and coal now risk becoming stranded as the world looks to decarbonise, making renewables and green solutions an ever-more attractive alternative.

“Private finance is judging which companies are part of the solution, but private finance, too is increasingly being judged,” Carney said in an interview for the United Nations website. “Banks, pension funds and asset managers have to show where they are in the transition to net zero. And people are voting with their money.” Indeed, with the call for global action on climate change now reaching fever pitch, the financial world can no longer ignore this plea – in order to stay both reputable and profitable, it will need to become part of the climate solution.

Finding values
If we are to build a new, more sustainable world, it is only right that we also create a new, more sustainable financial system. The financial world has always had a fundamental role in helping to shape global development, and the pledges struck at COP26 put finance at the heart of the global fight against climate change.

The world is emerging from the great lockdown, shedding its past and transformed into something new

Carney’s vision of “a financial system entirely focused on net zero” may seem idealistic to some. After all, can a financial system ever be entirely focused on anything other than, well, finance? And yet Carney’s $130trn COP26 coalition shows that financial net zero might be closer than we think. If now is indeed the moment for change, then why not dream big?

This is the concept that underpins Carney’s bestselling book, Value(s): Building a Better World for All. The title reflects the optimistic tone of the banker’s bold manifesto, which advocates for creating an economy – and indeed, a wider society – based on human values, instead of market values. Sticking to a topic that he happens to know all too well, Carney argues that a crisis in shared common values has brought about the three major crises of our time: the financial crisis, the COVID-19 crisis and the climate crisis. All too often, he argues, our fundamental human values are cast aside in favour of what is materially valuable, leaving us living within systems where price takes ultimate precedence.

We live in radical times
After a 30-year career on the frontline of finance, Carney appears to have reached a firm conclusion: that the system requires profound change. To some, this might seem like a radical stance. Yet we are living in radical times. Our ‘new normal’ is one largely defined by uncertainty and instability in almost every aspect of our daily lives. The pandemic has brought to light just how fragile our societies and the systems that uphold them truly are – and has prompted a revision of values at a scale we have perhaps never seen before.

Like a butterfly from its chrysalis, the world is emerging from the great lockdown, shedding its past and transformed into something new. There is a shared desire to create a new, better world than the one that came before – one in which we treat each other, and indeed our planet, with more kindness and respect. If there was ever a time for change, for hitting the reset button, then it’s right now. And with its deep pockets and mighty global influence, the financial world is well equipped to lead that transformation. As rose-tinted as it may seem, Carney’s vision might just be the blueprint the financial world needs as it cautiously enters its next chapter.

In Silicon Valley, is honesty the best policy?

Silicon Valley has always been heralded as being a secretive place, and the mystery surrounding SV has arguably added to the excitement around the place over the last few decades. However, this culture of secrets has become increasingly dangerous, to the point that it is enabling founders of start-ups in Silicon Valley to commit high-level fraud. The Theranos scandal is what might immediately spring to mind regarding this fraudulent activity, but other founders of startups, including HeadSpin’s CEO and founder, Manish Lachwani, have also defrauded their investors, enabled by this covert culture.

More recently though, a shift in the coveted secrecy of Silicon Valley has been seen to be taking place. This shift is arguably a result of Trump’s victory in 2016, a rise in tech scandals and tech employees becoming more vocal about issues in the sector. In addition, the COVID-19 pandemic has led to a rise in med-tech start-ups, where investors are more likely to be reputable, and this rise gives these new start-ups the chance to operate on a more open and trustworthy level going forward.

The rise and fall of Theranos
Elizabeth Holmes launched Theranos at age 19, after coming up with a seemingly revolutionary way of testing blood from a simple finger prick. People were enthralled, with business tycoons George Schultz and Rupert Murdoch among the first big financial backers, with Murdoch putting $125m toward the company, despite having not seen an audited financial account of the business at this point. Holmes also sought out other big investors, including the DeVos and the Walton family, because she believed these families would support her in ensuring Theranos could remain a private company. In total, over $900m was invested into Theranos between 2004 and 2015.

Elizabeth Holmes was obsessed with the security at Theranos, asking anyone who visited the company’s headquarters to sign non-disclosure agreements

In 2015, Dr. Flier, then dean of Harvard Medical School, expressed concerns, after Holmes failed to answer basic questions about the technology of this device that would test the blood. However, at this stage, it was not suggested she was a fraud and she still received an invitation to join the medical school’s Board of Fellows at Harvard University. However, towards the end of that year, the business started to unravel, when a whistleblower raised concerns about Theranos’s flagship testing device, the Edison. The following year, in 2016, Holmes was banned from operating blood-testing services for two years by US regulators, and two years later, Theranos was dissolved. In June 2018, Holmes was arrested, along with Tamesh Balwani, her associate, on criminal charges of wire fraud and conspiracy to commit wire fraud. How she was able to get away with convincing investors of Theranos’s legitimacy for so long is all testament to the conspiratorial nature with which the company was operated. Holmes took her investors’ money on the condition that she would not have to reveal how Theranos’s technology worked, and also that she would have a final say over everything to do with the company, according to Business Insider.

In addition to these demands, Holmes was obsessed with the security at Theranos, asking anyone who visited the company’s headquarters to sign non-disclosure agreements before being allowed into the building. Interestingly enough, the secrecy that surrounded Theranos was an aspect Holmes had borrowed from her Silicon Valley hero, Steve Jobs, taking this idolisation as far as to dress in black turtlenecks and refuse to take any holiday, both traits of Jobs.

Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes
Theranos founder, Elizabeth Holmes

Another recent defrauder in the SV area is Manish Lachwani, the former CEO and co-founder of the tech start-up HeadSpin. Lachwani was arrested at the end of August 2021, for allegedly defrauding investors in order to raise money for his company. Lachwani had overstated privately held financial metrics from the company, including revenue, in an attempt to inflate the company’s value. He overstated the annual recurring revenue of HeadSpin by $4m, as well as grossly exaggerating the overall revenue between 2018 and 2020 from $26.3m to $95.3m. The HeadSpin CEO’s actions are yet another example of the corruption in Silicon Valley that has further flourished as a result of the cloak-and-dagger nature that continues to surround start-ups. Lachwani’s possible prison sentence of 20 years hopefully has some chance of being an effective deterrent against this kind of fraudulent behaviour.

The masters of secrecy
The root of this ongoing culture of secrecy in Silicon Valley dates back to the 1990s, when Silicon Valley first became a hotbed for the technology industry. This inevitably led to the area becoming a highly desirable place for tech journalists to access, but these reporters quickly discovered that if their coverage was anything less than positive and full of praise, their level of access to the start-ups would soon disappear.

There is little doubt from anyone you speak to in the industry that the influence Apple, a Silicon Valley giant, has had on this culture of secrecy has been widespread and in a bid to emulate that success, it is something that all other start-ups have subsequently adopted. Apple’s love of keeping things under wraps started with its co-founder, Steve Jobs, as part of his magisterial desire for showmanship, in order to conjure up excitement for a big reveal of new products. Secrecy has historically been of more importance to Apple in comparison to companies selling similar products, such as Samsung, because of the high price tag and the associated reputation Apple has for selling a product that embodies a premium experience. This ultimately means that Apple products have been designed to feel aspirational, and therefore being shrouded in mystery to build up the grand reveal has helped serve this purpose.

However, in recent years, Apple employees have become increasingly open about internal problems, after concerns that the company culture of secrecy has harmed diversity and inclusion efforts. One example of this was demonstrated in September 2020, when a Slack channel was created by Apple employees in an attempt to promote a more flexible working environment. By the summer of 2021, this channel had reached roughly 2,800 members, and when Tim Cook announced that in September this year, Apple would be reopening its offices, Apple’s remote work advocacy group, off the back of this channel, sent an anonymous email back to him requesting further flexibility. Ultimately though, it is the company’s product launches that Apple is most concerned with keeping secret, and it is these products that they will do all in their power to keep under wraps and away from the watchful eye of the press, and social media.

Change on the horizon?
There has also been a more general turning point to secrecy in the tech world. Following Trump’s Presidential victory in November 2016, and a rise in tech scandals, technology journalists felt more compelled to push back the following year against the ossified norm of being unable to criticise technology giants for fear of being ostracised and losing access. More recently, new stories about these technology giants are coming from employees breaking NDAs and risking their jobs by doing so. But if the tech giants continue to self-govern and refuse to grant access to outsiders, this can often feel like the only way to expose perceived wrongdoing.

As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, there is an increased emergence of med-tech start-ups. Silicon Valley expressed eagerness at the start of the pandemic to invest in future winners of the current crisis, and in March 2020, 12 investment firms pledged to invest over $30m in start-ups with COVID-19 programmes, with Y-Combinator, a start-up accelerator, connecting founders to investors.

One successful example of this is the start-up Shared Harvest Fund, which was founded by Dr. Nana Afoh-Manin, a doctor from Los Angeles, who began the myCovidMD initiative to help provide equal access to coronavirus testing. Mobile health start-up iXensor is another example of a successful med-tech start-up fostered in Silicon Valley, and then incorporated in Taiwan. It has developed a fully digitalised rapid antigen test and accompanying digital platform to aid with COVID-19 outbreaks. However, these med-tech companies and all those that follow, do now face more intense scrutiny in the wake of Elizabeth Holmes and the Theranos scandal. If any good has come from this, it is the raised awareness of due diligence when it comes to start-up investment instead of the vogue for leaping without looking in a desire to catch the next wave of the future (see Fig 1). The old adage of ‘if it looks too good to be true, then it probably is,’ should be heeded.

This new and healthy scepticism of start-ups has arguably done some damage to prospective start-ups with investors now exercising a greater degree of caution rather than relying solely on an appearance of integrity and what looks like a golden market opportunity.

It is therefore important that this new wave of start-ups emerging do not covet the same secrecy that Silicon Valley start-ups have always strived for, and instead try their hand at transparency in the beginning, so that investors know what they are getting into, giving these nascent companies a chance at real success in the long run.

The supply chain crisis

Aptus Utilities, a UK energy and lighting infrastructure and installer company, sits towards the end of its own supply chain. For Ian Winn, group financial director, it’s an uncomfortable place to be currently. “We’re seeing prices increase as lead times lengthen and demand increases, making it very difficult for manufacturers and suppliers to build up stock levels. This is leading to shortages and impacts across the board.” Winn continues, “We’re not direct importers but two of our most important materials are electric cable and meters, which come in from the continent. Because of Brexit some lead times have now doubled.”

Aptus uses a lot of polyurethane pipe. “But production capacity was taken out of the market last year,” Winn goes on. “That’s reduced capacity to the manufacturers and pushed up prices and introduced scarcities exacerbated by the take-off in construction activity at the back end of last year and this year.” Add in COVID-19 issues for this street light installer. “Effectively they’re [street lights] fabricated steel. But with COVID-19 people are less able to work closely together.” Aptus is getting around some of the issues by talking to suppliers more, holding more stock. But they also have 20 three tonne long wheel-base on order since March from Peugeot. They’re eking more life out of their existing vans, which is pushing up maintenance costs.

Inexplicable planning failure?
Michael Boguslavsky, head of artificial intelligence at Tradeteq, told World Finance that while the supply chain crisis continues, there’s no lack of supply and demand data to plan around it. “What’s clear is we can’t put this down to a lack of resource,” Boguslavsky said. “Global companies have some of the best operational and risk management systems around but, in the case of microchips, they failed to detect how a shortage would impact operations.”

Consumer spending remains high, and inventory levels across the globe remain very low

The technology to detect and anticipate shortages exists – communicating with customers in real-time deploying lightning-fast payment systems right down the supply chain – and is in use in other areas. Banks and the financial trading community use fintech tools that can be repurposed, given care and planning, to other sectors.

Are industries picking up? The evidence looks uneven. Richard Parkinson, port director at Southampton’s UK Solent Gateway, says that while there’s no end of data, understanding it in a holistic way is massively challenging. There are two data issues – context and access – that are needed for an effective pan-global supply chain analysis, he says. “It may be that each logistic service provider, airline or shipping line holds its own data but perhaps it needs to be collated centrally for a single analysis of end-to-end global supply chains. That may be where the weakness in data lies: each element of the global supply chain holding its own stove-piped data.”

Licence to drive
In the UK the food supply chain is being weakened by an acute driver shortage. According to the Road Haulage Association there’s a shortfall of 100,000 missing jobs. Part of the problem is drivers quitting the UK during the COVID-19 pandemic who can’t – or don’t want – to return via the post-Brexit immigration system, which doesn’t recognise the haulage role as highly skilled. Also, the age of the average UK lorry driver is 55 – just two percent of HGV drivers are under 25 in the UK – so the pool of available UK driver labour is getting smaller.

“The public,” says Hugh Mahoney, CEO of UK food wholesaler Brakes, “are starting to notice the resulting gaps on retailers’ shelves; in failed waste disposal collections; and through the items missing from the menus at their local pubs and restaurants.” The disconnect at government level is a failure to see driving, says Mahoney, “as a part of the critical infrastructure that supports feeding the nation, and that this will disproportionately impact smaller farmers, producers and suppliers who will be hardest hit by surging distribution costs.”

In the run-up to Christmas the Conservative government has introduced temporary visas for 5,000 fuel tanker and food lorry drivers to work in the UK. But there still remains a serious shortfall of driving labour. “The EU workers we speak to will not go to the UK for a short-term visa to help the UK out of the shit they created themselves,” Edwin Atema from Dutch-based lorry drivers union FNV said in an interview with BBC’s Radio 4. “In the short term, I think that will be a dead end.”

Demand overwhelms supply
The disruption across so many points is a vicious circle. Freight forwarding specialist Unsworth warned at the beginning of October 2021 that Black Friday, Cyber Monday and Christmas were approaching fast. “Consumer spending remains high, and inventory levels across the globe remain very low,” it said.

Exports out of Asia, it added, have been one of the biggest chokepoints as European demand for goods has overwhelmed the capacity of space and workforce. Worse, several Chinese tech suppliers – including those supplying consumer tech giant Apple – have cut operations in Jiangsu province, a major hub for China’s industrial tech industry due to electricity rationing as the Beijing administration attempts to hit carbon-cutting goals. HP, Microsoft and Dell are also affected.

 

Business and political risk – watch those chokepoints
While the Suez and Panama Canals are global chokepoints there’s increasing worry over less well-known, but critical, shipping highways. For NATO, the Greenland-Iceland-UK Gap is a concern. This is a 200-mile stretch of ocean between Greenland and Iceland and a 500-mile gap between Iceland and Scotland. It’s where Russian warships push through to reach the Atlantic Ocean.

Both the Chinese and the Russians, in different ways, are looking at creating new chokepoints that can accommodate military operations.In other words, some countries are pivoting seemingly neutral economic infrastructure for political and strategic advantage. The US has always made use of its geographical and military reach, weaponised by 9/11.

However, some businesses, hauling considerable supply chain risk behind them, may underestimate the geopolitical nuances.They may even, unwittingly, make themselves a target. “Network connections are so complex that policy makers often don’t understand how interventions could produce unexpected consequences,” wrote Henry Farrell and Abraham Newman in the Harvard Business Review. “When the US announced sanctions against the Russian metals giant Rusal, it did not anticipate that they might bring the European auto industry to a halt, and it had to modify them swiftly. The more businesses’ government-relations offices can do to educate policy makers, the better.”

 

Turbulent waters
Simultaneously the cost of sending containers from China to Europe and the US has been hit by severe inflation. For some global trade routes the price of standard 40-foot containers saw a 400 percent rise in 2021. In mid-September the Economist estimated that the spot price of sending such a box from Shanghai to New York cost $2,500 in 2019 but this price was now close to $15,000.

The Ever Given container ship that ran aground in the Suez Canal, March 2021
The Ever Given container ship that ran aground in the Suez Canal, March 2021

Admittedly a monumentally-sized container ship blocking a vital maritime passageway – the 120-mile Suez Canal – in March 2021 didn’t help. The 220,000-ton Ever Given, en route to Rotterdam, diagonally blocked the canal having been blown off course by high winds. Most vessels passing through the Suez are obliged to use Egyptian pilots to help them navigate this stretch. However, the Ever Given belongs to a new super-class of carriers that are simply too vast for some waterways – including the Panama Canal. Somewhat predictably, the incident was a billion-dollar disruption to global trade as well as garnering a huge amount of press.

 

Forever change?
John Manners-Bell, CEO of Transport Intelligence, a supplier of market solutions to the global logistics industry and Visiting Professor at the London Guildhall Faculty of Business and Law, says global supply chains, post-COVID-19, will irrevocably change. “Globalisation has really been about sourcing things from China,” he says. “Now, companies are very much thinking about diversifying their supplier base. A lot more are thinking about sourcing more from either their own countries or from countries that are much closer.”

“Transportation risk,” he goes on, “has been growing for many companies for some years but has come into focus because of COVID-19. Geo-political issues such as the trade war between the US and China but also security concerns as well. You can easily see in the future that the world will start to break into supply chain regions.” Some will be China focused while other routes will be close to Europe and the US. In other words, there will be increasing bifurcation, one being Sino-centric and the other more Western-based.

Cooling on China
This will bring huge changes as regional trade flows rather than global flows predominate, says Manners-Bell. “There will be some major global companies that will lose out but more regional and national players will benefit.” Manufacturing is likely to gain considerably from the switch, he says. He cites electric car marker Tesla, which has sourced a great deal of components from inside the US, snipping transportation risk. While Tesla has operated out of its California Fremont factory, originally built by GM in 1962, its new factory in Austin, Texas is attracting many more local suppliers. That is where it’s building its SUV Model Y and Cybertruck models.

Tesla Gigafactory in Austin, Texas, US
Tesla Gigafactory in Austin, Texas, US

The ‘keep local’ rationale is gaining traction in the UK. A recent EEF survey claimed that the average UK manufacturer has close to 200 suppliers in total with almost 100 percent of manufacturers relying on some materials being sourced from overseas. Many, many companies must be reconsidering their relationship with China, however difficult it is to untangle a supply chain. Multiple supply chains may be one answer. Rising concern over data and privacy is another issue.

In October 2021 the British international freight association (BIFA) said 12.5 percent of global capacity was unavailable in August due to delays. “This means that in August 2021, a full 3.1 million TEU [shipping container with internal dimensions measuring 20 feet long] of nominal vessel capacity was absorbed due to delays. To put this into perspective, the insolvency of Hanjin in 2016 [the world’s eighth largest carrier at that time] removed only 3.5 percent of the global capacity – until the vessels came fully back into circulation with new owners. The current situation is akin to a scenario of three and a half Hanjins all going bankrupt at the same time, with no immediate outlook for the vessels getting back at sea.”

Solutions please
Neil Ballinger, head of EMEA at automation parts supplier EU Automation, says the supply chain manufacturing model itself, for some, would benefit from switching from a linear model to a circular one, slashing production scrap and making better use of existing resources. “Taking care of industrial equipment and implementing a strategic preventive maintenance programme can,” he says, “help manufacturers keep track of their machines’ lifecycles so that they can manage component obsolescence.”

Many companies must be reconsidering their relationship with China, however difficult it is to untangle a supply chain

Over time this limits the amount of new equipment needed to buy, he says. The circular route is built upon the three R’s approach: resume, reduce and recycle. It’s attracting more attention as sustainability and climate pressures mount. This approach contrasts against the linear economy model where the focus is more about eco-efficiency per se, rather than overall eco-effectiveness of the system itself. “It’s also crucial to diversify supply chains,” Ballinger goes on. “Over-relying on one supplier or a cluster of suppliers based in the same area can be a great risk at times of socio-political instability.” While logical enough, many materials companies, according to Professor Thomas Johnsen from Audencia Business School, have little choice “but to source from distant and high-risk locations, for example, in case of rare and precious materials and metals.” He told World Finance that “cobalt and lithium are essential for a range of electronic devices, including electric cars – and are notoriously difficult to source.”

‘Normal’ labour mode?
Then there is the concern around supply chain ethics and working conditions. In a crisis, it’s harder for companies to keep labour standards and working conditions tight. Supply chain disruption means higher risk of unauthorised subcontracting as wholesalers, agents and others seek alternatives, upping corporate risk. “The risk of exploitation,” says Jessica McGoverne, director of policy and corporate affairs at ethical trade service provider Sedex, “such as forced labour increases at times of pressure through a combination of factors – supplier pressure, worker shortages and more pressure on workers to work longer hours.”

There’s not just reputational risk but legal and financial. Poor practices and mistreatment of workers – low wages and discrimination – can quickly turn into scandals and negative press coverage, even a drop in share price. McGoverne says the global garment manufacturing sector has been badly hit by the supply chain crisis with close to 90 percent of businesses exposed to slashed orders. It’s not all bad news: some 20 percent of businesses have diversified and deployed new innovations to respond to the pandemic, she adds.

Picking, packing and sorting isn’t cheap
To what extent can artificial intelligence (AI) better support the average supply chain? Nigel Lahiri from software provider Grey Orange says industries exposed to labour shortages should look at robotics and AI to slash labour costs as much a third, “while also reducing order fulfilment time by as much as 50 percent.” He says the supply chain crisis, at least in the UK, is in part due to Brexit and loss of a European workforce. “Which reflects,” he told World Finance, “the often tedious and dangerous nature of those jobs within logistics, retail, food service, and manufacturing, which are the industries most affected by the labour shortages.”

Supply chain fulfillment using robotics
Supply chain fulfillment using robotics

“With a lack of labour,” he adds, “businesses within those industries will experience slow order fulfilment and food shortages by Christmas.” As the holiday season gets under way with the promises of record sales, so too does the risk of record returns. This logistics area is one many retailers dread. But some think this is a good area to deploy AI and robotics towards.

AI doesn’t object to repetitive tasks or require a pension, but it drags its own supply chain risk behind it: AI administers highly sensitive business information and only one incident is needed to jeopardise a supply chain. Not everything in a supply chain can be automated. Sales predictions and HR are areas supply chains will always struggle with. These ‘soft’ skills may never be a fit for robotics – until computers and robots are able to think beyond their own programming. And we’re not there yet, most AI experts say. Social cues, ‘reading’ a human situation – delicate HR circumstances, for example – remain well beyond it.

Each company is looking for the right mix of automation and AI investment to tackle the sheer volume of data

AI though can be an enabler of supply chain verisimilitude, says Chris Huff, chief strategy officer at software business Kofax. This has real value as ESG supply chain pressure rises. AI can track data insights that “previously,” says Huff, “might have been ignored because the human labour cost of assembling, analysing and gleaning insights was simply too onerous and costly.”

Applied with care AI can expose poor business practices and work quality. And when AI is used to create digital workflows the quality and cost of work can be rapidly measured. “Just about every industry,” says Huff, “is struggling to digitally transform as they seek to remain relevant. Each company is looking for the right mix of automation and AI investment to tackle the sheer volume of data.”

Taxing issues
What is harder to plan and anticipate is political risk. In fact, it’s impossible. Christiaan Van Der Valk is a tax and regulatory expert at Sovos, a reporting software business. He acknowledges being crisis resistant is an impossibility – but tax digitisation and the reporting around it can streamline supply chain governance, at least. “All companies could benefit from tax digitisation efforts.

The big question is whether governments can converge on more harmonised approaches. There is a real opportunity with modern technology for all stakeholders to benefit from tax reporting and business process automation, provided the diversity of legislative requirements can be reduced over time.” This is ongoing. Van Der Valk says too many businesses see supply chain tax issues as a tiresome ball and chain. “I’d recommend them to instead approach tax as an opportunity. While it’s true tax administrations, in their quest for digital transformation, may place varying requirements on your systems and processes which in the short term make supply chain automation harder, smart organisations transcend it to see a bigger picture.”

And if the tax data is high quality, your tax and business objectives stand a better chance of converging. “This level of externally-consumable data intelligence will open up new opportunities to improve many critical processes such as cash management, supply chain transparency for environmental protection and labeling purposes, and customer service.” So, get serious about understanding what tax authorities want in digital format, he advises, then look hard at how consistent the reporting flows are.

Turning a corner
While there are plenty of excuses for understanding the current shortage problem the most pressing challenge is how to restore stability and ease the shortages, and quickly. When the immediate supply concerns retract, companies and governments will need to consider what kind of insurance or slack they should build into the production system over the longer term.

Just as banks needed to increase their equity buffers after 2008, we perhaps now need to step back from just-in-time production and redefine productivity in light of the supply-chain risks being witnessed.

Taboo economics

The word ‘taboo’ was introduced into the English language by Captain Cook from the Tongan word for prohibited or forbidden, in his 1784 book A Voyage to the Pacific Ocean. It is associated both with the holy, and the unclean. In his 1890 book The Golden Bough, the Scottish anthropologist James George Frazer argued that taboos were a throwback to the age of magic. Human belief progressed through three stages: primitive magic was followed by religion, which in turn was followed by science. Taboos belonged to the first stage, and could be viewed as a kind of negative magic: “The aim of positive magic or sorcery is to produce a desired event; the aim of negative magic or taboo is to avoid an undesirable one.”

So what would qualify as an economic taboo? Well, to start with something basic, how about money. Economists of course use money as a metric all the time – but they have long avoided talking about how the stuff is actually created. In fact, as economist Richard Werner remarked in 2016, the subject “has been a virtual taboo for the thousands of researchers of the world’s central banks during the past half century.” According to economist Norbert Häring, “Cursory observation suggests that credit creation or money creation are taboo words in the leading journals.”

The creation of money
Textbooks have traditionally dodged the subject by saying that the process is controlled by central banks, but the reality is that the vast majority of money (about 97 percent in the UK) is created directly by private banks. When banks issue loans such as mortgages, the money isn’t taken from somewhere else; it is just created on the spot, as if by magic. The taboo around money creation has started to lift in recent years, beginning with a Bank of England paper in 2014 that admitted that the standard textbook story was wrong. But it does seem odd that the misunderstanding could have persisted for so long. One reason perhaps is that, as banks have long known, the best way to make money is to literally make it. Money creation through loans is very good business, because the bank can charge interest on all that new money. As Häring notes, this “pecuniary benefit” is not discussed in the textbooks, which again “points to a taboo imposed by the interest of a very powerful group.”

Still, other kinds of business are profitable too – so what makes money special? The reason is related to another taboo topic – which is the subject of power. Classical economists and thinkers such as Thomas Hobbes and Adam Smith recognised the connection between money and power – as the latter wrote, “Wealth, as Mr Hobbes says, is power…the power of purchasing a certain command over all the labour, or over all the produce of labour which is then in the market.” But it has since fallen from favour. In fact the economist Blair Fix did a word-frequency analysis of economics textbooks, and found that “What defines econospeak is that power is conspicuously absent.”

This reluctance to address power is right there in the very definition of economics. The English economist Lionel Robbins wrote in 1932 that “Economics is a science which studies human behaviour as a relationship between ends and scarce means which have alternative uses” and similar definitions still appear in modern textbooks. Gregory Mankiw’s widely used textbook Principles of Economics, for example, defines economics as “the study of how society manages its scarce resources.”

The crowbar of power
But if you look at how scarce resources are actually allocated in the real world, it would be more accurate to say that what counts is power. Money is certainly a tool used by the powerful – as Nietzsche said, “money is the crowbar of power” – but other things can work too, like an army.

And if anything, it would be more accurate to say that economics avoids the question of how we distribute resources – and indeed has long treated it as taboo. Robbins wrote that, because the subjective utility of one person cannot be measured versus that of another, the whole question of fair distribution is “entirely foreign to the assumptions of scientific economics.” Or as Nobel laureate Robert Lucas put it in 2004, “Of the tendencies that are harmful to sound economics, the most seductive, and in my opinion the most poisonous, is to focus on questions of distribution.” As an example, today one of the most obvious economic signals is that, on average, white males earn more than other people.

Yet given the lack of interest in power relationships, it is perhaps unsurprising that the words ‘sexism’ and ‘racism’ are missing entirely from the economic corpus, according to Fix. As the New School’s Darrick Hamilton argued in a lecture, “What we need to do as economists is a better job at understanding the roles of power and capital in our political economy.” A first step is to relax some of those economic taboos, and restore money and power to their rightful place at the centre of economics.

A renewable energy transition is on the horizon

Around the world, momentum is growing behind the renewable energy movement. Nations are searching for solutions to power a cleaner, greener future, and bold plans are being set out to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The race is on to transition to a net zero energy system by 2050, and thus avert the crisis of global warming by limiting the world’s temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius, as set out at the Paris Agreement.

Yet while countries around the globe look to put a stop to rampant CO2 emissions, energy demand is expected to tick ever higher as economies demand more power to facilitate their continued growth and development. The International Energy Agency (IEA) predicts energy demand will rise between 25 and 30 percent in the years to 2040.

Reaching the net zero milestone in a matter of decades while energy use continues to rise will require businesses to innovate and seek out sustainable solutions that are both accessible and efficient. One of them could be hydrogen.

A progressive fuel
Solutions for the renewable energy transition can often be found in plain sight in the natural world. Take solar, wind or hydropower. Hydrogen is the most abundant chemical element and as such is found throughout the earth. Its atoms make up water, plants, animals and humans, and in its rarer gas form it is an incredibly valuable fuel. Just take into account hydrogen is always in a compound form.

Today, green hydrogen is used as a cleaner alternative to high-polluting fuels, offering a critical tool in countries’ net zero journeys. While fossil fuels like oil, coal and natural gas cause damaging greenhouse gases when burnt, the only waste product created by hydrogen is water vapour. As a universal, light and highly reactive fuel, its place in the energy mix is key. For years, hydrogen has been heralded as a commodity with the power to revolutionise the energy industry.

A key step in decarbonising the planet will involve decarbonising the hydrogen industry

But obtaining hydrogen is not cheap, and high costs have restricted its growth. With hydrogen’s green credentials calling the attention of global investors, however, this is finally changing. The Hydrogen Council expects at least $300bn to be invested globally in green hydrogen over the next decade. Meanwhile, the global demand for hydrogen for use as feedstock (in the fabrication of ammonia or its inclusion in chemical processes in refineries or industry) has tripled since 1975 to reach 70 million tonnes a year in 2018, according to the IEA.

Its popularity is no wonder, but its environmental impact is not so clear cut. When fossil fuels are used to create hydrogen, carbon dioxide emissions find their way into the atmosphere despite hydrogen’s clean credentials. Currently, hydrogen is almost entirely supplied from fossil fuels, with six percent of global natural gas and two percent of global coal going directly into hydrogen production. This makes hydrogen responsible for more than two percent of total global CO2 emissions, which is equal to the carbon emissions produced by the UK and Indonesia combined.

That’s why renewable energy champions like Iberdrola believe a key step in decarbonising the planet will involve decarbonising the hydrogen industry. Creating green hydrogen, a version that stems from renewable energy, will slash carbon dioxide emissions and create a truly revolutionary material that will help decarbonise other high-polluting sectors, offer more security to renewable energy and avert a climate crisis.

Renewable technology
Hydrogen generated from natural gas, or methane, is also known as grey hydrogen, and it is the form of the fuel that is most commonly produced today. Blue hydrogen is created when the carbon generated by obtaining hydrogen is captured and stored underground through carbon capture and storage (CCS) before it can pollute the atmosphere, although carbon capture is an expensive and not yet commercially viable technology.

Green hydrogen is the cleanest version of hydrogen available, and it is produced when renewable electricity, created by solar or wind power, is used in a chemical process called electrolysis, which sees the hydrogen atoms that make up water (H2O) being split from the oxygen atoms. Green hydrogen is a small but growing segment of the energy market, currently making up just 0.1 percent of overall hydrogen production, according to the IEA.

The World Hydrogen Council predicts that production costs for green hydrogen will drop by 50 percent by 2030, opening the floodgates for green hydrogen to power the future. As the decarbonisation of the economy progresses around the world – a process that is well in motion – and companies continue to build the necessary infrastructure, renewable energy will become cheaper, thus lowering the cost of green hydrogen and making it more widely available. In the longer term, green hydrogen will be important in niche areas that cannot be electrified, such as shipping, aviation, long-distance freight and steelmaking.

Realising its potential
Barriers persist, however. Iberdrola itself has invested in renewables for nearly two decades, but further progress is needed. Replacing all the grey hydrogen in the world will require a whopping 3,000 terawatt hours per year (TWh/year) from new renewables, equal to the current demand of Europe.

The shift will be critical for creating a cleaner energy system, as producing green hydrogen that emits no carbon dioxide into the atmosphere would slash the 830 million tonnes of CO2 that is emitted annually by obtaining grey hydrogen through traditional fossil fuels.

For green hydrogen to replace dirtier, polluting fuels, it must be produced at scale. Until the cost of renewables falls, green hydrogen will remain expensive to generate. Electrolyser farms, fuel cells, and other equipment that is used to obtain and manage green hydrogen, will all see their costs fall from mass manufacturing.

Another aspect to bear in mind is the added safety requirements needed when using hydrogen. Hydrogen is a highly volatile and flammable element, so extensive safety measures must be put in place to prevent leakages and explosions. While these hurdles cannot be overlooked, the benefits of hydrogen extend well beyond its sustainable status.

Hydrogen is also transportable and versatile, as it can be transformed into electricity to power a wide variety of industries, as well as ships, and planes. What’s more, hydrogen could be stored, allowing it to solve some of the mismatches between supply and demand, an issue that is often at the heart of the renewables debate. While prices for new solar and wind power are falling, batteries or other storage solutions are needed for the days when the wind doesn’t blow, or the sun is hidden behind clouds. Hydrogen, which can be obtained through renewables and then stored and used after it is produced, as well as being mixed with other energy sources, offers a flexible solution. Hydrogen can also be transported from renewable-energy-rich countries to areas with less access to green forms of energy, or manufactured in situ if the renewable electricity is transported using the electrical networks up to the consumption areas.

A long-standing relationship with industry has also proved beneficial to hydrogen. Having been used to fuel cars, airships and spaceships since the beginning of the 19th century, today, hydrogen fuel cells are increasingly common for vehicles. Scaling green hydrogen in industries such as the production of fertilisers, steel, shipping and aviation is crucial to hydrogen’s contribution to a clean energy future (see Fig 1).
The electrification of the economy using renewable energy is the world’s best bet at decarbonisation, but decarbonised materials like green hydrogen have an important role to play in sectors where electrification is not yet competitive or technically possible, like steelmaking, shipping or aviation.

A promising future
Iberdrola, a longtime pioneer in renewables, is a leading force in the development of green hydrogen today. Having already fronted projects to transform sectors like the ammonia industry with green hydrogen, the group has announced plans to launch a large-scale green hydrogen project based on photovoltaic energy starting its initial phase in Puertollano, Spain. By 2030, Iberdrola is set to produce 85,000 tonnes of green hydrogen.

Now is the time to act on the vast opportunities presented by green hydrogen. Iberdrola’s investments in green hydrogen technology are driving down costs and committing resources to a greener, cleaner future. For example, the business has spearheaded new developments as part of a broader €150bn investment plan that will fuel the growth of green hydrogen, as well as launching a new business unit solely focused on green hydrogen. By investing in the revolutionary technology of green hydrogen, Iberdrola is making a promise to the future that a cleaner energy industry is indeed on the horizon.

The ethical dilemma created by leaking confidential docs

Swiss Leaks, LuxLeaks, Paradise Papers, Panama Papers and now the Pandora Papers: 12 million confidential documents from the archives of firms specialising in the creation of offshore companies in so-called tax havens. The phenomenon of the papers and leaks is in full swing and causing strong reactions among the public and major upheavals among the political class; however, some aspects of this ‘practice’ raise substantial ethical and legal questions.

Tax evasion is illegal and therefore legally and socially unacceptable; it can neither be condoned nor advised. It is obvious that exposing patterns of fraud can be useful for the authorities, in order to know the scale of the problem and the methods used by fraudsters and their advisers, whose names are also exposed.

This allows authorities to undertake all necessary steps to counteract these illegal schemes, whether national, European or international, mainly at the OECD level, where the committee on fiscal affairs is ensuring the urgent implementation of the main base erosion and tax shifting (BEPS) actions in this area. These actions aim to neutralise the effects of hybrid mismatch arrangements, design effective controlled foreign company rules, limit base erosion through interest deductions and establish financial payments and mandatory disclosure rules. While the explanation of fraud schemes may be of educational interest, the publication of the names of the beneficiaries of offshore companies can only be of theoretical interest to the ordinary citizen.

Total (while uncontrolled) disclosure
As previously said, this way to proceed poses many problems on legal, ethical and social levels. It should be emphasised from the outset that the facts are presented to a largely non-specialised public, which has difficulty distinguishing between tax fraud (an illegal practice) and tax avoidance (a perfectly legal practice).

Political statements exacerbate this confusion, such as the recent statement by the Belgian minister of finance: “Avoiding tax through off-shore constructions is fraud.” This statement must of course be tempered.

Tax justice demanded by the public is interpreted in a peculiar way: people do not ask to pay less tax, but rather that others pay more

Firstly, it is obvious that an offshore company (like any other structure or company, wherever it is established) is nothing more than an instrument. And like any instrument, the offshore company is not legal or illegal in itself: it is its use that may or may not be. An offshore company is therefore not necessarily an instrument of tax fraud.

Subjected to a multitude of media and political statements, and lacking the technical skills to understand the situation properly, the average citizen thus loses sight of another important issue: the fact that they are being very heavily taxed. Thus, curiously, public opprobrium is directed against those who have tried to escape, even legally, from heavy taxation, rather than against governments that constantly increase the tax burden to cover their excessive public spending. In this way, the ‘tax justice’ demanded by the public is interpreted in a peculiar way: people do not ask to pay less tax, but rather that others pay more. This is a curious attitude, since the state’s argument that increasing the tax base (notably by combating tax avoidance) would allow the average citizen to pay less in taxes has never been verified in reality: tax revenues increase over time but taxes never decrease.

An attempt on human rights
On an ethical level, it is unacceptable to put fraudsters and people who use an offshore company in a perfectly legal manner on the same footing. The latter are subjected to an unprecedented attack on their privacy for absolutely no reason, especially since, at the time these documents are revealed to the general public, no one knows whether the beneficiaries of such structures have acted improperly or not. Moreover, while the revelation of such information is always widely publicised, the results of the ensuing investigations are rarely known, so much so that the proportion of fraudsters among those whose private lives have been exposed to the public is unknown.

Some of the practices denounced are common in everyday life. For example, a former political leader was accused of having acquired a company that owned a building, rather than the building itself. This very common transaction is stigmatised on the grounds that the company in question was established in a tax haven, but it has not been argued that if it had been a local company, he would not have made the same saving. After the right to privacy, it is therefore the principle of proportionality that falls victim to the lack of nuance in this way of communicating: starting from the incorrect assumption that the offshore company is an instrument of fraud, it is deduced that anyone who uses an offshore company is necessarily a fraudster and that, in general, the use of offshore companies is to be banned. However, it is also true that a large number of people defraud by means of structures established in their own country, but no one has ever suggested banning their use. To ban (the use of) a tool on the grounds that some people may misuse it makes no sense.

Finally, this phenomenon raises important legal issues. The problem of violation of privacy has already been mentioned above. Article 8 of the European Convention on Human Rights proclaims the right of everyone to respect for “their private and family life, their home and their correspondence.” Admittedly, restrictions exist when they are “prescribed by law” and are “necessary in a democratic society.” It is difficult to see, though, how dumping millions of non-anonymised documents on the internet, in bulk and without any prior filtering, could be considered as an attitude prescribed by any law, in a democratic society. Moreover, once published, these documents are subsequently examined by national authorities and serve as a starting point for tax audits, criminal investigations, and sometimes as a basis for tax adjustments and criminal prosecutions.

These documents and the information they contain are, legally, the result of a theft, often in violation of the professional secrecy obligations of their holder, and their disclosure constitutes a violation of the right to privacy and the secrecy of correspondence. It is difficult not to notice the singularity of this approach, which has been frequently validated by the courts, and which consists of fighting, in the name of legality, fraud by means of data illegally obtained by a third party.

The principle thus overrides an exception that is not as exceptional as it should be, and therefore the property and privacy rights of the beneficiary of an offshore company give way to the ‘necessities of a democratic society’ (be it freedom of expression or the duty of the state to prosecute violations of the law), making the publication and use of illegally obtained data legitimate, whether directly or indirectly.

A quest for proportionality and balance
Is this acceptable? Opinions differ on the subject, but it cannot be denied that the use of stolen information by the authorities to achieve their ends is shocking in principle and in most cases, making unfiltered and non-anonymised data public constitutes a disproportionate step with regard to the right to privacy and the presumption of innocence.

In the future, even if this practice should be deemed legally or morally acceptable, the release of such data should at least be regulated to protect the rights of the citizens concerned (many of whom are beyond reproach). In the middle ages, only the names of the convicts were called out and shamed by town criers. These days, the European Court of Human Rights, to the detriment of human rights, considers that states have an obligation to regulate the exercise of freedom of expression to ensure adequate protection of the privacy and reputation of citizens. As for the press, it must assess the repercussions of its publications, which are supposed to generate a ‘debate of general interest.’ While the issue of the use of offshore companies may well be the subject of a general interest debate, it is doubtful that the disclosure of the names of the beneficiaries (especially those whose actions are not of general or even public interest) can be of any interest in the context of such a debate.

This is in fact the whole problem with these leaks: it leads to confusion and very often results in a disproportionate infringement of the rights of beneficiaries. Tax avoidance is equated with tax fraud and the beneficiary of an offshore company with the fraudster, while at the same time, the use of stolen documents appears to be acceptable in order to achieve a ‘higher’ goal, even if nobody knows whether the proportion of fraudsters among the beneficiaries justifies such a breach of the legal rules.

Furthermore, the personal data and assets of thousands of people are subject to uncontrolled publicity, often with disastrous consequences on both personal and economic levels, even though they often have nothing to blame themselves for.

In this highly media-driven context, public and governments often disregard the fact that proportionality is also essential in a democratic society, especially when it comes to reconciling values of equal strength that are on a collision course.

Driving change with financial inclusion in the Philippines

2020 was quite a challenging year for all of us. Lives and businesses were severely disrupted due to the pandemic. As we crossed over to 2021, there was cautious optimism that this would be a year of recovery and rebuilding. We were right to be cautious as the second wave of the pandemic hit. The Delta variant of the COVID-19 virus caused havoc to local and global economies alike, enforcing another round of lockdowns and slowing economic activity in the process. Fortunately, the vaccine rollout in the Philippines has also progressed throughout the year and we saw more Filipinos get fully vaccinated, which consequently led to the gradual reopening of the economy.

The ‘We Find Ways’ mentality
Similar to 2020, BDO Trust and Investments Group (BDO Trust) has constantly been on hand to assure clients that it is in full control of their investments, transitioning from being defensive to counter market volatility to becoming opportunistic to gear investment portfolios in preparation for recovery and growth.

BDO Trust continues to service clients by embodying the ‘We Find Ways’ mentality, ensuring that clients get access to investment opportunities despite the challenges of community lockdowns. Digital technology, through email and mobile messaging systems, is highly utilised to share investment ideas that can help to manage investment funds, encourage investment opportunities or simply to reassure.

Video conferencing and collaboration tools are used to execute initiatives such as our investment teleconsultation service, Market Sense and the Practical Investor webinar series. The BDO Invest Hotline and BDO Invest Online provide safe alternatives for clients to carry on with their investment transactions even if most bank branches are already open. These measures not only allowed us to increase wallet share from our existing client base, but the same communication tools were also used to acquire new markets that successfully brought in fresh funds.

For our institutional clients, we now offer a holistic approach to retirement fund management services, which is truly unique in the industry. We believe that it is important not only to provide adequate returns for the company’s retirement funds but also address the needs of the ultimate beneficiaries – the employees.

Through the BDO Pension 360, companies can empower their employees in augmenting their funds for retirement through the BDO Easy Investment Plan and the Personal Equity and Retirement Account, and provide them with a facility to responsibly manage their regular retirement payout through BDO easy pension pay. As a testament to BDO Trust’s ability to remain nimble and adapt despite the disruptions of the pandemic, clients invested more in 2020 and continue to do so in 2021, increasing BDO Trust’s leadership in the trust and investments space in the country with a 24 percent market share with trust assets under management of PHP1.183trn ($23.66bn) as of August 31, 2021.

Preparing for the future
The ongoing pandemic has helped accelerate the use of technology among Filipinos. For the past year and a half, digital transactions have massively increased. Groceries, supplies, discretionary purchases, and banking have seen a surge in digital traffic. Investing is no different. BDO Trust’s invest online facility allowed clients to invest in the BDO UITFs from the safety of their own home.

Increased transparency through BDO Invest Online reassured clients that their money was still safe during the pandemic. Moreover, having the means to continue transacting has allowed clients to take advantage of opportunities during this period of economic recovery. BDO Invest Online’s end-to-end investment process, from account opening to transaction fulfillment, places it at a competitive advantage to its competitors, most of whom require a visit to the branch. This same straight-through digital process is also available for its programmed investments, the BDO Easy Investment Plan. Currently, only BDO Trust has the capability to show both the client’s segregated portfolio via an investment management or trust account and a UITF account in the same online portal, providing the client with a full 360-degree view of their investment portfolio.

BDO Trust is the only Personal Equity and Retirement Account (PERA) administrator and PERA product provider that allows investors to open an account and invest in PERA products fully online, digitising an otherwise 30-minute face-to-face process, revolutionising the onboarding experience and making it more accessible to the intended market who are the overseas Filipino workers. PERA is a voluntary retirement account that is meant to supplement a Filipino’s social (GSIS or SSS) and/or corporate pension benefits. It provides tax exemption benefits to contributions of a yearly maximum of PHP100,000 ($2,000) to encourage long-term retirement savings.

BDO Trust continues to invest for the future to better serve digitally savvy investors and to provide more value to customers. Enhancements to its digital channels are already ongoing for a seamless and consistent customer experience through multiple channels.

The pandemic has proven that financial inclusion can be accelerated through a robust digital infrastructure. The digital roadmap for BDO Trust takes this into account to further contribute to the achievement of financial stability and economic development. What this translates to, for our customers, is convenient asset accumulation. To our country, it increases economic participation. To our institution, it is a cost-effective means of achieving market growth and business sustainability.

Focus on sustainability
Another aspect of business sustainability is being able to provide relevant products to customers. BDO Trust has always been an advocate of socially responsible investing. Since 2015, it has made available the BDO ESG Equity Fund, which invests in companies that exhibit exemplary environmental, social and governance attributes. The BDO ESG Equity Fund subscribes to the specific guidelines set by the International Finance Corporation (IFC) for ESG investing. The fund does not invest in companies with the primary business of selling alcohol, tobacco or those purely engaged in gaming or mining.

While the fund is still relatively small, it has the potential to grow exponentially in size and importance as more investors start to see value in socially responsible investing. Clients are beginning to favour companies that manage their environmental and social risks and practise good governance, creating a positive contribution to society. Schools, foundations, religious organisations, associations, and other non-profit organisations, in particular, generally seek a long-term investment portfolio that is consistent with their values and purposes. For these clients, BDO Trust offers a values-driven investment strategy that upholds their own environmental, social and governance principles.

Advocating financial wellness
BDO Trust continues to support sustainable strategies through the advocacy of financially inclusive growth. The pandemic clearly demonstrated the importance of financial wellness as Filipinos were blindsided by the sudden economic downturn. This presented a golden opportunity for BDO Trust to direct the market’s attention to greater financial literacy by continuing its investor education programmes digitally, providing fresh content and modules that take into account where the target audience is in terms of their customer journey.

Supporting this strategy is a dedicated team that provides free financial education programmes to clients. The courses, which cover proper budgeting, wise investing habits and retirement planning, are open to different audiences – clients, bank branch personnel, employees, teachers, and blue-collar workers to name a few. Throughout 2020 and 2021, BDO Trust has conducted numerous webinars to sustain its training and educational activities despite limited mobility.

The pandemic has proven that financial inclusion can be accelerated through a robust digital infrastructure

At the heart of these financial wellness sessions is the BDO Easy Investment Plan or EIP, which is the clients’ tool to successfully and automatically execute their wealth creation plans. EIP allows clients to invest in the BDO UITFs for a minimum investment amount of PHP 1,000 ($20) for peso-denominated funds and $200 for US dollar-denominated funds. Through the EIP, more Filipinos are able to invest for their emergency fund, children’s education fund, retirement and other financial goals easily, affordably and regularly without the need to go to a branch for every transaction. EIP effectively democratises investing for the mass market – allowing easier conversion of savers to investors.

BDO Trust also offers the Personal Equity and Retirement Account (PERA) to help Filipinos augment their retirement pay and plan for a comfortable retirement. PERA lets clients invest a maximum of PHP 100,000 ($2,000) yearly – or PHP 200,000 ($4,000) yearly for overseas Filipino workers (OFWs) – and take advantage of tax-free investment income to encourage long-term savings.

Making Filipinos global investors
In support of its push for improving financial literacy of Filipinos, BDO Trust not only aims to make Filipinos transition from being savers to investors, but also to turn Filipinos into global investors as well. Understanding both the benefits as well as the risks inherent to investing is fundamental to becoming a savvy investor. In addition, learning how local and global economies develop and grow can also help Filipinos appreciate investing more, knowing that diversifying into other markets can help grow their investment portfolio.

Through the BDO global feeder funds, retail and institutional investors alike can conveniently access global assets for as low as $500. Available through BDO Invest Online and BDO branches, these funds allow clients to invest in stocks that are traded in the US, Europe, China, and other developed and emerging markets. BDO Trust partners with the biggest names in the global asset management industry, such as BlackRock, Nomura Asset Management, Wells Fargo Asset Management and Citigroup to leverage on their expertise and experience in global markets. This strategy allows our clients to grow and diversify their investment portfolio as well as take advantage of investment opportunities both locally and globally.

With our advocacy for both financial wellness and sustainable investing and our adherence to the ‘We Find Ways’ mentality, we believe that our clients can easily take advantage of opportunities in the domestic investment environment as well as confidently venture into possibilities outside the Philippines.

A digital transformation is taking place in Andorra

It was Philip Kotler, the father of modern marketing, who observed that the adoption of new technologies alone cannot transform an organisation. Add a lot of new tech to an old organisation and all you get is an old organisation that costs a lot more to run. If it’s real transformation you want, then new technologies are just one piece of the puzzle.

MoraBanc is an old organisation. Today one of the largest banking groups in the European principality of Andorra, it dates back to 1938, when its founder, Bonaventura Mora, opened the exchange bureau Comptoir Andorran de Change.

In 1952, it became a bank proper, part of a nascent banking sector that grew up in response to Andorra’s changing fortunes in the wake of the Second World War. There have been plenty of changes at MoraBanc in the nearly 70 years since it became a bank but those of the last six – heralding the organisation’s transition to digital – have been arguably the most significant.

Digital transformation – a process that began six years ago when MoraBanc successfully implemented a technological platform to revolutionise client relations in Andorra, and continues today – has never been about adopting new technologies alone. It is about leveraging these new technologies to transform business models, the client experience, operational processes, organisational culture and the way teams are led. Digital transformation is about much more than technology.

People are the key
You can incorporate new technologies, from big data to artificial intelligence to cloud computing – but unless they are used effectively by people with the talent to develop them, people ready to prioritise client experience, true transformation will remain elusive.

In the turbulent world of modern finance, banks cannot afford to ignore digital transformation in its broad sense, incorporating not just technology and processes but business models, new markets and client experience. People, of course, are central to every one of these. There is no room for complacency in the competitive world of Andorran banking – those who cannot adapt will be left behind. Banks must adapt to clients’ needs, demands and expectations in an environment that is volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous. It is a difficult journey, but one full of opportunities for those organisations able to use the full potential of digital environments, creating differentiated value propositions and seeking alliances with new players, from fintech to proptech.

Real differential value will be found in the people who understand what digital is and are able to anticipate clients’ new needs

Banks must shift from being mere providers of traditional financial services to taking on a much more relevant role in their clients’ daily lives. They must lead a strategy focused on client engagement and loyalty through digital ecosystems far beyond financial products, in a context of ongoing personalised interaction.

There are many challenges that financial institutions have to face in order to digitally transform themselves. Agility is key and this can be achieved by implementing a digital culture internally, one led by a management team that drives this change through the acquisition of new digital skills and agile ways of working.

New technologies must be incorporated as a key strategic element – this technology must go far beyond simple business support and enable new digital business models to be defined. It can’t be done without acquiring new digital talent, bringing entrepreneurs and those passionate about the digital world into the organisational fold. This is because the real differential value will be found in the people who understand what digital is and are able to anticipate clients’ new needs and consumption habits.

The challenge of change
Banks will have to explore the frontiers of their business and redefine themselves, seeking new digital business models that generate new sources of income and increase their profitability. This is everything from the monetisation of client knowledge to offering digital non-banking services to creating open technology platforms.

At the same time, banks must increase the productivity of their existing digital channels: this isn’t just about keeping costs down but rather taking advantage of the large number of digital interactions with their clients to sell more and gain better leverage on digital marketing and client intelligence tools. Alongside all this, banks can’t just leave their physical distribution network to stagnate while developing their digital infrastructure – efficiencies can and must be achieved throughout the business.

For a small country such as Andorra (population 77,543), digital transformation comes with both opportunities and challenges. According to a study on the digital maturity of the Andorran companies that MoraBanc works with, 83 percent are at a basic stage of digital transformation and their employees have a long way to go in improving their digital skills.

To boost the digital capacities of the country’s businesses and public administration agencies, in July 2021 the government of Andorra presented a wide-ranging digital transformation project that will run until 2024. Examples of adaptations to the current regulatory framework include the implementation of a law on digital assets, a law regulating e-sports and a new digital economy law intended to encourage innovation and the diversification of the country’s economy in order to attract talent and investment.

A profound transformation of the bank in the wake of regulatory and market changes has set the pace for the bank’s strategy. MoraBanc’s strategic plans have focused on digitalisation, efficiency and quality of customer service and have led to the growth of client benefits and assets under management, profitability, solvency and efficiency in the Andorran banking sector over the last four years. MoraBanc opted to place key people with digital talent at the forefront of its digital transformation project. Transformational leadership at management level, driven by a clear vision of the digital path the organisation must follow, was key. As was the ability of leaders to inspire their teams to put clients’ needs at the heart of the MoraBanc experience, whatever channel they engage with.

The reputation of banking is badly damaged. We need to win back clients’ trust, improving the client experience in every interaction. Each client’s experience with the brand is unique and this has always been the case, but the advent of digital banking ups the ante in terms of the options institutions are able to offer their customers. The effective use of technology has the potential to make banking significantly more convenient, as clients are able to access the products and services they need whenever and however they need them. The potential for personalised approaches is huge, providing banks are able to turn client data – their personal behaviour, preferences and circumstances – into value.

A long-term vision
Achieving this transformation wasn’t just a matter of a few new hires. The success of digital transformation lies primarily with people; it required a sea change in organisational culture, building a community where people are at the centre of the business and establish quality relationships based on a willingness to share a common, long-term vision. The result was MoraBanc Digital. This digital ecosystem, approved by the board of directors at the end of 2014, included the launch of a new website, iOS and Android apps and a state-of-the-art online broker. Clients were able to reach us via new routes, such as a chat function, appointment system and MoraBanc Direct, a fully virtual client branch office.

It was worth the hard work. Between 2017 and 2020, MoraBanc Digital’s usage figures increased by 112 percent in platform access growth, 80 percent in the number of monthly unique users and 154 percent in transaction volume. And it wasn’t just clients that were impressed – MoraBanc recently won World Finance magazine’s award for Best Digital Bank and Best Banking App in Andorra for the fifth consecutive year.

At MoraBanc we are committed to digital transformation, innovation and ongoing improvement in order to be the best bank for our clients, the best company for our employees and the go-to bank in the markets where we offer our services.

Addressing the climate crisis in the infrastructure sector

Choosing climate action as the theme of my ICE presidency was an obvious choice. I’m an engineer, having trained first as a geographer. My background is infrastructure, people, planet and places. So climate change – with a focus on net zero carbon and climate resilience – is a priority topic, both personally and professionally. Yet until very recently, the infrastructure sectors (energy and also transport, buildings, digital, water and waste) have been able to ignore climate impacts or treat them, at best, as an add-on. We have had far greater focus on economic growth and gain as a primary outcome, at the expense of social and environmental aspects. This mindset is now the cause of massive problems worldwide. But it’s the way public infrastructure and the environment is planned and built that must change – we must change. That means engineers, city and municipal planners, construction professionals – all of us have to adapt in order to make a major difference in the years ahead.

Commitment is overdue
To reach a net zero balance by 2050, we must cut the total carbon emissions connected with today’s infrastructure systems in half by 2030. This gives us a chance to slow the pace of climate change. Though even if we achieve this, we can expect decades of a worsening climate ahead of us, so in parallel we must build in better resilience to cope with more frequent extreme weather events across the world: storms, floods, fires, droughts and more.

The key now is turning climate worry and climate talk into climate action

This is urgent. Our existing infrastructure systems remain highly carbon intensive, as they are used and relied upon by billions of people every day. Today’s decisions about whether we build, what we build, where we build and how we build are key to build-stage carbon impact, but we must also take into account the carbon emissions linked to the existence, operation and use of infrastructure over many generations. We already have some of the right tools, ideas and know-how to start to address the climate crisis. The key now is turning climate worry and climate talk into climate action.

And I say none of these things from an activist mindset. It’s simply the most responsible thing to do, given the scale of our collective challenge. You only have to spend time with your own children, or their friends, for a sense of how they see the future. We have to listen to the next generation – and to 70 years of climate science that already lies behind us. So our job now, as engineers, is to influence and bring about the slashing of carbon, to deliver the art of the possible. And there is no time to waste.

New carbon ‘lens’ needed
We have to rethink how we approach infrastructure design to be more ‘carbon conscious’ in everything. For some clients this is a fairly new lens to look through, alongside other crucial drivers that remain, such as quality, cost, safety, productivity and social inclusivity. Fundamentally, the earlier in a project lifecycle carbon awareness starts, the greater the chance to build value through longer-term carbon savings, often without additional cost or risk. We need to ask the difficult questions about whether ‘new-builds’ are required or whether existing assets can have an extended life. We need to design with carbon firmly in mind, so that quantities of materials such as traditional concrete and steel can be reduced for the benefit of both cost and carbon dioxide. In time, we must aim to eliminate carbon emissions altogether, but in practice we will need to get into the habit of quantifying and then minimising whole life carbon emissions, before mitigating or offsetting any residual impact.

This last piece is evolving fast – it’s also widely misunderstood – but it’s crucial. Just as we mitigate other impacts in everyday technical design practice, we have to embrace and design in offsets directly and accurately. The good news is there’s a range of nature-based solutions that work with carbon capture tech that will become more commonplace, boosting credibility around net zero client work.

Generational pressure is a good thing
The generation coming into the workplace has grown up with climate change so there’s no uncertainty phase that held earlier generations back. There are pent-up frustrations from this group that we – as today’s responsible adults – still haven’t addressed climate change with real urgency, underpinned by fairness and social justice. Young and emerging professionals, whatever their role, must use their influence, knowledge and power to keep pushing the carbon infrastructure agenda to the top, for all our sakes. I am, personally, hopeful that it will succeed. But there’s no more time to waste. We must start now and not allow ourselves to slip back.

Leveraging a unique network to help you find your next role

The pandemic has seen massive fluctuations in the jobs market, affecting a wide range of industries, disciplines and territories. At the senior end of the market, however, there has been surprisingly continuous demand across both industry and geography, for top talent.

It’s not quite business as usual. In this post-pandemic world, corporates want and need to expand their top talent to turn around, recover and continue the growth of their organisations. Companies like InterExec, a London-based consultancy working with C-suite senior executives across all major business sectors, are ideally placed to help.

The transition from one organisation to another brings with it significant prospects of both short and long-term benefit, but demands focus and commitment to achieve the best result. InterExec facilitates that process, working with clients to make crucial decisions about their goals, when and how to move role, and how best to present themselves to the marketplace. Typically, a senior executive seeking a new role will have limited access to sufficient senior contacts in the recruitment market. It might seem straightforward to find roles at the bottom end of the executive market through selective channels such as advertisements, job boards and websites, as well as via their own personal networking. It’s much trickier at the top end – for roles with salaries in excess of £200,000 – where the market is unadvertised and where personal introductions and contacts are essential. In this ‘hidden’ market, it is almost impossible for executives to get a comprehensive view of relevant opportunities and an unbiased view of their prospects.

We specialise in assisting busily employed senior executives who want to make a move but do not have the time or market access to conduct an effective search. Future Choice, a system we developed over the last 30 years, enables the individual to identify their needs and skills. This way, drawing on our extensive knowledge of the market, we can work together to identify the positions that meet these prerequisites, whether they are financial in nature, or relate more broadly to job satisfaction.

With a global network of leading search consultants and over four decades’ experience, we are well placed to ensure that clients are presented with a strong range of options, whatever their field. InterExec staff – a combination of former company directors and executive search consultants – have daily access to thousands of the most influential people in the senior executive market, providing up-to-the-minute intelligence that allows them to plug into up to 90,000 unadvertised vacancies a year. We are regularly adding to this network, broadening the reach of our searches to encompass roles in nations around the globe, across multiple disciplines and sectors.

Market knowledge
The entire consultation process can be completed in little more than four hours, with search consultants working at a time to suit the client wherever they are in the world. By keeping the process as streamlined as possible and minimising interruption to normal workflows, we enable executives to stay focused on their current role while setting the stage for the next phase of their career. We then use our market knowledge to identify the people to whom confidential approaches can be made, to source relevant unadvertised opportunities. For executives seeking their next new challenge, confidentiality is crucial. The aim is always to minimise unnecessary market exposure while maximising a client’s range of options when it comes to changing roles. The world is small at the highest levels of business and executives must tread carefully. Our processes guarantee absolute discretion.

Whether the client is seeking full-time executive employment, interim management, non-executive, consultancy/portfolio roles or employment in a PE/VC environment, the channels to market are very similar. In our talks to the marketplace on behalf of the client, we work hard to fully brief those working on behalf of prospective employers so as to minimise the amount of time the client might need to spend at interview.

Some people have a very clear idea of their objectives in a job transition and some are more open-minded as to where they should best go for the future. Either way it is crucial that the client’s target roles be achievable, based upon their expertise and prior experience, and that the way we present the client to employers enhances their prospects. Standard procedure includes verifying clients’ qualifications, references, identity, skills, achievements and entitlements – because all this information is set out in advance of our conversations with those looking to fill particular roles, time is saved for all involved and the best result can be achieved. The unique InterExec process and network has proven to be a powerful asset to senior executives seeking their next challenge.

Olymp Trade reviews market trends of the new normal

When the virus came, the lockdowns, travel bans, and restrictions in response to it, decimated the global economy. To reduce the damage, state authorities put anti-virus and economic recovery measures in motion. Now, the global economy is slowly trying to recover, but the damage is reflected in the markets where the effects of supportive economic activities continue to alter the landscape.

For many traders, it can be hard to orient oneself in such a changing environment. This article was created to help them. It observes and structures the main economic trends. Also, it provides some specific trading strategy recommendations and helps traders better understand the changing global economic environment. As a result, their trades may be better planned and aligned with the current market trends, and their overall ‘survival’ ratio may possibly increase.

Response to the pandemic
The pandemic and resulting lockdowns severely impacted the global economy. Activity in the manufacturing sector, a core element of economic growth, sharply declined at the peak of the pandemic response. According to IHS Markit, in May 2020, the US PMI fell to a record low of 36.1. In the EU, the same indicator was at 33.4. Against this backdrop, stock markets began to slide. The Dow Jones fell more than 35 percent, and the Euro Stoxx 50 dropped more than 40 percent. To fix the situation, developed states put in place extensive supportive campaigns to restart their economies. Primarily, their central banks significantly reduced interest rates. Also, they launched emergency stimulus programmes, effectively printing more money.

As a result, the money supply in the EU and the US jumped to record highs. In the US, the M1 money supply almost tripled. The American economy has never seen such a growth rate in all its history. The supportive campaigns worked. Together with the loose monetary policy, the stimulus made the dollar fall. The central banks jump-started the stock market and their economies.

Inflation as a side effect
Central banks across the world printed nearly $9trn in 2020 to support economies. They managed to revive the economies, but their measures have led to inflation growth. In the US, it is now 200 basis points above the target value. Other developed states are suffering a similar side effect. In the meantime, the demand for international trade and domestic consumption is at historic lows. US retail sales haven’t grown by one percent yet. August saw a weak growth rate of 0.7 percent, and the second quarter of 2021 had –1.8 percent. China has a similar problem. Moreover, the world may fall into another recession from weakening demand for Chinese products. This problem plagued Europe in 2019 before the pandemic. If it happens again, Europe and Japan will suffer because their economies are export-oriented and have tight trade bonds with China. Also, unlike other G7 countries, their central banks are unlikely to stop the economic stimulus as their GDP growth has only recently surpassed zero. Therefore, while central banks’ actions aided the economies, they are now struggling to find a solution for the side effects for these measures, and inflation is just one of them.

The energy sector crisis
Energy prices are rising, and this issue moves parallel to the inflation problem. In Europe, gas reserves have been significantly depleted partly due to the unusual summer heat and low winter temperatures of 2020. On the other hand, the ECB’s push towards green energy doesn’t help the EU reduce its total energy demand. As a consequence, the EU’s current energy shortage has not been seen since the previous decade. Therefore, it is under pressure to get back to traditional energy such as coal, with Russia as its first supplier to consider.

Russia is now directing most of its coal to Asia under contractual agreements. It simply doesn’t have enough spare to provide to Europe. Furthermore, even if Russia was able to do it, the railway system’s physical limitations wouldn’t allow it to effectively distribute the supplies. As a result, Europe is stuck between the green movement and the effects of 2020, and its energy demand is left unfulfilled. In China, new resistant virus strains have disrupted the normal functioning of the country’s energy systems. The government has imposed restrictions on energy consumption, and businesses lack access to energy inside the country to meet production needs. This is pushing the Chinese state authorities to look for more energy on the global market.

These facts suggest that the global energy demand is increasing. In the oil sector, however, OPEC+ isn’t planning to meet it immediately. On the contrary, its member countries have recently agreed to incrementally increase oil output in the near future. The cartel wants to support energy prices to extract the most profit from them. Recently, natural gas prices exceeded $1,500 per 1,000 cubic meters. Brent crude has crossed $80 against the $60–70 range it had in the summer and is likely to keep going up. October 2018 was the last time Brent was as high. Even after the drone strike on Saudi Arabia’s ARAMCO refineries in 2019, oil prices didn’t leap that much. In the near future, observers expect the oil price to exceed $100.

Partly due to the strong energy demand and progressing economic recovery, the mining and exploration companies are now doing fairly well. The Dow Jones Oil & Gas index reached 470 points, and EuroStoxx Oil & Gas is testing 290 points. Based on these dynamics, we believe most energy stocks may grow through the end of the year. In the meantime, while developed states are trying to move towards green energy, the high carbon energy sector is attracting less global investment and losing appeal to retail traders. That’s why many brokerage companies now educate traders about the cost of missed opportunities while expanding their financial literacy.

How to trade when the stimulus ends
Positive dynamics may not be as likely for the other market sectors. The US Federal Reserve, European Central Bank, Bank of England, and other state financial authorities are about to move from supportive to restrictive monetary policies. Recently, the US Fed Chairman, Jerome Powell, hinted that quantitative easing (QE) will soon be phased out as the US economy is recovering well. When the cutting back of QE is announced, the US dollar will likely go up. In fact, it is already growing on the expectation of the end of stimulus. In the meantime, stocks have an inverse correlation with the US dollar.

Historically, every time the Fed cuts back the QE programme, stock prices mostly drop. In August 2021, the Fed indicated that a shift to the ‘normalisation’ of monetary policy was coming. In response to that, the stock market began to reverse. The impending end of the US Fed’s support is the main reason for the firming US dollar and the decline of blue-chip stocks. Yet, stocks may receive the full hit when the US Fed stops supporting the economy. The asset volume on the balance sheet of the Fed is around $8.36trn. They are currently buying $120bn in treasury bonds and mortgage-backed securities a month. This process fuels interest and prices in various asset groups. But when it stops, a huge void may form. To avoid its impact on asset prices, traders need to select their trade instruments well.

To benefit from the changing market environment, traders and investors need to be aware of its trends and the opportunities it offers

A possible way to do that is to wait until the market correction ends. While waiting, cash may be a safe place to keep funds, but eventually, traders may be able to form new portfolios by buying financial instruments at lower prices. Another way is to buy the so-called ‘defense’ stocks. This refers to those with low or negative beta. It may be American Tower from the financial sector or Bristol Myers from the medical technology sector. Colgate-Palmolive, Procter & Gamble, or PepsiCo from the non-durable consumer goods sector may also do.

These stocks have a fairly low beta. Comparative analysis shows that their capitalisation is undervalued against the industry average. At the same time, these companies have high average profitability and promising revenue and net profit growth dynamics. Alternatively, traders can open short positions on stocks that are in the risk zone upon moving to restrictive monetary policy.

A tactical solution from Olymp Trade
To benefit from the changing market environment, traders and investors need to be aware of its trends and the opportunities it offers. Focusing on the right asset at the right time is key. That, in turn, may be easier with a broker that offers a solid educational base and keeps traders well informed on what’s happening in the market. This is Olymp Trade’s commitment.

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Sights set firmly on the future with digitalisation processes

The Bulgarian institution, Postbank, this year celebrated three decades since it was founded. Despite the challenging year with the effects of the pandemic still being felt, Postbank has managed to navigate itself through 2021 thanks to its flexibility, commitment to personalised service and willingness to learn. Drawing on its 30 years in the international banking space, the institution is now looking to the next 30. World Finance spoke to Petia Dimitrova, CEO and chairperson of the bank’s management board, about embracing digitalisation and supporting Bulgarian entrepreneurship going forwards.

How has Postbank responded to the COVID-19 pandemic and the need for digitalisation?
Everything that happened over the past year and a half posed many challenges for all of us. It was a test of our capability to adequately respond to a change the scale of which could not easily be foreseen or controlled. These recent times have allowed us to get to know the situation we are living in and to efficiently organise internal processes. Bulgarian banks responded to this situation very well and once again showed that they are resilient and stable institutions. Results show that the banking system has been through minimal stress during this critical period. And although the pandemic has had an effect on the way we work with multiple restrictions, the Bulgarian banking sector remains stable and profitable, with high levels of capital adequacy and liquidity. The future of banking is undoubtedly digital, with more advantages and benefits for our customers, providing what is most important – a speedy, time-saving service.

We started digitalisation processes at Postbank a few years ago, when we created a special unit dedicated entirely to that mission. This team developed the overall strategy and its implementation, set priority fields for investment in creating new products with one main aim – digitalisation. This is why in 2020 we were ready, reacted quickly and responded to our customers’ expectations. That we are on the right track was proven by the data, which show that for yet another year in a row Postbank scored a significant increase in customers who now choose to use the digital channels of the bank. Now more than 70 percent of transactions are being carried out online.

What are the benefits of digitalisation?
The pandemic was not only a catalyst for digitalising banks but was also a stimulus for financial literacy among customers after successfully transforming attitudes that we would have otherwise waited for years to change under normal circumstances. The months spent in isolation helped many Bulgarians discover the benefits of digital banking channels and the speed and security with which they can manage their funds online. Naturally, this is a process, so we expect it to continue, and we will be by our customers’ side, responding to all their specific expectations for faster and more convenient banking. As a modern bank working towards protecting the environment, we were among the first to introduce an innovative way to confirm payment documents with a digital signature. Thanks to this, we decreased the use of paper by 43 percent.

What are the leading trends you expect to see in the banking sector in Bulgaria for the next year?
We are currently focused on instant payments, which allow for funds to be transferred to a counterparty in seconds. Postbank, together with BORICA, a company providing technology infrastructure to the Bulgarian payment industry, has been working hard to implement this product and we expect it to be available to our customers by the end of the year. Banks are starting to pay much more attention to online customer experience and are introducing entirely digital processes. I believe these are processes that eventually will benefit customers, since with healthy competition in our industry we manage to further contribute by adding new products and services to e-channels.

Along with this, our mission is to adequately participate in the development of Bulgarian society and as a leading financial institution, to assist with projects in the major spheres of social life, such as education, culture, sports and environmental protection. Our mission is motivated by the deep and genuine concern for the most valuable asset of our bank, people.

This year, Postbank celebrated its 30th anniversary as one of the leading banks in Bulgaria. Can you tell us about the products you have launched to mark the occasion?
We offered our customers our unique new generation mobile wallet, ONE Wallet, with which customers can perform even more banking services through their phones. They can have practically instant contactless access to main banking services as they transfer their physical wallet onto their mobile phone. They can add all their cards into this new wallet and freely and efficiently manage them thanks to the rich range of functionalities set in the app. There is support for contactless POS payments through the phone, managing cards in the mobile wallet by setting limits for different channels (POS, ATM, online payments), opportunities for adding loyalty cards from various merchants, discount vouchers for partners and much more. Our customers have active and flexible control over their funds 24/7, which is certainly a convenience nowadays. This is why I am sure that ONE Wallet will become an irreplaceable application in everyday payments for each of us.

Our mission is motivated by the deep and genuine concern for the most valuable asset of our bank, people

Another major innovation we carried out at Postbank was the introduction of our express banking digital zones that were immediately recognised as a preferred alternative to banking at a counter. Thanks to the intuitive devices in these zones, customers can easily and quickly carry out a major part of main banking transactions after identifying themselves with their debit or credit card, with no need to be registered for the bank’s online banking. Digital zones are already functioning in 75 branches in 32 towns across the country and we will be unveiling more locations and upgrading the service.

Our customers’ needs are of greatest importance to us, and we will therefore continue offering new solutions for managing their finances. One of our main goals in this process is to create high-quality products providing them with the necessary security of the investment. A few months ago, we became the first bank in Bulgaria to start offering a new-generation metal credit card.

Once again, we demonstrated our position as an innovator in the sector and succeeded in offering our customers something different, modern and valuable in order to meet their highest demands and expectations. We are happy that our customers appreciated this modern product that gave them even more flexibility and confidence, completely in line with their style.

We are pleased to be the first bank in Bulgaria to offer an easy and convenient solution for contactless payments for any merchant. The innovative service, which contributes to mobility, holds the key to the effective development of many industries, and is attractive to both small and niche businesses, as well as large corporate clients. Smart POS by Postbank aims to upgrade the established POS business model and make contactless payments much more accessible and convenient for merchants. This, in turn, will expand access to contactless payments for end customers, which is not only convenient but also especially important during a pandemic.

What further goals are you working towards with Postbank?
Other than our innovative digital products and services, here at Postbank, we continue focusing our efforts and funds in support of projects with real added value for society and we believe that one of the great effects will be building self-awareness that will change our lives for the better. For the third year in a row, we are participating in the ‘dare to scale’ project – a four-month growth programme, aimed at entrepreneurs and businesses that are already past the initial phase of development and want to scale up their activity. The programme is organised by the Bulgarian office of the global entrepreneurship network, Endeavor, with Postbank as the main partner.

It is extremely important to us to be part of this process, to support the ambitions of companies seeking to upscale their businesses and thus change the entire ecosystem. I am positive that this is the right path and the right attitude to lead us forward. The times we live in provide numerous challenges, but they will be overcome with resilience and our capacity to learn and grow. We at Postbank will share with entrepreneurs our experience and expertise in order to support them in the most important stages of their businesses’ development and become part of their growth. We will seek the potential of successful partnership allowing us to innovate and create opportunities in the ecosystem. To us, this is an investment in the future and a chance to be part of the change moving us ahead.

Unique opportunities offered for investors in Malta

The world is currently struggling with its identity. Overnight, from a place of globalisation where cross-border movement was at its height, humankind found itself in a state of travel limitations, border restrictions and introspection, and all because of a microscopic but highly contagious virus. Media coverage of curfews, quarantines and doctors decked from head to toe in full protective body gowns at hospital beds looked like cuts from post-apocalyptic movies. Citizens of the world put their physical and mental brakes on, to take stock of their personal, professional and social situations, while political contexts baulked under pressure.

Never before had we felt our freedoms so restrained, checked and limited. Never before has liberty of movement been so valuable. And never before has second residency been a more attractive proposition. Traditionally, families look at residency-by-investment as a means to have an alternative home in a safe and secure place, in case things go wrong in their country of domicile – a plan ‘B’ that puts their mind at rest. From geopolitical unrest to lack of educational opportunities for their children or a dearth of investment possibilities, a second residency gives individuals and families a kind of insurance, a guarantee of a sound fall-back position, and a plan for a better future and lifestyle for their families.

Our industry has not been spared the impact of COVID-19. However, ironically, there has also been increased interest in residency-by-investment propositions. It is easy to see why. People want to live in jurisdictions where their health and safety are guaranteed. Families want fast and easy access to good healthcare that can be life-saving. Entrepreneurs want to operate in markets that are sound and that have growth potential even in the face of adverse economic conditions.

An attractive proposition
There is an excess of motives as to why Malta is an alluring destination for investment migration. Malta combines island life with European standards and a multi-cultural ambience. An archipelago in the middle of the Mediterranean just south of Sicily, the country boasts a mild climate and over 300 days of sunshine, pristine beaches, a rich history and heritage and an outdoors lifestyle. This, however, is contrasted with a strong economy, highly regulated industries, and membership of the European Union, the Commonwealth, the Schengen Area and the Eurozone.

Malta combines island life with European standards and a multi-cultural ambience

Malta’s strategic location and its geographical proximity to Europe, North Africa and the Middle East means it is well connected to the main regions and markets of interest with numerous air and sea links. Malta has world-class healthcare services, easily accessible via reasonably priced health insurance. The country registered impressive Covid vaccination stats that dominated the EU tables – the result of a strategy that coupled opting for full allocation when purchasing vaccines, with a general awareness of the importance and benefits of getting vaccinated. At the height of contagion, health authorities gave daily public briefings to keep citizens well informed while introducing general restrictions that helped mitigate the spread.

The country offers excellent educational opportunities with a range of state, church and independent schools, as well as a 400-year-old university and a college of arts and sciences. With English being an official language and the language for doing business, expats will have no issues communicating with locals and settling in will be easy. Indeed, Malta is one of the safest countries in the world, with a negligible crime rate. This should attract families who would like to spend their time in an environment where children are safe and women go out for early-morning jogs, secure in the knowledge that no harm will come to them.

Doing business
Investors and entrepreneurs look for jurisdictions with robust and growing economies, high regulation, government support and industry demand. Malta has all these elements while constantly garnering positive ratings from credit agencies and topping the EU charts for economic growth, even in Covid’s aftermath. The government has in place a number of interesting business support agencies that are geared to help entrepreneurs startup or expand their operations.

And with Malta’s size and composition, it doubles up as a fully-fledged test market for new products and services. Booming industries include hospitality, aviation, pharma, maritime, financial services, gaming, film and the knowledge industry. These industries are supported by a strong broadband infrastructure and e-government services.

Stay, settle and reside
The Malta Permanent Residence Programme (MPRP) is a property-based residency-by-investment programme that gives beneficiaries the right to stay, settle and reside permanently in Malta with visa-free access to the Schengen area for 90 out of 180 days. Investors have the option to purchase or lease property, while making a direct contribution to the Maltese government. They should also make a donation to a local registered non-governmental organisation in the areas of philanthropy, culture, sport, science and animal welfare. The aim of this initiative is to build links between residents and the local community.

Up to four generations may apply, enabling family relocation. Applicants and their dependants must go through a four-tier due diligence exercise that ensures that only fit-and-proper individuals and families are given Maltese residence status. To ensure rigour in the application process, applications are submitted via regulated and licensed agents, who will act on behalf of applicants. The programme is straightforward and competitive and we promise a processing time of four to six months from the submission of a complete and correct application. With such a brand promise, applicants can put their mind at rest that it will not be a long-drawn-out procedure.

Embracing the nomadic lifestyle
The pandemic also gave the final blow to the concept of the traditional workplace. When remote working kicked in for the masses in order to control the spread of the virus, it was a first test of a more flexible working arrangement for many. The future augurs well for sustainable hybrid arrangements that give flexibility and improve work-life balance, but also reap benefits for employers.

So, with teleworking no longer the prerogative of the few, many will be seeing how to best exploit this newfound way of working remotely. For those in the knowledge-based industries, working from one country while giving services to employers and clients based in other parts of the world is now even more doable. Malta was quick to react to this trend with the launch of a new Nomad Residence Permit intended to give non-EU nationals the opportunity to work remotely from Malta for a temporary period. Malta already hosts a significant digital nomad community made up mostly of EU nationals who do not require any permits due to freedom of movement. The new permit is intended to reach new niches beyond Europe, as travel restrictions ease once again enabling global mobility.

Applicants who wish to work remotely from Malta, for a temporary period of up to one year, must prove they can work remotely, independent of location. They should either work for an employer registered outside of Malta, conduct business activity for a company registered outside of Malta, and of which they are partners or shareholders; or offer freelance or consulting services to clients whose permanent establishments are in a foreign country. The process is straight-forward and Residency Malta promises an efficient service that discerning nomads expect. To conclude with a famous quote – “the only constant in life is change”. We must all react with agility to what happens around us and find solutions to personal, social and professional challenges that offer us better futures. We believe these solutions can be found on the Island of Malta.

More information about the MPRP and about Malta’s Nomad Residence Permit may be found online at residencymalta.gov.mt.

Strategic investment clears a path through the crisis

It is a well-known fact that the pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global market beyond the outbreak of the disease itself. Nevertheless, amid a year of economic distress, one cannot overlook the resilience that major financial institutions in the Gulf market, such as National Investments Company (NIC), have shown during times of turmoil.

Established in 1987, National Investments Company is a leading Kuwaiti asset management and investment bank. The company takes pride in its dynamic and agile approach in a fast-changing environment. As a result, the company has been able to report a total comprehensive income of $73m in the first half of 2021, after registering a total comprehensive loss of $19.2m in the comparative period of 2020 (see Fig 1). In addition to these achievements, the company received three prominent awards in 2021. Firstly, the ‘Best Wealth Management Award, Kuwait 2021’ by Global Business Outlook for its successful record in serving high-net-worth individuals. Secondly, the ‘Best Investment Management Company in Kuwait for 2021,’ by International Business Magazine, a leading publication in the world of business and financial investment, headquartered in Dubai. And finally the ‘Best Asset Management Company of the Year, GCC 2021’ from financial platform Global Banking & Finance.

Manoeuvring through crises
The positive return in NIC’s H1 2021 occurred as the company was quick to capitalise on opportunities by shifting the tactical allocation of its funds and client portfolios towards sectors poised for recovery. The CEO of NIC, Fahad Al Mukhaizim, explained that Boursa Kuwait witnessed unprecedented circumstances due to the pandemic. By thoroughly analysing the market and understanding the reasons behind the changes, the company’s investment banking team took decisions that resulted in exceptional returns for its clients.

One of the examples was the acquisition of a significant stake of Boursa Kuwait, a strategically important asset with strong, recurring and sustainable cash flows due to its market leadership position and improving prospects. Since acquisition, Boursa Kuwait has undergone an IPO and listing process resulting in a gain of several multiples of NIC’s acquisition cost. The second case study was the acquisition of Kuwait Foundry, a mispriced asset with intrinsic value significantly greater than the prevailing market value. The investment offered an identifiable path to realisation of true value. Towards this, NIC acquired a 21 percent stake in January 2019 and have been taking measures to realise value. So far, the company has recaptured most of its equity in the transaction already and the total return multiple based on market value is 1.41 times.

Market leadership
Al Mukhaizim elaborated that the company has built specialist teams in key potential areas such as equity capital markets, mergers and acquisitions, and venture capital as part of its long-term strategy that provides NIC with an excellent platform to execute flagship transactions.
In 2021, NIC completed the financing mandate for a leading fitness and lifestyle business and has listed Al Safat Investment Company, a fully-fledged investment-licensed company with a capital of $85.2m. In addition, the team started a strong pipeline of other mandates, including a buy-side transaction for a leading logistics company, one of Kuwait’s largest multi-sector businesses. And, it is currently working on two flagship pre-IPO mandates, expected to complete in 2022 and 2023, as well as contracts to provide general advisory services.

Diversification and innovation
Technological innovation and the adoption of digital services have expedited since the emergence of COVID-19 and there are no signs of stopping. The technology sector has been one of the most attractive and high-performing sectors due to its record growth in the past few years. Consumer and business spending in this sector has boosted tech stock price targets and increased share prices, reaching new highs.

Harkening to the developments in this sector, NIC followed a technology investment strategy and invested in several global and regional venture capital funds as well as direct investment opportunities. The investment banking advisory team focused on supporting companies and founders, as well as venture capitalists that are likely to disrupt several industries, including financial services, data security, software, mobility, healthcare, and food. The strategy is to invest in projects and companies that have clear potential to make a huge impact on their respective industries and eventually the regional landscape.

Exemplary transactions include NIC’s recent investment in Pipe Technologies as part of its expanding investment strategy targeting the technology sector. Pipe Technologies is a fast-growing US-based financial technology company recognised as the world’s first trading platform for recurring revenues, with a recent valuation of $2bn. Its valuation increased in just under a year since its launch in 2020, making it one of the fastest financial technology companies to reach this rating in history. In addition to the Pipe investment, NIC has recently invested in several global and regional venture capital funds as well as direct investment opportunities. The direct opportunities include NotCo and Darktrace. NotCo is one of the most exciting food technology firms focusing on plant-based alternatives, utilising patented AI technology.

Darktrace is one of the global cyber-security champions, also using AI technology, in this case to help clients thwart cyber-attacks. Meanwhile, the investment banking team is in the advanced phase of due diligence to invest in a leading regional VC platform specialising in delivery.

Unrivalled partnerships
“At NIC, not only did we assess the market behaviour and investment projects during the heart of the pandemic, we also acknowledged the impact of the pandemic on our clients – as human beings. We care about our clients and this had to be translated into action during times of crises,” stated Al Mukhaizim. Accordingly, NIC’s objective was to provide a seamless customer experience that would recognise their psychological status and physical restraints during the uncertain times of the pandemic. Acknowledging what the clients are going through on the other side of the coin has prompted NIC’s evolvement plans to launch an electronic portal, the ‘Market Maker’ service, and support their clients in times of stress by understanding their individual needs and addressing these by offering highly personalised services.

The NIC electronic portal was launched to grant customers direct access to their account so they can view all their investments and the performance of their portfolios through one window integrated with their personal devices. Adhering to social distancing measures, and recognising the series of lockdowns that have occurred in Kuwait and the region, the electronic portal connects clients with their account managers at any time through one application. The service also enables customers to manage their accounts, follow up on investments, carry out withdrawals and deposits, obtain reports on portfolio performance and allows them to update their profiles.

Though the market was significantly impacted by the pandemic, NIC has demonstrated a successful example of strategically capitalising on challenging situations and turning them into opportunities for growth and evolvement. Applying best practices in investor relations and corporate communication has definitely played an important role in cultivating NIC’s relationship with its clients amid an economic crisis.